Ruan Fuzhong, the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, died at the age of 80.He led Vietnam for 13 years, led the country to achieve rapid economic growth, achieved breakthrough diplomatic progress, and carried out the "furnace" anti -corruption movement to purify the officialdom.
Ruan Fuzhong's death leaves Vietnamese politics vacuum, and competition for successors will be more intense.Scholars of interviewees believe that a succession crisis may occur in Vietnam, but core economic and foreign policies should be able to maintain stability.
Yue Tong News Agency issued a announcement on Friday (July 19) that after a long period of serious illness, Ruan Fuzhong was weak due to severe illness. At 1:38 pm on Friday (Singapore time at 2:38 pm)The Central Army Hospital died.The Vietnamese government will hold a state burial for him.
In recent years, Ruan Fuzhong's health has deteriorated.He has been absent from many important events since the end of last year, including the inauguration ceremony of President Su Lin and President Chen Qingmin, The last public appearance is the welcome to Russia President Putin on June 20.
The Political Bureau of the CPPCC issued a notice on Thursday (18th) stating that Ruan Fuzhong was preferred and focused on receiving active treatment.Story20240718-4298418 "R = NOFOLLOW TARGET = _Blank> Temporary Disitaries of Su Lin .
Su Lin's leading successor policy will not have a big turn
In theIn the Vietnam Communist Party, when the General Secretary cannot perform his duties, it should be temporarily represented by the Executive Secretariat, but Ruan Fuzhong and other leaders should not follow this rule.A person familiar with the matter told the Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) Vietnamese Channel that Ruan Fuzhong chose Su Lin Dynasty as the general secretary of the executive secretary before he fell into a deep coma on Wednesday (17th) in the afternoon.
This marks Su Lin's leading position in the successor.People familiar with the matter said that because Su Lin played an important role in the anti -corruption movement, Ruan Fuzhong trusted him very much.
Observer believes that Su Lin is very likely to take over as the general secretary, but this is just temporary arrangement.The 14th National Congress of the CPC will be held in 2026. Who can eventually become the leader to be observed.
Pan Chunyong, a researcher at the Vietnamese project of the East East South Asian Research Institute in Singapore, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that Vietnam's political internal fighting will intensify and face a period of uncertainty but not obviously unstable.
Research Director of the Institute of Strategy of the French Institute of Defense and the expert of Vietnam, Benoit de Treglode, said in an interview that the legitimacy of the Vietnam Communist Party came from economic growth."They can't scare away foreign investors, so maintaining Vietnam's political stability is the primary task of Su Lin."
Ruan Fuzhong has vigorously promoted "bamboo diplomacy", showing a "Vietnamese method" that is neither pro -beauty nor kiss.Some people are worried that changes in the leadership team will change Vietnam's economic and foreign policies and affect foreign investment.
Pan Chunyong said that bamboo diplomacy has always been the core of Vietnam's foreign policy."Vietnam has benefited from maintaining a balanced position between the United States and China, which helped Vietnam to attract external resources and promote economic development. Therefore, Ruan Fuzhong's successor has no reason to change it."
Anti -Corruption Furnace Bear Burning New Leadership must be balanced
Under the leadership of Ruan Fuzhong, Vietnam's economy is booming.In the past 10 years, the average annual growth rate of GDP in Vietnam (GDP) was 5.8%, which has maintained a good growth rate even during crown disease.
What is even more noticeable is the anti -corruption movement initiated by Ruan Fuzhong, which has led to thousands of Vietnamese political and business circles, including local government officials and corporate executives to be prosecuted, sentenced or forced to resign. State PresidentA large number of high -level seniors, including President of Congress, Deputy Prime Minister, and Politburo, have been dismissed in the past two years.
The "furnace" has purified the officialdom of Vietnamese to a certain extent, but it also produced the atmosphere of negative inaction, and sometimes even the public administration was paralyzed.The people are surprised by the huge amount of corruption, and the confidence of the integrity of the bureaucratic system is reduced.There are also critics who criticize Ruan Fulong to crack down on corruption because of political motivation, so as to target political opponents and strengthen the suppression of unusual.
David Hutt, a researcher at the Chinese Institute of Asia, a think tank headquarters in Slovakia, told Lianhe Zaobao: "The Vietnamese left by Ruan Fuzhong is more concentrated than ever, and different voices have been suppressed.As a result, Vietnam will appear in the future strong man politics "
Pan Chunyong said that the Vietnam's new leadership team must master the balance between maintaining policy continuity and promoting reform, especially in anti -corruption."The ability of the leadership to deal with these challenges will determine the political pattern and development of Vietnam in the next few years."