Source: China News Agency
Author: Li Zhiquan
Starting from February 11, the Indonesian election entered a silent period, and the 75 -day campaign came to an end, waiting for the 14th vote day.Who will take over Zako, who has been in power for 10 years as the next president and has attracted much attention from the international community.
At the moment, the camps represented by the three candidates have declared that they can "win the priority", but everyone knows that it is not easy to win the first round.If the election enters the second round, the deer will be more unpredictable.
The situation of the three -footed Ding stands
Indonesia holds a general election every five years, and the candidate of Zheng and Vice President is in pair.There were three candidates in Indonesia in the 2024 election.
No. 1 Presidential candidate is Arnis, former governor of Jakarta Special Economic Zone, partner Mu Haimin, President of the National Awakening Party.54 -year -old Anis was the Minister of Education in Indonesia and had a doctorate degree in political science from the University of Elinois in the United States.
Anis is from Shuxiangmen.In 2007, at the age of 37, he was elected president of the University of Paramadida and became the youngest university president of the country.During his tenure as the governor of Jakarta, Anis was praised for crown disease and was criticized for solving other problems (such as economic affordable housing, air pollution, traffic jams, and floods).
No. 2 presidential candidate is currently the Minister of Defense Plaboor, and the deputy is the eldest son of Zako and the mayor of the Thorlo.The 72 -year -old Plabovo was a retired lieutenant general and defeated Zako twice. This was his third time to launch an impact on the president's throne.
Plabovo's grandfather is the founder of the National Bank of Indonesia. His father was a member of the Cabinet during the Sukaro and the Suharto period. He himself was the second son -in -law of Suharto.Plabovo's military career has glory and left uncomfortable history.After the selection in 2019, Plabovo chose to reconcile with Zako and was invited to enter the cabinet.
No. 3 presidential candidate is Gandhar, former governor of Java Province, and partner is Ma Ford.The 55 -year -old Gander was a member of the Democratic struggle of Indonesia and was pushed by the former President Meijiaviti.
Compared to the other two candidates, Gandhar belongs to civilians, but the political resume is rich and complete, covering the legislation to the ruling side.He was considered to establish a better public opinion foundation during his head in charge.
Worry for victory
Three candidates, the oldest Plabovo leading in a number of polls, has a high voice of public opinion.
But after the last debate on February 4th, data from social media research institutions showed that Anis and Gandal performed better, and netizens' positive impressions reached 86 % and 72 %, respectively.On the other hand, Plabowavo has 48 % of netizens who express negative views, and the positive impression is only 43 %.
This also shows that at least in terms of social media, Plabovo did not take the initiative completely.
Giblan was still holding a small braid.On February 5th, the chairman and members of the Indonesian Election Commission were accused of seriously violating the moral rules and pointed at Gibland.
The Indonesian Constitution stipulates that the lower limit of the election and vice presidential president of the vice president is 40 years old.Last year, the Indonesian Constitutional Court ruled that if the 40 -year -old is now or once served as a local leader, it is not subject to this restriction. Gibblan was just 36 years old.Affected by this, the former chief judge and Zoko's brother -in -law of the Indonesian Constitution Court were ruled to "seriously violate" morality and behavior codes and were eventually dismissed.
Although none of these things will affect Giblan as the established facts or qualifications for the candidate as the vice presidential candidate, this topic will be heated again, which will undoubtedly give Plabowo a round of victory to bury the selection.Hidden worry.
According to the relevant regulations of Indonesia, if candidates want to win a round, it is not enough to get more than 50%of the votes, and it will also win at least 20%of the provinces and regions in Indonesia.This is to avoid too much votes in a certain area.
Without candidates, the election will enter the second round in June, the two candidates with the highest votes.Indonesian media analyzes that Anis and Gandhar may join forces at that time, and the election will become more complicated.
Zako's attitude and young voters
Zoko has extremely popular in Indonesia. Whoever can take over himself is important.
A few months ago, Zoko faced the supporters the portrait of a successor: "It can be seen from his face and appearance.The people, his hair is also white ""
Gandhar, who shows the image of white hair, was once regarded as a "white -haired man" in Zakkou.But over time, Indonesian media observed that he and Plabowa were "getting closer".On the one hand, Zoko's eldest son Giblan became Plaboor's vice presidential candidate; on the other hand, Zoko did not attend the party celebration of the Democratic struggle party, and his relationship with the party chairman of the year became the relationship.Very delicate.
Who do Zoko support?He said that for the interests of the country, I support all candidates.Taking the Mo Capital Plan of the Zoko government as an example, both Plabovo and Gandhar said that this policy will continue, while Anis has publicly opposed it.
Who can take over Zoko, but also depends on the attitude of young voters.According to statistics, among Indonesia's 204.8 billion voters, younger generations 20 to 35 account for nearly 60%of the total number of voters.In order to attract young voters, the three candidates made their best solutions.
The top three ticket warehouses in Indonesia are expected to have fierce competition in Java.This is the base camp of the Democratic Corporation. Gandhar has been in charge of Central Java for 10 years.The city of Souro, Java, is the hometown of Zoko, and Giblan is the mayor of the city.
