The U.S. government is preparing to deal with the efforts of opposing countries to further affect American voters next year.The US presidential election is stable in Russia.China seems to be preparing to support a more aggressive publicity activity.Iran and other countries may try to make splitting in the United States again.
As looking forward to the 2024 election in Washington, the US intelligence agency released a report on the mid -2022 election last week, which provided some clues for the next situation.
Spy agency concluded that Russia supported Trump in 2016.So what about 2024?
As the war in Ukraine is about to enter the third year, Russia seems to pay close attention to the election.
Republican candidate and former President Trump have questioned Ukraine.President Biden believes that assisting Ukraine is in the interests of the United States.
Although the two parties still support Ukraine, Russia's focus is on cracking down on the Democratic Party to prevent the United States from providing more assistance to Ukraine in the next few years.
This intelligence report found that Russia slandered Democrats in 2022, including exaggerating the corruption of Bayeng's family, which was largely due to the support of the Bayeon government for Ukraine.
"Moscow believes that the US President is the initiator of the establishment of a unified Western alliance and let Kiev's continues to follow the Western road," the report pointed out.
Officials said that Russia was overwhelmed by the Black War in 2022, but the report explained how the Ukraine had intertwined with Russia's impact on US politics.The report states that Russia has considered delaying retreat from Hermuson from the southern region, so as not to allow U.S. forces that support Ukraine to "be considered a victory before the election."
In the end, Russia announced the withdrawal on the second day of the election.
As the Republican opposition to funding in Ukraine is getting higher and higher, officials believe that Moscow is likely to try more intervention in 2024.
Did China learn Russia's experience?
Although Russia has been trying to influence the United States' political debate on divergent issues for a long time, the scope of China's attention is often narrower, and it is only against local politicians who expressed on similar issues on Tibet, Taiwan or other similar issues.US officials said the situation may change.
At present, it is not possible to fully determine what strategy China will adopt, or which side will be supported in 2024.However, the report pointed out that China had regarded the 2022 election as an opportunity to promote the American model.
With the control of politics and economy, China and the United States have become more obvious.Therefore, China will be more interested in the influence of expanding the influence of American society, and it is the key goal of Russia's long -term operation.
It is not completely clear how much China will do.But the U.S. spy agency understands this more than what they revealed.There is an ablation in this report that affects reading.It claims that China's "new focus is on" something, but it blackened the theme of the sentence.
What role will artificial intelligence play?
China has begun to try artificial intelligence in influence activities.Industry experts say that this new technology will make it easier for foreign countries to imitate English mother tongue and generate information to expand existing differences at a faster speed.
But the problem that government officials are even more worried are that artificial intelligence technology may be used to make extremely realistic but fake videos, and this false information may have a harmful impact.
Are some countries still trying to invade the local government's computer system?
No.This is a good news in this latest intelligence assessment.
Extremely dispersing the US election system is its most important defense mechanism.Russian hackers did attacked the voting system in 2016.However, foreign countries now believe that it is too difficult to have a substantial impact on the results of the votes by invading the computer network of local governments.
This has caused foreign forces to invest more efforts on other means of influencing the election.
Outside China and Russia
In addition to China and Russia, the report also focuses on other countries that intend to influence the US election.
Thereport pointed out that Cuba hopes that the US government will give up sanctions on it and try to play a role in some Congress and governor's campaign in 2022.Although details were erased, the report stated that Cuban officials focused on politicians in Florida because the local Cuban American community in Miami had a huge influence on the American Cuban policy.Iran supports some false information propaganda on Twitter (now renamed X -Translation Note) and other social media platforms that designed to help advanced candidates.Some of these false information accounts also enlarged the emotions that support Palestine.
Julian E. Barnes reports US intelligence agencies and international security affairs.For more than two decades, he has been writing reports on safety issues.Click to view more information about him.