Sun Xiaobo: Why is the ＂first shot＂ of the ＂first shot＂ of the public. Why is i

Source: China News Weekly

Author: Sun Xiaobo

On the way to explore the cancellation of the bus, China's trillions of cities Hefei walked ahead.

Recently, Hefei City held a special conference on real estate work in the city to propose 10 measures such as "bold and steadily promoting the" sales of existing housing '' "pilots in the" existing housing "" and "actively exploring the sales of commercial housing in the inside area", which has attracted widespread attention.

Among them, the most concerned content of the outside world is that "avoiding the proportion of the bars from too large, we must actively explore the price of commercial housing sales at the inner area", that is, explore the cancellation of the public storage.

It is understood that this is the first time Hefei has publicly proposed that "exploring the sales of commercial housing sales at the inner area".At the moment when the new real estate policy was launched in many places, Hefei became the provincial capital city that first proposed the "cancellation of the public".

A disputed area of the commodity housing stalls, in fact, has never stopped in recent years. Earlier, members of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference suggested to cancel the rumor area. Earlier, Shaanxi's "women buying 69 square meters of apartments have 37 square meters as the public" incident.It has attracted a lot of attention.

So why is the city where the "first shot" of the public is canceled is Hefei?Will the bars that have been criticized by many home buyers will change this point as the starting point?

Why is Hefei?

Before holding a special conference on real estate work in Hefei City, on July 27, the Hefei City Bureau of Statistics released the analysis of real estate development and operation of the city in the first half of 2023 (hereinafter referred to as analysis of the situation).Essence

Analysis of the situation shows that in the first half of 2023, the sales area of commercial housing in Hefei City was 6.5295 million square meters, a year -on -year decrease of 15.9%, which was 0.8 and three percentage points expanded from the same quarter and the same period last year, respectively, and has decreased for 18 consecutive months.

The analysis of the situation pointed out that due to the new real estate policy in April and the highest base in June, the sales trend in the second quarter went through the short -term improvement in the first two months and continued to decline and decline.EssenceAmong them, the sales of 1.312 million square meters in June in June, a year -on -year decrease of 33.8%.

From the perspective of the regional market, the analysis of the situation also mentioned that in the first half of the year, the sales area of commercial housing in the three major regional regions of Hefei showed a general decline.Among them, the sales of urban and county -level sales continued to decline, with a decrease of 22.2%and 14.5%, respectively; sales in the development zone decreased by 8%year -on -year.13 counties and districts were "3 liters and 10 drops", of which Baohe decreased by 0.6%year -on -year, close to the level of the same period; the trading volume of other counties and districts has shrunk sharply, and Luyang, Shushan, Changfeng, Chaohu Lake decreased by more than 50%.

"The sales market support weakened and the sales of commercial houses continued to decline" is the latest research and judgment of Hefei for the city's real estate market demand side; "insufficient incremental support, the base pressure still exists", it is its research and judgment on the expected end.According to the above analysis, in July, five new real estate projects in the city were added, three year -on -year, and the planned total investment was 4.789 billion yuan (RMB, the same below, S $ 901 million), a decrease of 45.9%.In the first seven months, 57 new projects in the city are expected, a year -on -year decrease of 10, and the contribution of new projects will be weakened further.During the same period last year, the sales market was downturn. The average monthly transaction volume in the second half of the year was about 1.14 million square meters. In the first half of this year, the average monthly transaction of nearly 1.1 million square meters. In the later period, there was no large -scale project push to enter the market.

In the difficulty of sales, Hefei City reduced the number of land supply this year.On July 27, the fifth batch of land auctions in Hefei sold eight plots, with a total transaction area of 535.95 acres, of which 518.58 acres of seven land involved in homes, with a total transaction value of 4.271 billion yuan.Prior to this, Hefei Land Market Network issued three cancellation announcements involving 11 plots.

At the same time, data from the middle finger centers showed that from January to June 2023, the construction area of the land-related land-related planned planned land in Hefei was 3.4415 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 53.7%;53.5%; the land transfer fund was 25.87 billion yuan, a decrease of 40.7%year -on -year.

This is a big background for Hefei to explore 10 measures including the abolition of the public.In fact, in addition to exploring the cancellation of the publicity, Hefei also proposed bold and steadily promoting the "sales of existing housing" in commercial housing, boldly exploring the land supply of "targeted listing, agreement transfer", and vigorously promoting heavy measures such as monetization resettlement and house ticket resettlement.

Hu Yu, deputy secretary -general of the Henan Provincial Society of Commerce Economics, told China News Weekly that there have been new real estate policies in many places, but most of the discounts and incentive measures are concentrated on the tax subsidy, reducing the consumption end of interest rates, down payment ratios, and the cancellation of the public exploration of Hefei.The stall is to unbink from the supply side, stimulate the real estate market consumption by reforming the supply side, in order to boost consumption confidence and drive the real estate market out of the trough.

In the opinion of Song Xiangqing, deputy dean of the Government Management Research Institute of Beijing Normal University, in the case of high downlink pressure, the cancellation of the public area is conducive to stimulating the vitality of the real estate market as a whole.Find that the real estate market recovers.

