The turning of the Golden Gate boat over time, the negotiations between mainland China and Taiwan's representatives have not been negotiated many times but have not been there.The two sides did not clamorize each other in political language, and seemed to have no intention of warming up. In this case, they should be able to deal with them peacefully.However, Kinmen may step into the autumn of events in the future and become a hot potato in Taiwan.
Recently, an unintentional ship with no ship name, no ship certificate, and no shipwreck port in mainland China has entered the Golden Gate waters and was driven away by the Taiwan sea patrol ship. Unexpectedly, it was overwhelmed by the waters of Golden Gate, causing two deaths and two injuries.This so -called "three -no -boat" is also illegal on the mainland and should be prohibited from going to sea.
The Golden Gate incident happened shortly after the Golden Gate incident, and mainland China Maritime Police boarded the Golden Gate tour boat for inspection, causing panic in Taiwan. Worried about whether fishing and sightseeing in the Golden Gate waters will be harassed by the mainland maritime police.EssenceChina believes that Taiwan has enforced the law in the Golden Gate incident and requires an apology and compensation.The Taiwanese side insists on law enforcement, and he is willing to use humanitarian stance to stretch the deceased.
Golden Gate is too close to the mainland, and Taiwan is too far.Kinmen and Xiamen were originally a life circle, and it has indeed been part of China since ancient times.Although the two places of Jinxia have been in a gap for many years, after the small three links, they have frequently become hot.For Kinmen people, Xiamen is far closer to Taiwan.Most Kinmen people do not think they are Taiwanese, but the people of the Republic of China.
The crisis of autocratic countries often resort to external conflicts in order to transfer people's attention.Once the development of the mainland is not smooth, it is difficult to bother to find Taiwan, but the easiest to start with Golden Gate.Mainland China may be forced step by step, such as drones, crossing borders, fishing vessels cross the border, and then the tourist vessels cross the border, the maritime police ship cross the border, then the PLA cross the border, and then directly board the Golden Gate.After all, the mainland has repeatedly claimed that the central line of the Strait does not exist, and there is nothing wrong with crossing the border.How long can the soft -driven method of Taiwan be difficult to say? If you don't persist, how can we respond to the future movement of the mainland?
In the past, the Democratic Progressive Party had the theory of Golden Horse withdrawal.The Golden Horse withdrew the troops to lift the pressure of the Taiwan military's defense, which also allowed the Golden Horse to avoid war, which means to give up actively defending the Golden Horse.However, because the political rebound is too large, the government should not take the initiative to abandon the people.If the controversy of Kinmen will continue in the future, and Taiwan cannot deal with it, the Golden Horse withdrawal theory may be mentioned again.
Golden Gate is easy to attack and difficult to defend.Once the war starts, the Taiwanese side may not be worth resisting, and resistance is almost unnecessary sacrifice. Therefore, it is not difficult to win Golden Gate in mainland China. It is difficult to deal with politically after winning Golden Gate.Is it next?Although Taiwan lost Golden Gate's emotional injuries, it has not been hit by actual blows. If it can consolidate the awareness of anti -aggression, it will enhance the determination of the people's resistance and force the international statement.In view of Russia's invasion of Ukraine after a few years, if the Crimean invades Ukraine, if mainland China occupies Golden Gate, in order to avoid the subsequent Taiwan Strait War, it will inevitably assist Taiwan and promote Taiwan to be closely connected with the international. The situation is not good for Beijing.
It is unknown that Kinmen people have always rejected the DPP, and the Democratic Progressive Party has not arranged for long -term cultivation. The alienation was caused by long -term interaction between the two parties.Kinmen's political choice has always been the Blue Camp. Kinmen people want to obtain the largest dividends on both sides of the strait, but they are not rushing to unify.However, if Kinmen starts the referendum, it is generally expected to pass.How to face Kinmen, which has long -term advocating peace talks with the mainland, will be one of the problems of Taiwan's new President Lai Qingde.
Taiwan is currently quite fragile.Tsai Ing -wen will have a term of office. Although the President of the Detention is not unable to do anything, it is not advisable to declare major personnel or policies, and important government affairs must have a tacit understanding with Lai Qingde.Although Lai Qingde is also a DPP and was originally the vice president, if the power alternates are not smooth, it is difficult to protect the accident.After the inauguration of Lai Qingde, there is no honeymoon period. He must prove to Beijing and International that it will continue the Cai Yingwen route. It will not lead to war but not afraid of the war. It can handle the cold war situation and try its best to resolve tension and conflict. It is by no means a troublemaker.Lai Qingde's inaugural speech on May 20 will reveal the direction of the leader. All parties will wait and see.
