In response to Beijing through M503 routes, Xiamen -Golden Gate Water disputes, etc., to promote the jurisdiction over the Taiwan Strait, Taiwan military scholars revealed Monday (April 22) analysis that in the future, mainland Chinese civil aviation aircraft detour M503 routes,It is bound to cross the Taiwan Strait Central Line; the mainland law enforcement ship will follow the Diaoyu Islands model, and keep a new status quo near the Jinmen banned restricted waters.
After the Taiwan election on January 13, the Chinese Civil Aviation Administration announced at the end of January that since February 1, the M503 route on the west side of the Taiwan Strait was canceled from north to south.; Then , Xiamen's W122 and W123 connecting routes , running from west to east.
This means that Fuzhou and Xiamen flights will no longer be detour to the northern route, and the M503 route is directly from west to east to the middle of the Taiwan Strait.However, because the M503 route is only 4.2 nautical miles (about 7.8 kilometers) from the Taiwan Strait midline, this will also greatly reduce the time of Taiwan ’s air defense warning.
It is generally interpreted by the outside world, and through these two incidents, Beijing has broken the tacit understanding of the past cross -strait boundaries and "not denying each other."
The Chinese Strategic Foreign Prospective Association researcher Jie Zhong, who has served as the four -year defense review and national defense report consulting committee member of the Taiwan Ministry of National Defense many times.It is considered a legal war on the mainland to Taiwan.
He said that for Beijing, if the concept of legal concepts can be favorable for its demands in the Taiwan Strait, it can be able to enjoy sovereignty, sovereign rights and jurisdictions to the international claims, and restrict the intervention of third parties to block third -party intervention.; Second, we can also limit the selection of Taiwan's policy and weaken Taiwan's will with the establishment of a new status quo.
In the M503 and related connection routes, Jiezhong pointed out that since the connection route from the west to east is now enabled, the civil aviation aircraft will turn north or south when it is connected to the M503.Under the situation, the turning radius of the aircraft is likely to cross the middle line.
In addition, because 10 kilometers on both sides of the route are also regarded as a reasonable navigation range by international regulations. In the future, the M503 route is driving on the mainland civil aviation aircraft.Set the limited navigation area.
Jiezhong inferred that the use of M503 and related connection routes has also hidden the motivation to further deny Taiwan's jurisdiction in the east of the Taiwan Strait.
As for the dispute between the waters of Xiamen and Jin, Jiezhong Research and judgment, regardless of the results of the consultation, Beijing will send law enforcement vessels to the Diaoyu Islands model for a long time near the Golden Gate forbidden restrictions on the waters.Water cruise.
However, he believes that at this stage in the above -mentioned waters, the mainland is still the purpose of promoting governance and negating Taiwan's effective jurisdiction.However, the conflict is increased, and the mainland temporarily Means .
