In the second round of voting of the French National Assembly election, the National Alliance (RN) of the Right -wing Party (RN) was hit and was squeezed to the third place by the left party and middle school. At present, no political party has obtained a majority of seats, and France is facing a political deadlock.
The French once again stated: They do not want to be in power right.
France's right -right wings won in the European Parliament elections, and also won in the first round of voting in the French Parliament election.
But at an important juncture, French voters retreated from the edge when they were elected as the presidential election.
One week ago, after the first round of voting, the Right -wing Party National Alliance (RN) was expected to win 300 seats in Parliament, but the results of the second round of voting were unexpected, and they may have only 150 seats.
According to the French election system, the 577 parliamentarians of the House of Commons, the National Assembly, are elected by two rounds.Candidates who have obtained most effective votes and the total number of votes exceed 25%of the registered voters will be elected in the first round of elections.If there is no candidate to meet this standard, all candidates will be held between all candidates who have reached 12.5%of the number of registered voters, and candidates who get the most votes in the second round of voting are elected.
After the second round of voting, the National Alliance would justify that this was just because other parties united to play with the election system, and this statement was unreasonable.
They pointed out that the different parties of the left wing suddenly set aside the differences and formed a unified line of a new anti -National Alliance. At the same time, Macron's middle school and the left also temporarily disappeared.
These politicians across the left and right spectrums, from the right -wing Edouard Philippe to PHILIPPE POUTOU in the left -wing of Toroski. The only foundation they united is to oppose the National Alliance without other reasons.This inconsistency indicates that the future is not good.
Nevertheless, the facts are still in front of them, that is, most French people do not want to have the situation where the right right is in power -either because they oppose the idea of the right right, or because they are worried that the right rightists will cause chaos.
So, if the National Alliance Chairman Jordan Bardella will not be the next Prime Minister in France, who will become?
image source, Stephane de Sakutin/AFP This is a huge unknown.Different from the previous French parliament elections, we may have to wait a few weeks to have answers.
Because of what happened in the past few weeks, the nature of the French political system has been changed.
As the senior commentators of the previous elections since Da Gaulle, Alain Duhamel said, "Today, there is no longer any leading party. Since Macron came to power 7 years ago, we have been in political forces.Deconstruction period.
"Maybe we are starting a period of reconstruction now."He means that there are many political forces: the three major groups (left, extremely right, and middle school), plus middle and right wings, and there are also competing party in these groups.
At present, there is no majority of political parties occupying the parliament, so it is inevitable that long -term bargaining is needed to form a new alliance from the right wing to the left.
Image source, EPA
In view of the mutual dislikes expressed by different potential parties, how this alliance will form is far from clear.
But you can bet. After the tension in the past few weeks, President Macron will now call for a period of "Apaisement".
It is exactly this period of time to continue until the Paris Olympics and summer vacation, allowing the French to restore their vitality.
At the same time, Macron will designate the person who will talk to the leaders to contact different parties.Will that be left -wing?Do people in the middle?Or outsiders in the political circle?We don't know.
But it seems to be sure that French politics is about to enter a more than the parliament -led system.
Power will flow from President Macron to the leader of the new government.
Under the strong left -wing forces, even if Macron can allow middlemen to serve as Prime Minister, the person will exercise power on the basis of parliament support.
Macron, who is hopeless to run again in 2027, will be greatly reduced.
So did he lose in this political gambling?Do you regret calling for parliamentary elections?Is he going to withdraw from the political circle?
Macron will definitely not think so.He would say that the reason why he convened an election was because the situation was hard to sustain; he re -assigned political forces and gave the highly supported national alliance a more fair parliamentary seat ratio; and he gambled French people would never let extremely right wing wingIn power, this is correct.
At the same time, he did not completely disappear.Macron's power may be weakened, but he is still in the Palace of Alice, negotiating with his team and urging politicians, he is still the owner of the political agenda.