At the beginning of the New Year, Malaysia's politics not only did not calm down, but instead of a conspiracy theory of "Dubai's Movement", it set off another round of political storm.
This kind of political "changing" statement is basically a political means to replace the regime through non -election methods.However, Malaysia is not like other "Banana Republics" in the world. The military forces have a strong power of military coup and bleeding. This is still fortunate.This kind of "alien" is mainly because the political elites pass the secret plan, and the political loyalty of the lawmakers will be promoted to promote the power of the regime.
Because the Malaysian Division inherited the democratic system of the Ximin Temple Council in the UK, the Prime Minister or the government must obtain more than half of the parliamentarians of the House of Congress under special circumstances.Otherwise, the Prime Minister must choose to resign and step down to allow another more than half of the supporters of more than half of the supporters to be the Prime Minister;
It is worth noting that the government must obtain the principle of more than half of the members of the lawmakers, and is not restricted by the status of the members of the members.Theoretically, a member of a major party, but not enough support within the party, can serve as the Prime Minister after getting the support of other party members after getting the support of other party members.
Similar examples occur in 2021.At that time, in order to safeguard the Malay regime, Esmima Sabiri, who did not belong to the mainstream parties in the UMNO party, was rushed to push the phase as a compromise candidate.He also knew that he had insufficient foundation in the party, so he sought the support of the members of the Hope Alliance at the time in the wild, and took the condition of promoting political reform as the exchange condition.
This kind of precedent for the government that seeks the government without replacing the government through the national election, which occurred in Sheraton in early 2020.At that time, it was less than two years after governance, but the Pakatan Harapan government supported by two -thirds of Congress of Congress had undergone subtle changes inside.The Pakatan Harapan of the Pakatan Harapan Party, the party chairman Anhua, and the activity chairman of the Azmin, have accumulated for many years of political contradictions.On the other hand, in another Pakatan Harapan member of the Pakatan Harapan of the party leader of the Prime Minister Mahathir, a political force led by the two -hander Muyudin emerged. He believes that the Pakatan Harapan's concept of sharing power of the Pakatan Harapan.Does not meet the mainstream interests of Malays.
If the Turkish Party stays in the Pakatan Harapan, it will inevitably lose the support of the mainstream Malay voters, so Azmin and Muyadin will join forces to plan political aliens and pull many Pakatan Harapan and the opposition members to the Sheraton Hotel.During the weekend, the Pakatan Harapan members who had successfully countered similar concepts and were connected to the opposition party. They overthrew the Pakatan Harapan government through disbelief and motion.
At the level of the state government in Malaysia, parliamentarians overthrowing the government's example can be traced back to the early days of the founding of the People's Republic of China.
The exchanges between the aforementioned Ismail Sabiri and the Pakatan Harapan include the political reform plan through the reflective job -hopping method.As the name implies, the law is to curb Congress to change jobs and promote the stability of Malaysia's political operation.The law stipulates that members who have lost their party status will lose their qualifications and must re -election.However, there are two loopholes in order to meet the political freedom of the Constitution.
One is that if the parliamentarians do not take the initiative to retire from the party but are expelled from the party, they can still maintain a seat.So when the UMNO mainstream faction launched another round of the Qing party more than half a year ago, those who had no seats (such as the Minister of Health Carey) were expelled from the party, and some seats (such as former Foreign Minister Hishan) were only "frozen" party membershipFor several years, the latter avoids the hostile party with a gun.
The second is that members can change their political position without changing the party.For example, in the recent month, several members of the opposition to the Turkish Mission Party announced that they supported the united government led by Anwar.Although the unity government welcomes this, this precedent also lays land mines for the unity of the government's political survival, because as long as there are enough political stances, any government can fall down at any time.
The so -called Dubai's motion this time is mainly rumors, which is said that some of the recently tracked political elites who have been tracked in corruption, and some of the unintentional leaders of Umno's non -mainstream factions.EssenceBecause the senior officials responsible for the government's propaganda have something to do, they may not be groundless.However, it is certain that the Malaysian government's willingness to stabilize the economy this year seems to be difficult to wish.
The author is a senior researcher at the Singapore International Affairs Society (Research Institute)
Chief Counselor of the Malaysian Pacific Research Center
