Since the DPP will be in power for 12 consecutive years, should the mainland government and the DPP be pragmatic in addition to the 1992 consensus and find another pass?Otherwise, cross -strait relations will last for 12 years in a cold and peaceful state.

The dust of the Taiwan election was settled, Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin partnered to win, and the Taiwan Strait did not set off a stormy wave. It was the luck of the world.

A self -proclaimed worker of a pragmatic Taiwan independence, one is the only DPP that the DPP who was sanctioned by the Chinese government twice. The PLA has not moved to this day.There is a consensus on co -controlled radical Taiwan independence.

U.S. President Biden announced that "does not support Taiwan independence" after the election in Taiwan, and Beijing's lightning dug out of Taiwan's diplomatic relations, which indicates that after Lai Qingde was in office on May 20Essence

Chen Binhua, a spokesman for Taiwan Affairs Office of Mainland China, responded to the Taiwan election: "The results of the two elections in Taiwan this time show that the DPP cannot represent mainstream public opinion on the island."Winning does not represent the mainstream public opinion of Taiwan. It should be that Lai Xiao has only won 40%of the votes in the triangle war.

In democratic countries and regions, votes are the most specific display of public opinion. It is said that the DPP does not mean that the mainstream public opinion shows that although the Q Q is available, there are indeed votes for scientific testimony.

The National Taiwan Affairs Office did not point out that the Kuomintang, which clearly advocates the "1992 Consensus", does not represent the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan, and the votes of the Blue Camp have retired in the past three presidential elections, showing that the more the public opinion that recognizes the 1992 consensus, the moreCome weaker.

From 43.87%of the 2016 presidential election (Zhu Lilun 31.04%plus Song Chuyu 12.83%), it slipped to 42.87%in 2020 (38.61%of South Korean Yu plus Song Chuyu 4.26%), and then fell to 33.49%of Hou Youyi.

Ko Wenzhe, a presidential candidate who claims to surpass the blue and green party, received 26.46%of the votes.Although Ke Wenzhe advocated "a family on both sides of the strait", he did not explicitly explicitly support the 1992 consensus.

In April 2023, when Ke Wenzhe responded to questions from mainland students at Johns Hopkins University in the United States, he called on Beijing to not adhere to the 1992 consensus.Consensus -like excrement, "For example, this is called a bowel movement, you say that this is a fragrant stool, beautiful stool, the problem is that it is still a stool!"

The Democratic Progressive Party and the People's Party obtained a total of 66.51%of votes in the presidential election, which means that two -thirds of Taiwanese voters do not agree or do not clearly recognize the 1992 consensus.Even if the Kuomintang sets the election as war and peace, trying to arouse the crisis awareness of voters, it still cannot get a ticket.Use the vernacular of netizens: "No matter how bad the DPP is, it is not more terrible than uniform."

Beijing will hold the 1992 consensus as a Dinghai God needle that improves and develop cross -strait relations. During the eight years of administration of the Green Camp, Beijing refused to interact with it on the grounds of the unclear recognition of the 1992 consensus.

In fact, in the first inauguration speech in 2016, Tsai Ing -wen responded vaguely to the 1992 consensus and "a China".She said that in 1992, the Cross -Strait and two sessions adhered to the political thinking of mutual understanding and seeking common ground while depositing differences, communicated and negotiated, and achieved a number of common cognition and understanding, "I respect this historical fact."She also said: "The new government will handle cross -strait affairs in accordance with the regulations of the People's Relations of the Republic of China and other relevant laws in accordance with the regulations of the People's Relations of the Republic of China."

Article 1 of the Cross -Strait People's Relations Regulations, the legislative purpose states that in the "before the country's unity", regulating cross -strait affairs in Taiwan and the mainland region, implied the special relationship between the two sides of the Straits in the Constitution, echoingA Chinese appeal that Beijing persisted.This is believed to be the risk of the DPP president who angered the basic doctrine of Taiwan's independence, and it could go to the limits of the issue of one middle school.

But Beijing is still dissatisfied and responded with "not completed".Tsai Ing -wen has unintentionally answered after winning the second term. In 2020, he did not respond to the 1992 consensus.After eight years, the DPP broke the curse of the three presidential elections in Taiwan. Lai Qingde, which was greener than Tsai Ing -wen, took over, let alone the answers that could be satisfied with Beijing to satisfy Beijing.

Lai Qingde said after the victory that he would be humble or overbearing in accordance with the constitutional system of the Republic of China and maintain the status quo.According to the Constitution of the Republic of China and the additional amendments, the mainland is the Republic of China. As long as the constitutional amendments, do not engage in Taiwan independence, and the United States help Taiwan's self -defense according to the Taiwan Relations Law, cross -strait relations believe that "martial arts" will not occur in the short term.Giant change.

But since the DPP will be in power for 12 consecutive years, should the mainland government and the DPP be pragmatic in addition to the 1992 consensus and find another pass?Otherwise, cross -strait relations will last for 12 years in a cold and peaceful state.Or, Beijing won from Lai Qingde's disadvantaged and the DPP Legislative Yuan, but the DPP Legislative Yuan was only half the situation. Lai Qingde may only be a one.

This year, the US presidential election will inevitably add uncertainties to cross -strait relations, but the winning and defeat of the Taiwan election in 2028 will be more critical, and the fighting of various internal forces and the penetration of external forces will be more intense.If the Democratic Progressive Party in 2028 Lianzhuang, the long -term ruling situation of the Green Camp for 16 years or above is difficult to shake. Beijing has a slim opportunities for peace and unity, and red and green will not find the secret language other than the 1992 consensus.Test of explosiveness.