Source: Taiwan Zhongshi News Network

Author: Liu Birong

NATO will hold a summit at Vernis, the capital of Lithuania on the 11th.The reason for choosing Lithuania to strengthen Northeast Northeast Defense is obvious.The 500 -day Russia -Ukraine War was hit, and NATO Northeast Defense Line strength has been greatly enhanced.From Northern Europe to the Baltic Sea to form a arc that blocked Russia, the Baltic Sea has become the Inland Sea in NATO.The addition of Finland has made the NATO of 30 countries a alliance of 31 countries.The changes in the movement of the power sector and the geopolitics have made NATO's future move.

Observing the NATO summit can be cut in from three angles.The first is whether Ukraine will join.Last week, Zerrenceki went to Europe with Turkey with a whirlwind interview to talk about military cooperation and lobbying for Ukraine to enter the League.It is different from NATO's opinions on whether to accept Ukraine.Supporters believe that NATO cannot lack the puzzle of Ukraine against Russia's defense, and the Nawu enrollment is the greatest encouragement to the morale of the Ukraine on the battlefield.The opponents believe that Ukraine's entry into the Alliance will only make Russia more disturbed, and it is not helpful to the reconstruction of European order after the Russian and U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -U -wartar war.In addition, the Russian and Ukraine War has hit Russia, and Russia's threat to Europe has greatly reduced, and it is not necessary to accept the alliance.

Former US Secretary of State Kissinger's statement was relatively profound.In an interview with economists, he pointed out that after the Russia -Ukraine War, Ukraine would have the most advanced weapons, but the leader was the most experienced country.And the result of the war must be that both Russia and Ukraine are dissatisfied. In the case of dissatisfaction, Ukraine is included in NATO, protecting her with alliances, and restraining her at the same time. It is the best arrangement for Europe and Russia.

At present, the more likely result is to agree to Nawu to enter the League, but the procedure is launched after the war.Because if you let Ukraine join now, Russia's attack on Ukraine will be the enemy of NATO, and Europe will be involved in warfire.

The angle of the second observation is whether Sweden will join.Bayeng met with the Swedish Prime Minister at the White House last Wednesday and said that he was very supportive to join the Alliance in Sweden.But Biden couldn't affect Türkiye.Turkey stated that Sweden sheltered the Kudu terrorists, and also refused to let Turkey extradite reporters who involved in the rebellion returned to the trial. They also condisited the demonstrations to burn the Gulan. Therefore, Sweden requested that Sweden must change the practice to let Sweden enter the alliance.

Article 5 of the NATO League stipulates that as long as one allies have been attacked, they are deemed to attack the entire NATO, and all allies must help each other.In other words, it requires a country to live for another country.Therefore, of course, it is particularly cautious to accept which country to enter the alliance and must agree with each country so that you know who you are.As a result, Turkey has a negotiating chip to exchange the consent of Sweden on the issue of the Kurds.

The United States believes that Erdogan has been successfully re -elected in the May election, and it can be softened for Sweden's position.However, some countries believe that the military relations between Sweden and NATO are almost allies, and they are not as bad as the identity of the allies. Whether entering the alliance has little impact on security.Without a consensus, Sweden is afraid of being afraid of entering the Alliance this time.

The third observation angle is the relationship between the four Asia -Pacific countries (Japan, South Korea, Australia, and New) and NATO.NATO Secretary -General Stoltenberg said that if the Asia -Pacific war occurs, it will have an impact on NATO countries, so NATO must establish a close relationship with the four Asianship.France believes that NATO's attention is Europe, and it will be a mistake to expand the concern to the Asia Pacific.The Four Asia -Pacific leaders will participate in the NATO Summit for the second consecutive year this week. At that time, how will the relationship between NATO and the four countries be positioned and whether there is an institutional arrangement is the focus of our observation.

(the author is a professor at the Department of Political Department of Soochow University)