Source: Hong Kong Zhongtong News Agency

South Korea's joint staff headquarters (joint ginseng) said on the 8th that North Korea has been carried out in the western waters for three consecutive days.Scholars of interviewees believe that at present, the situation on the peninsula is highly tight, and the North Korea and South Korea detergen the door to the door.

South Korea said that North Korea violated more than 3,600 military performance agreements (hereinafter referred to as military agreements) in the military field.After North Korea announced the termination of the agreement, it has been carried out to a buffer area near the western waters for three consecutive days for the past three consecutive days.As a result, the buffer will no longer exist, and the Han Army will implement activities such as shooting and training in the restricted area of ​​hostile behavior at sea and land.

Lu Chao, the dean of the American and East Asian Research Institute of Liaoning University, analyzed the reporter of the Hong Kong News Agency on the 8th. The clauses of the military agreement made specific regulations on the military operations of the North Korea and South Korea.Sex is self -evident.The official announcement of South Korea means that there is no more restriction between the two parties, and it will undoubtedly have a huge impact on North -South relations. The development trend of the peninsula is not optimistic.

However, from the 5th to 7th, the actual actions of the two sides are still restrained from the North Korea's shelling and the Korean reaction.On the morning of the 5th, the North Korean Navy conducted real bomb shooting training, and 192 shells were launched in five areas at the junction of the West Coast. The news was confirmed by the North Korean side.South Korea issued a dodge order to the residents of Baiyu Island and Yanping Island, and conducted maritime shooting training on the afternoon of the day to respond to the DPRK.

On the 6th, the South Korean side said that North Korea fired shells to the northwest of Yanping Island, but was denied by the DPRK, saying that only explosives were blasting on the same day to observe the South Korean reaction.

On the 7th, North Korea confirmed that the real -shot training was conducted again, and 88 shells were launched in the four areas east of the Maritime Military Boundary Line and the east.According to sources from the South Korean military, the military did not plan to conduct shooting due to the failure of the South Korean side.

Lu Chao pointed out that although the shelling was a heavier in recent years, it was actually a regular winter training in North Korea.The reason why North Korea responded strongly this time was that on the one hand, North Korea stated at the newly -closed Jiuzhong Plenary Session.In military exercises and will deploy strategic weapons, North Korea needs to express a tough attitude.

Lu Chao continued to point out that unlike the Yanping Island guns in 2011, the Challenge of the DPRK was shot to the sea and did not cause casualties.The South Korean side said that it would retaliate fiercely, but no follow -up, the so -called background shot on the sea.More importantly, the United States is busy with the two battlefields of Pakistano and Russia and Ukraine. It has been burnt and unwilling to involve the conflict of the Korean Peninsula. This time, it has not been involved.

"The current situation on the peninsula is tight, but it has not yet reached the night of the war." Lu Chao analyzed that the North -South relations have entered a state of hostile state, and the two sides have deteriorated each other's higher and higher and alternate upgrades, unprecedented.But neither the two sides want to fight, mainly intimidating, relatively restrained, and no large -scale hot war will occur for the time being.The area of ​​the West Sea will inevitably have a limited local conflict. It may be a shelling, or it may be a sinking artillery ship.It should be noted that the Western Sea has always been a high incidence area of ​​the conflict between North Korea and South Korea. It does not rule out that emergencies have become the fuse of war.