The Taiwan United Daily published on January 25, which was published in an annual decrease of 16%of the export order. Is Lai Qingde still thanking the ticket?Society.The excerpts are as follows:

Lai Qingde is carrying out the votes around the island.There are 4 months before he officially took office, but the blue and white parties have grinded the knife in Taiwan's legislature in Taiwan. Tsai Ing -wen's mess, the challenges brought by the Kuomintang and the people will come up.

Recently, some news from the island's economic and trade fronts have been very optimistic and challenging.Including the pressure of rising electricity prices, Evergreen Aviation Pilots and Taiwan Railway Trade Unions are brewing strikes. Factory and enterprises lack work, both reflect the industrial structure that has failed to improve the aging, and the burden is getting bigger and bigger.The most frustrating among them is that the amount of export orders released in December 2023 released by the Taiwan economic authority fell 16%year -on -year, and the news of "19 blacks" in industrial production showed far from market expectations.The Tsai Authority originally claimed that the prosperity would return to spring this year, but in terms of existing performance, whether it can recover in the second half of the year is a problem.

Everyone knows that export orders and industrial production statistics are "leading indicators". Compared with fiscal taxes or statistics from customs import and export, they can better reflect the rise and fall of prosperity in advance.In terms of orders in Taiwan, the annual annual orders of 2023 decreased by 15.9%, which was the highest in the history of recession compared to the decline in the history of more than $ 100 billion in 2022.In terms of industrial production, the decline of 12%throughout the year in 2023 is not only for two consecutive years of decline, but also for the first time in history.The industrial production has declined for 19 consecutive months, and the performance of the six major manufacturing industries has shown negative numbers. The electronic component industry and the machinery and equipment industry have decreased by more than 17%annually, which can be described as sorrow.

In the past two years, Taiwan's exports, orders and industrial production have been frustrated. There are international factors, as well as internal political and industrial structural factors.In terms of international factors, due to the confrontation and scientific and technological sanctions of the United States and China, the global trade system was damaged and the free trade was broken.In addition, the economy of many countries has not recovered as expected after the epidemic, coupled with the Russian -Ukraine conflict and the diffusion effect of the Pakistani war, some important routes have been blocked, and countries and regional trade forms have completely changed, and it is difficult to return.In particular, Taiwan failed to join the regional comprehensive economic partnership agreement, and the competitiveness of the product was subject to the disadvantage of tariffs, and it was difficult to compete with competitors.

In terms of internal factors, the influence of the Cai's "anti -China" policy has caused many Taiwan -land agricultural products to be limited by tariffs or trade ban.According to the statistics of Taiwan's financial authority, Taiwan exports in 2023 was US $ 432.4 billion, a year -on -year decrease of 9.8%. Although the trade surplus reached 80.56 billion US dollars, the trade surplus to the mainland and Hong Kong reached 80.55 billion US dollars.That is, deducting its surplus to the mainland and Hong Kong, Taiwan's surplus is almost zero.If cross -strait relations and trade continue to deteriorate, after this year, Taiwan is likely to become a trade deficit economy.

The reason why we list so many economic and trade industry numbers is to remind Lai Qingde: When Taiwan ’s economic good times were used by Cai Yingwen, what everyone would face next is to be tightened, low, electricity and lack of work, high work, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, high, and high, high, high, and high, high, high, and high, high, high, and high.The era of low education.The Cai's Anti -Available "Da Nengxuan" has exhausted the trust of the people; throughout the young generation, it has devoted himself to the opposition camp.How to maintain social trust in the future must be a difficult challenge.

The development of

Economic and Industry is probably the personal weakness of Lai Qingde; in the process of his campaign, people rarely heard him published relevant political opinions.In order to cope with Taiwan's upcoming traditional industrial dilemma and economic challenges, and new measures that may be sacrificed by the mainland, Lai Qingde may wish to think about the future of Taiwan's economy.