(Taipei Comprehensive News) After the DPP victory over the presidential election, Generally, it is predicted that mainland China will increase the pressure on Taiwan's economy and trade .Analysts predict that in addition to expanding preferential tariffs on the Cross -Strait Cross -Strait Economic Cooperation Architecture Agreement (ECFA), the mainland may also extend the goal to Taiwan's top 30 products to land on land exports in the future and increase its strike.
The Taiwan Economic Daily Sunday (January 14) reported that Yan Huixin, Senior Vice CEO of the Chinese Economics Institute and the senior deputy chief executive of RTA, evaluated that the degree of sanctions on the mainland will be not only from January 1 this year. cancel 12 petrochemical tariffs on the ECFA earlier list .
She judges that the next approach to Beijing is to choose products that have an impact on Taiwan and make Taiwan feel painful, such as other petrochemical products, tool machines in ECFA, as well as metal products, cleaning products and cosmetics, etc.Exit the top 30 projects in the mainland, such as refined copper foil.She alert, "To depend on the worst situation, will Beijing also incorporate projects other than ECFA into sanctions?"
On the eve of the Taiwan election, the Ministry of Commerce of Mainland China issued a message on the official website on January 9 that it was studying to further take measures to stop ECFA's early harvest of agricultural, fishing, machinery, automotive parts, textiles and other measures.
Yan Huixin said that once a crisis occurs, Taiwanese operators must let themselves be in a state of being saved, that is, the risk is usually minimized.She said: "In terms of science, it is suggested that manufacturers depend on the single market of mainland China to fall to less than 30 %. This is also an indicator that is used internationally to determine whether it is too dependent on a single market."
Li Zhenyu, the chief economist of Taishin Financial Holdings, said at a symposium held at the National Policy Research Institute in Taiwan on the 14th that the worst state of Taiwan is not a comprehensive termination of ECFA preferential tariffs, but in Beijing to launch a trade war against Taiwan. Taiwan wants Taiwan.Think about the strategy of response.
