The consequences of bilateral relations between the two countries are vigilant.In addition to the international image of China and the United States, they are worried about being questioned and irresponsible, and messenging is not beneficial to solve many domestic problems facing each other.The latter determines that when the two parties will have to deal with each other, they have to be cautious and "who won the US election."
The prospects of Sino -US relations are more pessimistic than optimistic views.From the two masterpieces published and reproduced by Lianhe Early Newspaper, one entitled that China does not want Trump to be in power again (January 22), and the other from Bloomberg: No matter who won the US election, China is a loser.(February 13 Morning Post Network), the solution of the opinions seems to be confused.
This year is the year of the United States election. Considering the economic volume of these two major powers and its impact on global development, it is not surprising that Sino -US relations are concerned about public opinion.After Trump, who was elected as the President of the United States in 2016, was in power, after the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, although contradictions and even often frictions, he could always start from the overall situation and maintain a general and stable basic relationship.Even patting the table to stare.In the field of economic and trade relations and scientific and technological competition, the two sides have stepped out of a bargaining circle, and the fighting and anti -surrounding fights.The increasingly decreasing mutual trust and communication between the two countries has not improved after Biden's ruling. Therefore, "no matter who won the US election in China is a loser", it is not difficult to understand.
It is just that there are too many placing Sino -US relations in excessive pessimistic public opinion.Sino -US relations, as one of the most important bilateral relations in the world today, are sunny and cold between the two countries.Therefore, not only in China and the United States, but also in most countries in the world, they are forced to choose a border station between the two countries, not their choice; the government that wants to use the conflict between the two countries does not account for a large ratio.Just like the Cold War of the United States and the Soviet Union of the year, the confrontation between the two sides for more than 20 years and the sword -pull -out -and -the -tenda confrontation was eventually replaced by the "ease" policy.The reason why no one of the two sides dares to mess with each other is the fear of messed up.This should be regarded as a "no pessimistic" climate.
There is a small climate between China and the United States, that is, neither China and the United States have not messed up bilateral relations and confidence.
The first is the reason for the two countries to mess up.Territory disputes, historical complaints, national contradictions, religious conflicts, etc., which are most likely to cause friction and conflict between countries, do not exist between China and the United States.Just as the well -known American economist Jeffrey Sax, which was selected by Times Magazine as one of the 100 most influential global figures, said: "There is no fundamental conflict between China and the United States."The main reason for the current situation of the relationship between the two countries is a certain alert psychology of the United States' prediction of China's development. The cognition of "China threat theory" is not much empirical.
The second is that the two countries have no determination to break through the position and bottom line of the other party.After Trump's governance, the United States Republican and Democratic parties have taken turns, and the fight between China and the United States in recent years has not only torn off the shame of shame that originally "hugged the pipa half -cover", but also the "sanctions" of the other party in their hands.There are not a few cards left.As a result of several rounds of two rounds, whether Biden or Trump, in the face of the bottom line in the bottom line of China, China, is unwilling to use "one China" to play fire; Chinese leaders have also stated many times.China "inadvertently challenge and replace the United States."
Since both the quarrels are unwilling to break through the other line of the other party, other disputes are highly likely to sit down and talk.
In addition, the two countries are vigilant about the consequences of bilateral relations.In addition to the international image of China and the United States, they are worried about being questioned and irresponsible, and messenging is not beneficial to solve many domestic problems facing each other.The latter determines that when the two parties will have to deal with each other, they have to be cautious and "who won the US election."
Take a step back, even if the two parties insist on going on the way to mess, the consequences that followed may be in response: No one is here.
In January 1969, Nixon, an American right -wing president, who was half -lifetime with the Cold War after the war, announced in the inauguration speech, announcing that negotiations instead of confrontation and ease the strategy of replacing the Cold War.Two years later, the Twenty -four CPC meeting of the CPSU with "opposition to US imperialism" also had similar policy declarations.In the following days, the two superpowers have signed a series of treaties such as the Treaty of the Nuclear Nuclear Test Treaty for the Underground Nuclear Test Treaty for the Treaty of Peace for the Treaty of the Nuclear Treaty Treaty of the Treaty of the Nuoretic Treaty Treaty.In 1980, Reagan, which was quite eagle,, was the presidential candidate for the United States, and was dissatisfied with the Carter's policy of China, claiming that Taiwan would be regarded as a separate political entity, and it was viewed in an equal position with China and Japan, causing China to cause ChinaThe official opposed strong opposition.In the eight -year term of the "Sino -US relations" in the eight -year term of public opinion, the relationship between the two parties was generally stable, and the famous August 17th bulletin was signed., Becoming the cornerstone of the relationship between Sino -US relations.
There are many similar things in history.Jin Yong has a saying in the record of the sword sword: "The affection is deep, but the strong is humiliated, the gentleman is gentle, and the gentleness is like jade."It is not necessary to be too pessimistic about Sino -US relations. It does not mean that the two countries can completely resolve differences and disputes between the two sides such as Taiwan and the South China Sea.However, in the unprecedented predicament, there are two countries that have their own responsibility or are unwilling to completely mess up with each other. Why is there only a choice of pessimism in the development of future relationships?Can the world not report to their modest gentlemen in the world, but they are concerned about "strong and humiliating". Isn't there a possibility of a certain kind of deaquance?
Maybe we can be more optimistic.
The author is a professor at the School of Administration of Shanxi