Since October 27, which is known as the "Three Brothers Alliance", the Deion National People's Liberation Army, Ruokai Army and the Burmese Jokko National Democratic Allied Army jointly launched a military operation called "1027 Action", and Myanmar has gradually trapped in the war and chaos.This is the largest attack launched by the Myanmar government since 2021.Analysts estimate that about 20,000 troops have participated in the operation.The joint statement issued by the three nations and local armed forces stated that the "1027 Action" aims to eliminate the "Armed Group" they call the Myanmar government forces.
After a month, Myanmar war is no longer limited to northern Myanmar, but spreads to the entire Myanmar.The military operations of the three brothers alliance did exceed external expectations, and even began to have unexpected impact on the situation in Myanmar.
In the context of the two conflicts of Russia and Pakistani, Myanmar's situation has received less internationally.However, it does not mean that the situation does not mean that the situation is not serious, and it does not mean that the situation has no effect on the surroundings and the world.The Burmese army seemed very passive when dealing with the Jianga Army's attack, and encountered a loss again and again.At the same time, at least 20 armed groups have been involved in conflicts with the Burmese army and have become a group with government forces.The wolf smoke rose, making the Burmese army falling into the enemy and being tired of dealing with it.
Although the total strength of various types of armed groups has not yet, there are not many Burmese army, and the number and quality of equipment are not as good as the Burmese army, they have geographical interests and people, which is also an important reason for the Burmese army.For example, the people's background of the former democratic government has extensive social support behind the people's defender, especially the bottom and the Burmese.This made the military government alert to conspiracy, and it is difficult to easily consolidate their own rule with great Burmaism.
The supporters of Weng Shan Shuzhi actively joined the People's Defense Force to promote the wave of resistance.This organization gathers various local armed forces across the country to form a huge anti -military government alliance.The fighting for the people's defender is not only the confrontation between the military government and the militants, but also the desire for political change from all walks of life.The conflict of northern Myanmar inspired the most serious military crisis faced after the Myanmar military government seized power in 2021, which has become the consensus of all walks of life.
In the context of the conflict spread throughout Myanmar, the performance of the Burmese army on the battlefield was surprising. Their warfare was backward, it was difficult to adapt to the new era, and the battlefield was defeated.According to reports, the Kokang Army has seized more than 170 strongholds in just one month, and soldiers pointed directly at the old street.At present, the Burmese Army has dispatched the main motorist to guard the old street. If the old street is lost, it will form a window -breaking effect, and the pressure on the Burmese army will be huge.According to the truth, the Burmese Army as a national formal army, when facing various places, has obvious advantages in the number of troops and equipment performance and quantity, but the Myanmar government army has nearly 400,000 people in name, but the actual operation is serious, but the actual operation is seriousRelying on 12 motivation divisions, because of the lack of information support and modern equipment support system, the effect is very poor when facing the juvenile allies and other armed forces in the jungle area.
Myanmar military leader, Min Anglai, began to use all resources to respond to the situation, because armed forces in various places are definitely not a short -term event.These armed goals are no longer just to seize a certain site, but to overthrow the military government.Min Anglai warned that it is an important moment in Myanmar. All the people should support the Myanmar army. If it is not handled, Myanmar may split, and this possibility exists.
If the Myanmar military government fails and Myanmar enters an out of control, it is impossible for this to not produce the consequences of risk overflowing to China, Asia, and the Indo -Pacific region.For China, Myanmar, like North Korea and Vietnam, is the three major axis areas of strategic defense. It is also an important channel for stability and development to the Indian Ocean in the Southwest.Like supporting the military government, India attaches great importance to and considers in Myanmar affairs, which regards it as an important barrier to prevent the expansion of Chinese forces from expanding to the Indian Ocean.
Since the 1970s, Bangladesh has been a victim of Myanmar's internal conflict of political conflict.After the military coup in 2021, as many as 40,000 Qin refugees were admitted to Mizulambang, India. If the refugees continued to reach the states in northeast India, they would put great pressure on New Delhi.In view of the geopolitical competition in China and India, these two strategic opponents of the two largest neighbor and Indo -Pacific region in Myanmar may be cautiously bet on both sides of the Myanmar military government, the civilians and the people's defenders' opposition.
On November 24, the Chinese People's Liberation Army held a military exercise near the Sino -Myanmar border, aiming to "test the fast maneuverability, border blockade and firepower strike capacity of the theater forces."Earlier, the Chinese team was attacked in Myanmar.In a larger scale, China continues to enter the Indian Ocean through Myanmar, which is essential to resolve the "Malacca Dilemma"; New Delhi should worry about India -Myanmar -Thailand highway. This is the core of its "eastward policy" connecting Southeast Asia.EssenceThe uncertainty caused by the Burmese Civil War will destroy the strategic future of neighboring countries.
If the big country involved in the Myanmar civil war through various means, it is the real misfortune of Myanmar, and it is also the beginning of the imbalance of the regional strategic forces.Continuing, it may inevitably bring dangerous geopolitical consequences to Asia and the world.
The author is the CEO and Senior Researcher of China Zhendan Think Tank
