On May 20 this year, more than 400 foreign guests will attend the inauguration of the new president of Taiwan.Compared with the current Tsai Ing -wen, more than 700 foreign guests attended the time when they were working eight years ago.
A diplomatic scholar interviewed bluntly that Taiwan's external environment is not optimistic. Many countries make choices between the Taiwan Strait because of reality considerations, and it is not ruled out that there will be a recent break from diplomatic relations.
Taiwan Foreign Minister Wu Zhaozheng, on Monday (April 15), revealed in the Legislative Yuan that more than 400 foreign guests will go to Taiwan to attend the new presidential inauguration ceremony, including the deputy head of the eight countries.
Wu Zhaozheng claimed that he did not feel the target of Mainland China at present, saying that AIA was very enthusiastic about participation. He went to Taiwan to go to Taiwan with a high level and a lot of people.The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Taiwan is worried that the service energy is insufficient, and it will even mobilize manpower to return to Taiwan from other units, and even mobilize manpower from overseas.
However, on May 20, 2016, Tsai Ing -wen's inauguration ceremony was invited to attend 700 foreign guests in 59 countries; comparison of the two comparison, this year, it is estimated that more than 400 foreign guests are estimated, a full reduction of about 40 %.
The foreign guests of that year came from 22 diplomatic relations and 37 non -diplomatic relations.During the eight-year office of Tsai Ing-wen, 10 countries have broken diplomatic relations with Taiwan, including Lai Qingde Two days after winning, the Pacific Island State Natsu, which was broken with Taiwan .There are currently only 12 diplomatic relations between Taiwan.
Wu Zhaozheng will be transferred to the Secretary -General of the National Security Council after May 20. During his six years of his Minister of Foreign Affairs, Taiwan lost eight diplomatic relations.When he answered inquiries, he said frankly that "being not easy" in the next few months is also expected to continue to target mainland China.
Huang Kuibo, a professor at the Department of Foreign Affairs of the University of Political Science, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that foreign guests at the president's inaugural ceremony decreased.NOFOLLOW TARGET = _blank> is likely to be the result of the direct pressure on the mainland for Lai Qingde .
Huang Kuibo said that the DPP government has always emphasized "world anti -China (mainland)" and democratic countries' unity and stand, and must also invite countries to participate in the inaugural ceremony.However, the estimated number of attendees is not as optimistic as the government's propaganda, indicating that Taiwan's external environment is not optimistic.
In November of last year, the US dollar was the "Xi -Malaysia", and Beijing asked Washington to support the peaceful unity between the two sides of the strait. After that, it also issued support and uniform statements with multiple friendly countries.However, Huang Kuibo believes that countries may not have decided not to attend the inauguration because of the pressure on Beijing, and it is more likely to make a choice between the two sides of the strait based on real politics.It will be lost.
Huang Kuibo is also the director of the Foreign Policy Research Center of the School of International Affairs of the University of China.He believes that cross -strait diplomatic warfare has not yet been retired. Considering that the DPP government facing the attributes of Taiwan ’s independence, it evaluates that“ the possibility of breaking diplomatic relations between diplomatic relations between 520 is quite likely. ”
He said that Tsai Ing -wen broke in 10 countries during his eight years, and only 12 countries left. The "broken diplomatic rate 45%" is a serious settlement of formal diplomatic relations, but the ruling party often instills the concept of "diplomatic relations".It is even more important to improve the relationship between Europe, America, Japan and other countries.
But Huang Kuibo pointed out that formal diplomatic relations and Tingtai are like air and water cannot be compared with water. They should not be confused. After all, only diplomatic relations can formally propose, help Taiwan join international organizations, and recognize the sovereignty of the "Republic of China".He said that if the two sides of the strait continue to be evil and even rely on money to fight for diplomatic relations, it will be difficult for Taiwan to break through the predicament.He lamented that "people who pretend to be sleeping will never wake up" and expect the new government's diplomacy.
