The campaign of democratic elections is an important factor that stimulate voters' emotions and exacerbate voters differentiation, but it is not the root cause.The fundamental reason is that society first has a differentiation or tearing fact.When a society is so fragmented, it is almost impossible to recover, especially after supporting the loyalty of the party's voters of different parties to solidify the party.
If the British Congress election is quite dramatic, the French National Assembly election will be even more dramatic.The results of the British elections are basically expected, but France's surprise is made by France.The extremely right right -wing National Alliance (RN), which was originally stubbornly preparing for governance, unexpectedly planted in the second round of voting and was disappointed.
According to the results announced by the French Ministry of the Interior on July 8th, among the 577 seats in the National Assembly, the Left -Wing Alliance New People's Front (NFP) obtained 188 seats, but lower than the 289 seats required by the absolute majority; the ruling partyThe alliance "together" (or translated as "with", ENSEMBLE) won 163 seats; the right right of the right and part of the right -wing Republican parties obtained 143 seats.
Although the National Alliance suffered a loss at the seat, the voting rate was still ranked first, 37.1%, the new People's Front got the most seats, but the voting rate was only 26.3%.It shows that the basic disk of France is still there.
Some people are metaphorically, this is the "Three Kingdoms era" in France.As far as the three major camps and the votes are concerned, the three -legged is standing, and no party can organize the government separately.This is similar to the votes of major British camps. The difference is that although the British Labor Party has only 34%of the votes, it has won about 64%of seats (412 seats). Although the Conservative Party also won 24%of the votes, it only got 121 seats.The third largest party Liberty Democratic Party won 72 seats (12%of the votes), and the right -wing reform party with the third (14%) of the votes was only five seats.
Regular elections are a major feature of the politics of democratic countries. The election reflects public opinion and also determines that the regime is changing.Britain and France's two council elections have been held in order, but let us see that some European and American political parties have developed signs of bad politics.The most significant and long -term talked about is that the traditional middle -party party's style has been proven again.With the fragmentation of the voter sector that appears slightly, it seems that it is also worthy of attention.Traditionally, the world is two, either in the middle, or the middle right, and now we are in front of us with a three -point or four -point world.
Why is this?The general view of Westerners is that when the olive structure appears in society (small in the middle), it means that the middle class accounts for the majority or become the mainstream, and society will be relatively stable.Or right, a two -party system, such as the British Conservative and Labor Party.However, in recent years, the situation of the middle party has changed the mainstream, and more and more voters have taken the two extremes of the left and right, and the extreme left and extreme right political parties have emerged.
The question is, why would the political parties pull the middle voters away?Perhaps the answer lies in the differentiation of society. The simple olive mode is no longer, and society tears or even fragmented.The reason is many aspects.First of all, it should be said to be the result of the development of capitalism and free markets.Wealth has gradually shifted into the hands of a few people. The gap between the rich and the poor has expanded. Most of the paid middle class has become poor relative to the past, and the actual income is stagnant.At the same time, the welfare system that supports the previous middle -class society has gradually declined in the face of difficulty in loading.
Secondly, it is often mentioned globalization.The so -called globalization is basically a country developed countries that have gradually transferred industrial production or outsourcing into countries with low wages and costs, causing hollowing out domestic industries, and also caused many labor workers to lose their jobs.Capitalists obtain greater benefits, and workers lost rice bowls.The traditional middle political parties were helpless, so they were cast aside by many voters and led to the rise of politicians or populist politicians like Trump.
But we also see that politicians like Trump have the ability to follow the populist route and kidnap a traditional party to achieve the purpose of seizing power, but it cannot solve the problem of the problem caused by capitalism.So it can only be shifted out of sight, and China has become the best scapegoat, because many manufacturing industries have settled in China and made it a world factory.
Therefore, Trump launched a trade war in China, which is a "narrative" that ordinary people can easily believe.See, it is China who has taken your livelihood!Bayeng came to power without him, so he intensified on the basis of Trump, from the expansion of economy to political diplomacy, attract the so -called allies and value partners, and increase its efforts to play "Chinese sandbags".The so -called excess capacity is the most prominent example.
Of course, in addition to these, it must also open the market for the most influential industry in China.This refers to the huge US military composite that can control politics and politicians.They need war and regional tension and turmoil.The United States Republican Party has now publicly demanded that NATO European member states must increase the annual military expenditure to at least 2%of the GDP (GDP).This is required by the military complex.We know that the military complex is also the election gold owner of many politicians.
The third is the issue of immigration.This is also a common problem faced by Europe and the United States in recent years.In Europe, due to the turmoil in the Middle East and the poverty in many areas of Africa, a wave of refugee trend is formed.Germany had received millions of refugees in one breath, resulting in the status of then Prime Minister Merkel.Anti -immigrants have gradually appeared in European countries.Former British Prime Minister Johnson and Sunak also wanted to open up. They signed an agreement with African countries Rwanda to transfer a certain number of illegal immigrants to Lu State.The issue of immigration is also a hot issue in Brexit.Because of the influx of refugees in European countries, the rise of right -wing anti -immigrant parties has also been promoted.Basically, this represents Bai people's nationalism.
European countries used to be the largest colonial scholars in history. They used strong modern weapons to occupy the colonies around the world.These colonies have been independent after World War II, but they are connected with the language of the Lord and maintain a certain amount of contact (perhaps because of the guilt of the past of the past), which is also a main reason for the influx of refugees.In the past, European countries accepted immigrants and had considerations to supplement their labor shortages. However, with the coming of the difficulty of refugee in the Middle East and African war, the issue of immigration has changed fundamentally, and it has gradually become a political issue, and immigration has become a scapegoat for many social problems.Immigration in the United States is mainly due to the continuous influx of illegal immigrants in South America.How to control immigration is one of the disputed hotspots of the Republican and Democratic Party.
The campaign of democratic society itself has a great division. When society has differentiated and torn, and various contradictions and controversial issues emerge, the campaign is more likely to have a stunning effect.During the campaign is the best time for political parties and politicians to incite voters.In order to win, the political parties with various spectral spectra are often across the world.Therefore, the campaign is often the moment of the highest rise in voters and the easiest out of control.Many British voters regretted Brexit in favor of the votes under the influence of the exciting emotion of the election.The most terrible thing is that the political parties attacked each other, pushed the political popularity, and eventually led to the emergence of violence, including the assassination of candidates, street demonstration riots, and so on.
Several presidents in American history died under the gun.On the afternoon of July 13, US time, Trump was also injured when he was in a campaign. Fortunately, the bullet was biased.The election held by Mexico this year can be said to be the most bloody election. During the nine -month campaign, a total of 31 candidates were reportedly assassinated.On July 8, 2022, former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was shot shot during a street campaign.
Comprehensive above, it can be said that the peopleThe campaign of the main election is an important factor that stimulate voters' emotions and exacerbate voters differentiation, but it is not the root cause.The fundamental reason is that society first has a differentiation or tearing fact.Today's European and American society, due to factors such as population and racial structure and changes in social classes, the differentiation of political party politics is extremely obvious.When a society is so fragmented, it is almost impossible to recover, especially after supporting the loyalty of the party's voters of different parties to solidify the party.
The author is a former journalist, a former member of the Congress