Yan Yuejin, the research director of the E -House Research Institute, believes that the latest introductory real estate measures for Hefei have a greater impact on buyers, which is to explore the policy of pricing in the inner area.Increased room rate.

He told China News Weekly that Hefei issued 10 measures this year, which was the first city in the country to introduce the "timely adjustment and optimization of real estate policy" on July 24th.Multiple policy provisions are innovative. "This shows that Hefei has made full market research on the new problems and new situations of the current property market, as well as "major changes in supply and demand relationships".

When will the "Public Bubble" disappear?

The bass area is considered to originate in Hong Kong.The management measures for commercial housing sales implemented from 2001 stipulate that the construction area of the commercial house consists of the construction area of the building and the shared construction area.

The bass area is the abbreviation of the "shared public building area", which usually includes: lobby, public entrance hall, corridor, aisle, electric (building) front hall, staircase room, elevator well, elevator room, garbage aisle, pipeline pipeline, pipeline, pipeline, pipelineWell, water pump rooms, fire channels, etc., as well as the construction area of public houses and property management houses for the entire building.

The sum of the construction area of the pool and the construction area in the suit constitutes the construction area of a commercial house. At present, the sales of commercial housing are based on the building area as the basis for the valuation.

Some people in the industry have said that the past multi -layer and small high -rise houses have a smaller area, and the housing rate is generally more than 80%. Some multi -layer houses without elevators have a house rate of more than 95%.Nowadays, more and more high-rise and super high-rise residences are generally only 70%-75%.

Yan Yuejin told China News Weekly that from the perspective of real estate delivery in recent years, one of the more complaints about buyers is that many houses have a low rate of houses, suchNews and other news such as commercial apartments are more than 50%. "

In recent years, the voices of the cancellation of the publicity at the social level have become increasingly higher, and the central and local governments are trying to propose a solid opinion or proposal to cancel the area of the public.

On August 29, 2022, the Inner Mongolia Housing and Urban Construction Department will cancel the publicity area as a recent legislative project that is urgently needed to report to the Ministry of Construction.Many representatives of the National People's Congress and members of the CPPCC have also proposed a proposal and proposal to cancel the bass area.

For example, during the two sessions last year, Hong Yang, a member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, had suggested that the state cancel the bald area.He said, "What are the area of the public, and how many areas of the public are a fog, onlyThe owner has no power to defore by the developer's "Xinkou Kaihe"."

He believes that there is no uniform standard for the division of the current rumor.Which areas belong to the bass area and which areas are not, whether it is repeated charges, etc., can only be calculated by developers."A series of unreasonable charges are also derived from the area of the public storage area. For example, the property and heating fee are charged according to the area after the rumor. During the life of the house, the accumulation of decades is a huge amount of injustice." Heexplain.

Analysis believes that the advantage of the cancellation of the publicity is that the buyers can clearly understand the actual area of the house they purchased while reducing the space for developers to operate the operation of dark box operations.

Peng Peng, executive chairman of the Guangdong Provincial System Reform Research Association, told China News Weekly that ordinary buyers are actually unknown to the size of the bald area, and it is impossible to measure the area.The price of the inner cover can reduce "catfulness".

Song Xiangqing said that the current Chinese commercial housing market has matured, and the public has realized that the existence of developers use the loopholes of the publicity to perform related dark box operations, resulting in an increase in buyers' purchase costs and infringing the rights of buyers.

From the perspective of Yan Yuejin, Hefei proposed to explore the price of the inner area this time. It is a city that reforms the "bubble bubble" earlier earlier in China. It has a very good orientation effect.Reducing real estate companies to "play with cat tiredness" can truly guarantee the right to subscribe and use of home buyers.

It is worth mentioning that as early as 2013, Hong Kong had bid farewell to the public area and implemented a new regulation of residential property sales.From the perspective of the industry, Hong Kong's practice is of significance.It is understood that after the implementation of the new regulations, the sales of new houses in Hong Kong must be marked in accordance with the practical area, otherwise it will be fined 1 million to 5 million Hong Kong dollars and sentenced to 3 to 7 years in prison; for second -hand housing sales, the government requires the seller to provide a "internal area".And the double -portal information for the "building area".

In mainland China, as early as June 2002, the Standing Committee of the Chongqing Municipal People's Congress passed the regulations to require the current and pre -sale of commercial housing to use the construction area in the set as the basis for pricing.However, in 2011, Chongqing was priced from the previous set area and adjusted to two plans: calculated according to the inner area of the set, or calculated according to the construction area.

Peng Peng mentioned that Chongqing is a city that has been priced according to the internal area of the country, but in the past two years, it has also started to sell projects according to the construction area.Calculation method coexist.In his opinion, it is best to clearly marked and pricing both areas, so that buyers can clearly choose.

Yan Yuejin believes that under the current conditions, even if the bald area is canceled, the developer will probably increase the price of housing prices to fill the cost of the bars.The details are public, such as clearly clearly on the purchase contract, "let buyers feel the genuine price."