Source: Taiwan Zhongshi News Network
Author: Lin Baochun
The situation of the 2024 President and legislators of Taiwan is actually very clear. After Hou Youyi has been nominated, no matter what the decision of Guo Taiming's future decision, there is no importance.In terms of the situation of the Green Camp with more than 35%of the firm supporters, the number of victory and defeat has no suspense. It must be that Lai Qingde will get the point first.The Democratic Progressive Party is unique and comprehensive.
However, due to the governance of the DPP in the past 8 years, corruption, relatives, private use, dictatorship, economic sluggish, academic atmosphere, five vacancies have failed to improve, and they have fiddled with hatred and tearing the society.Especially cross -strait relations, swords are tense, and soldiers are in danger. The war may erupt at any time. The people of Taiwan are afraid and are very tired. More than 60 % of the people want to "get off the DPP" and "the party's rotation."" ".
In this case, only "blue and white" can defeat the DPP, it is true.The Kuomintang's "Government Alliance" and the "joint government" of the people's party are actually realized only in the blue and white, and it is possible to achieve it after the DPP is removed.
Blue and White Party must recognize that "blue and white" is not only the key to most public opinion, but also the key to whether its political ideals can be realized.However, the voice of "Blue and Baihe", although it is brewing and proposed for a long time, it only stops verbally that there is no specific action of the blue and white parties, and the opinions of both parties have different opinions."The problem is always hanging.
Although the two parties of Blue and White have their own different ideas and policies, the two sides still have common cognition.And "cross -strait peace" is the most urgent expectation of the people in Taiwan. "Blue and White" actually has a common foundation."Two benefits", "divide and two harms", can be combined with both, the Kuomintang, the people's party, and the people in Taiwan can "win three win".This can be divided into two aspects of "competition" and "combination"."Competition" is a must, because both blue and white parties must be stable and compete with each other. This is mainly based on the efforts of political party votes. From the perspective of the preferences of the existing green, blue, and white parties,In the secondary legislators of the non -division, it is likely to be a three -point world. There are about 10 seats. This is the part of the blue and white parties that can climb and work hard.
In terms of "combination", of course, it refers to regional legislators and presidential positions.Regional legislators are currently more than half of the Democratic Progressive Party, the Kuomintang is second, and the people's party has zero.The people's party is an emerging party, and the grassroots strength is slightly weaker. It is very unfavorable under the small constituency system.If the people want to grow themselves, they must build a deed in regional legislators. This must cooperate with the blue and white parties to cooperate, so that it is enough to break the Democratic Progressive Party's unique situation.The Blue and White Party must cooperate with the regional legislators to coordinate a single candidate to compete with the DPP.
Blue and White Party can analyze the local strength in detail. In the area where the Kuomintang occupy an advantage, the people's party will not send candidates and fully support the Kuomintang;The candidates for hope, here, the Kuomintang should give several seats politely, and follow the example of Cai Wingru, and the people's party will hang up.If the DPP is an absolute advantage area, it is mainly based on coordination. It is best to send only a single candidate.If you can pull down the DPP 8 to 10 seats under the cooperation of regional legislators, in the future, the Democratic Progressive Party of the Legislative Yuan will be able to change.
Of course, the most important thing is the president's position.From the perspective of the current polls of the three -party candidates, Lai Qingde showed a solo, and it was not broken. In the case of "three -footed supervision", he must still be able to grasp the regime.The governing alliance and the "joint government" will end up, and the people of Taiwan still have to suffer for four or eight years.Therefore, Lan Bai must only cooperate to push a group of candidates to have hope.
Presidential positions, there are positive and deputy points, whether it should be "Ke Hou Bi" or "Hou Ke Bi", which can be determined according to the polls of Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi in the future.The political system in Taiwan is divided into the five hospitals, and the president is actually exodus without having to accept supervision. The president of the five hospitals is quite important.The Blue and White Party can actually plan the "shadow cabinet" before reaching the consensus of the presidential title.Ke Wenzhe, Hou Youyi, even Huang Shanshan, Zhu Lilun, South Korean Yu, and even Guo Taiming can be suitable for the future, and include the future considerations.
Here, the people's party should not be too impatient, and the Kuomintang should not be self -proclaimed with the boss. The two sides take a step back.
"Blue and White" is the most ideal combination, but it is also because of excessive idealization, and it is difficult to reality.However, it is also because of its difficulties that it really needs to be completed by group efforts.At present, the Blue and White Domestic Division's Division is still deep, and it is urgent to promote the power of the people."Party rotation" is not only the return of most public opinion, then the folk should also have prestigious scholars and groups. They come forward to call on the blue and white parties.Fold the bottle, and the six kingdoms to fight against Qiang Qin Su Qin.
(the author is a professor at Taiwan Retire University)