With the approaching day of the Taiwan election nomination day in 2024, no breakthrough was seen in the negotiations of the wild blue and white, but a serious difference in the blue camp threatened the Kuomintang unity.This difference is concerned about the high intervention of the mainland government in this election.The continuous military deployment of the United States and Japan and other countries reflects the pessimistic expectations of Northeast Asia's peace in Northeast Asia.The Taiwan election has a significant impact on regional peace.
Mainland China has always been hostile to the DPP government, which has refused to accept the "one country, two systems"; Lai Qingde, who replaced Cai Yingwen on behalf of the DPP for the President of the DPP, especially showed great doubts.Lai Qingde claims to be "pragmatic Taiwan independence workers", which is far more political in political concept than Tsai Ing -wen.In order to soothe the middle voters in Taiwan who were afraid of martial arts, and the United States, who did not want to disrupt the Indo -Pacific strategy of the Taiwan Strait, Lai Qingde Xiaozhi Cao Sui, it was called the Republic of China as an independent country without changing the national number.
However, due to the performance of Tsai Ing -wen's second term, it hopes that "get off the DPP", Lai Qingde's public opinion support has not exceeded 40 %.This is why the Kuomintang has been discussing the political alliance with the people's party of the former Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe.Although the polls of the Kuomintang presidential candidate Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe are not as good as Lai Qingde, they are likely to win.However, Ke Wenzhe, who has been favored by young people and has always been like Hou Youyi, asks to determine the alliance through the "All -Public Tune" plan.Because of worrying about bubbles in advance, the Kuomintang, the second largest party of the Legislative Yuan, has always been unwilling to be aggressive.
The nomination date of the presidential candidate must complete the time limit for registration between November 20th and 24th, resulting in anxiety and differences in the Kuomintang.It is necessary to defeat the DPP forces at the cost of the DPP. Former President and former Chairman Ma Ying -jeou, as well as the former Mayor of Kaohsiung and former presidential candidate, South Korea Yu.EssenceA faction who opposed the concession was represented by Wang Jinping, the former director of the Legislative Legislative President, and believed that this would inevitably lead to a grassroots rebound and the party split in the party.
Some public opinion in Taiwan believes that the mainland governments will work hard behind the scenes to match the blue and white harmony of the Kuomintang and the people's party, making the situation more complex and dangerous.Guo Taiming, the richest man in Taiwan, who had a huge investment interest in the mainland, had previously fought to represent the Kuomintang's election and failed. Instead, he would partner with Ke Wenzhe and decided to run alone because he was unwilling to be a deputy.The mainland announced that it would thoroughly investigate Guo Taiming's Foxconn tax and land use issues, and was considered to force him to withdraw.Rosenberg, chairman of the United States Association in Taiwan, emphasized that the United States 'intervention against any foreign performers' intervention in Taiwan elections obviously refers to Beijing.
Compared with Ke Wenzhe, who is ambiguous, the mainland government is even more optimistic about Hou Youyi who opposes the "one country, two systems".Ma Ying -jeou and South Korea's Yu factions who advocated the acceptance of the "whole poll" are also different from Hou Youyi's cross -strait positions.Judging by the current situation, the Kuomintang single fighting alone will inevitably defeat, and because it is impossible to cooperate with the people's party, the legislature's election may also be impacted, allowing the DPP to continue to have the largest party status.Only Lan Baihe, even if Ke Wenzhe, who gives the so -called "one -person party" in the presidential position, can get more seats, and can strive for some administrative power under the framework of the joint government.However, this compromise strategy obviously does not accept Hou Youyi and some Kuomintang factions, so that the negotiations have never had a result.Due to the internal division, the supporters of the supporters were scattered, and the sensation of the middle voters was worse, the Kuomintang elected at the end of last year, and the momentum of winning 13 counties and cities in one fell swoop was no longer.If the election is failed, it will inevitably fall into another weak cycle, and even the risk of foaming.
As far as the US President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping met at San Francisco on November 15, the White House national security adviser Sha Liewen said that restarting the military's dialogue is the primary agenda of the head of state.This shows that the United States just wants to ensure that they will not wipe their guns and go on fire, and the various targets of China will not stop.Directed by Japan, the joint military exercise participating in the American Karvatson aircraft carrier and the Australian and Canadian navy, in the Western Pacific on November 11.The Philippines, which conflicts with China in the South China Sea, was invited to observe.When all parties rubbing their palms, the Taiwan elections will inevitably make people pay attention.
