The Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang finally understand that they have more young people who are disgusted.Therefore, how to reduce the emotions of "getting off the Democratic Progressive Party" or "hate the Kuomintang", which affects the flow of young votes, has become the most important highlight in the last month of this election campaign.

When watching the Taiwan election, many people are used to using across the Taiwan Strait or pro -Chinese -pro -Chinese geopolitical factors to cut into observation. This cannot be said to be wrong. It can even be said that in the past decadesIn the process, under the political structure of blue -green confrontation, cross -strait relations are indeed a very important factor for the past presidential election campaign, and it is also one of the most intense issues of the two sides.

But from this election atmosphere in front of you, cross -strait relations are likely to become a topic that does not matter and cannot determine who is the president.

We can even see this phenomenon from the recent trend of polls.After the blue and white harmony at the end of last month, the original three -legged election trend was new. The support of the party presidential presidential candidate combination of party organizations and resources, the support of the party presidential presidential presidential candidate, and the support of Ke Wushe (Ke Wenzhe with Wu Xinying) quickly declined.

The Kuomintang side, after the campaign of the two people in Hou Zhao, got rid of the situation where Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe's polls were unclear, and rose to the range of general support from the Kuomintang's political party.It can be said that after Hou Youyi found Zhao Shaokang, the Kuomintang's Blue Army and Knowledge Blue, which originally supported Hou who had doubts, had a basic return of the masses, and gradually changed the election campaign from the triangle war to a blue -green confrontation.

However, when everyone expected that when Ke Wenzhe's votes were lost, the situation of the Kuomintang candidates did not appear. Instead, when the polls of Ke Wenzhe declined, the DPP Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin's support rate also increased.Basically get rid of the downturn at the end of last month, and climbed back from about 30%to the range of 35%to 40%in the past, that is, Ke Wenzhe's voting flow is not necessarily beneficial to which specific party candidate.

In fact, according to the long -term independence polls made by the Taiwan United Daily, Lai Xiao with about 40%of voters' support, which is equivalent to the current people who have firmly supported the "Anti -China Baozai" in Taiwan society.About 34%of the voters who support Hou Zhaohe are also people who support the "pro -beauty and middle" route.

But whether it is 40%or 34%of support, under the pattern of the two strong elections, it is not enough to win the election, so who can operate abandoning insurance and strive to get about 17%of the remaining support of the people's party.The person who supports himself at the end of the election campaign has become the most important issue in the election campaign in the new pattern.

Interestingly, based on the details of the polls, the people of the people's party are analyzed by the people of the people. It is easy to see that the supporters of Ke Wenzhe are mainly young people.Even if Ke Wenzhe's conversation on both sides of the strait is relatively uncertain, it does not seem to affect their support.For example, when he was stable a while ago, in order to fight for more blue camp votes, he advocated "Taiwan Autonomy and Cross -Strait Peace", which mainly communicated. When he recently flowed to the green camp, he said that he was deep in his heart.Ink green, that is, advocate Taiwan independence.

From this phenomenon, it can be found that young people may be more concerned about improving employment opportunities, alleviating high housing prices, solving low salary but facing inflation pressure, etc. Compared with cross -strait relations.

More importantly, for this group of young people who choose to support Ke Wen, they both want to remove the DPP to teach them in power and hate the old -fashioned autumn.The Kuomintang, who is not concerned about the experience of young people.

Instead, in this case, for the Blue and Green Party, as long as the policy discussion can meet the needs of this group of young people, it is really likely that at the end of the election campaign to persuade them to change their investment.

Therefore, it can be found that no matter which group of candidates in blue and green play their own cross -strait cards, they seem to be weak, nor can they improve their support.Recently, it seems that the disadvantaged Kuomintang discovered the crux of the problem and began to discuss the demands of young people.For example, Zhao Shaokang actively arranged to meet with young students in the whole, Hou Youyi put forward a comprehensive free policy proposition for college tuition fees, and so on.

Of course, the DPP also has a policy of preferential mortgage, young parents' birth allowances, and so on. However, as a ruling party, when issuing a check -up check, the effect is always insufficient, because because the effect is always insufficient, because becauseFor young people, if the DPP really wants to do something, it should be implemented for eight years in power!Of course, the Democratic Progressive Party does not have to do anything. As long as they can successfully strengthen the emotions of young people hate the Kuomintang, let them firmly support Ke Wuping, or if they are disappointed, they can win the voucher.

In any case, the two parties leading in public opinion support, finally understand that there are many young people who are disgusted.Therefore, how to reduce the emotions of "getting off the Democratic Progressive Party" or "hate the Kuomintang", which affects the flow of young votes, has become the most important highlight in the last month of this election campaign.

The author is a columnist in Malaysia and Taiwan