In contrast to the strength of Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine, under external support, after many counterattacks and recovering a large number of territories, it is not easy to stabilize the front of the front.In contrast to Russia, although it still occupies more than 100,000 square kilometers of Ukraine land, it is difficult to make up for major losses such as decline in international status, deterioration of security environment, national financial overdrafts, and severe damage to the people's livelihood.Wins and losses, own public theory.
Two years after the war of Russia, Ukraine has already got rid of the passive situation at the beginning of the war.
On the occasion of Russia and Ukraine for two years, the current Russia -Ukraine situation, especially so far, has been obtained by the two sides in tactics and strategic levels.Relevant countries are of great significance to the future of Russia to U -Policy.
To evaluate the current battle, it will return to the starting point of the war, that is, February 24, 2022.At the beginning of the war, the Russian army launched a semi -circular raid against more than 200,000 square kilometers east of the Nieber River from the north, northeast, east, and south of Ukraine.obvious.From the perspective of the battlefield situation at the time, under the city of Russian soldiers, under the city of Linji, the Russian soldiers once seized the important strategic -significant Kiev suburbs Antonov Freight Airport, as well as most parts of the northern and neighbor of Kiefu, which was located in Kiev.
The Russian army also occupied the two states of Samo and Halkov from the northeast, expanding from the east to the occupied areas of the two states (collectively known as the Donbass region), which are partially controlled by this.Occupy from the south, most of the two states of Zapolo and Hermone, and tried to dye the two states of Nikolaev and Odessa.The Russian army also controlled most of the waters in the northern half of the Black Sea, which led to cutting off the Wuhai transport line and blocked grain exports, which once triggered an international food crisis.In short, at the beginning of the war of Russia and Ukraine, most Wudong land was occupied by the Russian army, about one -third of the total area of Ukraine, which is about 200,000 square kilometers.
Look at the current situation in Russia and Ukraine.After many counterattacks, the Ukrainian Army has recovered the northern part of Kyanfu and Chelnigov, the two states in Samo and Halkov in the northeast, as well as the three states of Donetsk, Zapolo and Hermone.Part of the land.At present, the Russian army still occupies almost all of Lugusk, about two -thirds of Donetzk, about three -quarters of Zapolo, and about two -thirds of Heruson.If Crimea, which was occupied by the Russian army as early as 2014, has recovered nearly half of Russia's territory of nearly half (about 100,000 square kilometers) in the past two years, the front has been sharply promoted eastward to south.Such a obvious front of the front, who is victorious is not difficult to judge.
The Battle of Acheng is a gift for Putin's re -election
Maybe some people will take the Udong small town of Wudong Town, the Town of Wudong, as an example. It proves that the Ukrainian army has not won and at least not dominant on the battlefield.In fact, Av Diffika, like the previous Mariuropol, Bachurut, and Malinka, all the brutal cases that were forced to withdraw after a few months of meat grinding machine war.But now looking back at these three battles, they have not fundamentally frustrated the overall counterattack of the Urpical army on the battlefield.In this battle of Acheng, the Russian army obtained less than 40 square kilometers.The political symbolic significance of this battle is more than the actual strategic significance, because as many observers pointed out, winning Afdifka is equivalent to the "gift" of the Russian election in the next month to add a high vote for Putin's high vote.
It is necessary to point out that since the second half of last year, the major results of the Ukrainian army in the Black Sea Battle should also be regarded as part of this counterattack results.In addition to the flagship Moscow cruiser in April 2022, since last year, he sank and hit a number of main ships in the Black Sea to explode the fleet's headquarters in Sevastopol, forcing the Command 200 to 200Over the years, it has been relocated to Russia's native port Silla Silla.This has led to basically the right of Russia's right to make the sea in the west of the Black Sea. The transportation line of the Black Sea is unblocked, and the food exports are no longer threatened to be threatened by the Russian army.This loss from Russia is probably difficult to make up for several ruins such as Afdeca.
If the above facts only represent the tactical level, the strategic level of the Russian and Ukraine situation is also clearly recognizable.
In the past two years of war, in the United Nations Conference's many involved in Russia and Ukraine, the anti -Russian countries have always been more than 130, and it has clearly supported that there are no more than 10 countries that have supported it, which has caused Russia's isolated state in the international community.The war also caused Russia to lose the traditional Western energy market and have a profound impact on future economic development.With Finland and Sweden joined NATO, and the major losses of the aforementioned Black Sea Fleet, Russia has been almost lost after more than 200 years of struggle.After Finland joined NATO, the boundary between Russia and NATO countries increased by more than 1,300 kilometers.In addition, the Russian troops on the battlefield have a serious negative impact on its military deterrent and military products in the global market.At present, only what the parties fear are combined with the horror of its nuclear arsenal with the irrational decision -making of the leaders.
Although more than 100,000 square kilometers of land was occupied by Russia, the international community's sympathy and support for it was still upside down.This support is not only moral, but also material.According to reports, most of the current administrative expenditures in Ukraine, including teachers' salary, come from international assistance.The European Union's new assistance to Ukraine's 50 billion euros (about 73.5 billion yuan) has been approved. Although the US $ 60 billion (about S $ 80.7 billion) has been disturbed by the two parties, most observers believe that it is only a matter of time.In addition, the amount of war that has been delivered before, such a scale of war assistance, should be the first time in the history of international relations after World War II.China has also provided some humanitarian assistance to Ukraine to show its image of responsible great powers.
From the perspective of weapon assistance, everyone who continues to pay attention to the situation of the Russian and Ukraine battlefield knows that every major progress in Ukraine has achieved a major progress on the battlefield, including winning the Kisuke guarantee war, the partial part of the recovery part, and the initiative to get the initiative in the Black Sea.There is a relationship with the time point of Western weapons assistance.In the second half of last year, Ukraine's counterattack in the Donbass region was largely related to the slowdown of US aid progress.In the next few months, as more Western weapons, including F-16 fighters, enter the field, what changes will happen in the battlefield situation, it is worth paying close attention.The latest important progress is that Britain, Germany, and France signed a 10 -year bilateral security agreement with Ukraine, respectively.This seems to show that European powers have been re -elected President of the United States for Trump and abandoned a new situation after assistance to Ukraine and make strategic preparations in advance.
In short, two years after the war of Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine has already got rid of the passive situation at the beginning of the war.Compared with the disparity of Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine supported the large -scale territory after many counterattacks, and it was not easy to stabilize the front of the front after many counterattacks.In contrast to Russia, although it still occupies more than 100,000 square kilometers of Ukraine land, it is difficult to make up for major losses such as decline in international status, deterioration of security environment, national financial overdrafts, and severe damage to the people's livelihood.Wins and losses, own public theory.
The author is executive deputy director of the Taiwan Research Center of Shanghai Jiaotong University
