Since the President of the Philippines in June 2022, China and the Philippines have been upgraded in the controversial waters of the South China Sea.The two sides did not give up each other, and the relationship between the two countries turned sharply.In the context of the intensified global geopolitical contradictions, the southern China waves have resurrected, impacting the safety and stability of the region.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi claims that the current China -Philippine relations are facing serious difficulties and have stood at the crossroads.Sagas pointed out that traditional diplomacy no longer use it, and solving the South China Sea dispute must break the old thinking.
The security cognition and policy of China, Macco, is very different from the former President Duterte.After he came to power, he strengthened his relationship with traditional allies in the United States.According to the 2014 strengthened defense cooperation agreement, the Philippines allowed the United States to use four other military bases.The new base faces Taiwan and the South China Sea.
The Philippines also strengthened military cooperation with American allies.In addition to the United States, the Philippines and Australia signed a military visit agreement (also known as the mutual access agreement), allowing both parties to deploy troops on the other's territory.It is currently discussing a similar agreement with Japan.
In addition, the Philippines has conducted with the United States and Australia in the South China Sea.It claims that at least four countries are willing to arrange joint patrols in the Navy and the Philippines in the South China Sea (the Philippines called the Western Philippines).They include Japan, Germany, Canada and France.
On the other hand, the Philippines arranged domestic and foreign media to interview in disputed waters, and released pictures and videos of Chinese interception and colliding with Filipino vessels to win the support of international public opinion.The Philippines described it as "the front line that opposed regional peace and stability", and claimed that the Indo -Pacific region was most likely to detonate the conflict of the South China Sea.
China has accused the Philippines of incubation of out -of -domain countries to disrupt the South China Sea issue and maliciously spread China's threat theory.It describes the military cooperation between the Philippines and the United States and its allies to "attract wolves into the room" and "small circles" "not only can not help solve the differences between the South China Sea, but will complicate the situation in the region and reflect their own security."
China and the Philippines publicly express their determination to defend sovereignty and inch.With the support of the United States and its allies, the Philippines has strengthened its confidence with China.On the other hand, China continues to strengthen its military deployment in the South China Sea.According to data from the Institute of International Strategy in the U.S. Think Tank, around the main islands of the South China Sea last year, the average daily number of Chinese maritime militia vessels increased by 35%.
Although the possibility of comprehensive conflict between China and the Philippines currently broke out, the accumulation of sporadic conflicts, the mutual accusations of high decibels, and the joint patrol of the Philippines and allies may lead to the phenomenon and fire of gunfire in the South China Sea.Unexpected consequences.The trend of geopolitical contradictions between China and the United States and the relationship between the game of great powers may also make the situation in the South China Sea more difficult to predict.
Therefore, it is necessary for China and the Philippines to set up protective fences to reduce the decibels that scold each other in the air and avoid maritime conflict upgrade.For Beijing, the continuous display of strong behavior in the South China Sea is not conducive to its status and image in the region.For Manila, the example of Ukraine shows that relying on foreign military support to confront the same power is not the best guarantee for its own security.
The increasingly opposing interaction between China and the Philippines is related to the security and stability of the region.Yaiman Ying continued to maintain its dominant role in regional projects, cooling down the tension of the South China Sea.China should also show the sincerity of cooperating with Asianan, and on the basis of mutual respect and equality, it jointly maintains the peace of the region.Due to the limited progress of the South China Sea Conduct with China, the Philippines had contacted with neighboring countries such as Malaysia and Vietnam at the end of last year to discuss the possibility of reaching the code of behavior at the bilateral level.
The Russian and Ukraine War and the conflict between the Middle East have not yet appeared in the dawn of peace.The world cannot withstand another war involving big powers.The resolution of territorial disputes requires time, and it is only time to declare sovereignty through force by force.Before the timing of resolving sovereignty differences has not yet matured, shelving controversy and common development may be a more constructive and appropriate measure.
