U.S. President Biden was once again protested by voters because of the Harbin policy. The analysis was that his later election would also face challenges, and the former President Trump, who also supported Israelpublic opinion.
15 states in the United States and a territory of the United States held on Tuesday (March 5) at the same time, and the two -party presidential candidates were held at the same time. Both Biden and Trump both won.However, data from Edison Research Company shows that about half of the expected votes in Minnesota, about 20%of Democratic voters marked the "uncommitted" on the votes, opposing the White House to support Israel attack Gaza.
This situation also appeared in the preliminary voting of Michigan last week. At that time, about 13%of voters chose to "do not express".
Daljit Singh, a senior researcher at the Easov Isa Eastern South Asian Research Institute, told the United Zard that the challenge under Biden was to fight for the supporting votes for supporters.
"Compared with the 2020 campaign period, the voters voted at this stage to vote for his enthusiasm has been significantly reduced."
Scholars: Extreme Liberals are inclined to reflect on Trump's basic disk, but the more stable
Huang Haitao, an associate professor of Zhou Enlai School of Government Management, China Nankai University, also pointed out that the variables of Bayeng's later election are that they do not support Trump's crowd and may not vote to Biden;Politics is correct and hinders the election after Biden.
Late on Tuesday, Trump expressed his support for Israel's operation in Gaza in the interview with Fox News, and stated: "If I am a president, this bad invasion will not happen at all."
This is the clearest statement on the issue of Yhah.Unlike Biden, his position is not expected to lead to a big rebound.Huang Haitao said: "Trump's support groups are mostly religious conservatives, and they are usually more inclined to Israel on Pakistan and Israel. Therefore, the extreme liberals are rebellious, but the more stable Trump's basic market is."
The US Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) export polls in Virginia's ticket stations show that 63 % of voters who are 45 years old support Trump; 79 % among white voters under university degree belowGive him.The degree of education and economic and social status are not high, and it is also the basic feature of Trump.
Huang Haitao said: "The age characteristics are probably endogenous, and the influence of economic and social status is more direct and essential. This means largely that the basic market of Trump in the November election isRelatively stable, even calculated. "
Although international issues have once again exacerbated social splitting, they are not completely dominated by this year's election.Dargie said that issues such as economy, border and abortion rights are also pivotal."From the traditional point of view, at least since the Cold War, domestic problems are usually the most important (in the election)."
Huang Haitao emphasized that the probability of the American election this year is increasing.U.S. politics polarization, the campaign strategy has been converted from the use of long -term policies to fight for intermediate voters to ensure that the two parties are voted for the basic market, and some short -term events will shake the latter's willingness to vote.
"For example, assuming a fierce protest against public officials one week before the vote, then the election of Biden will be more dangerous; if the Republican state on the southern border is excessive, then the voting of the Democratic Party voters will be even more voting."