Experts pointed out that Trump's current victory is high in the situation of Bayeng and Trump's duel.Trump's lawsuit was entangled, but he used this to advocate conspiracy theory and shape himself as a political "victim".ticket.
Former US President Trump and the current President Biden, there is no doubt that it will be "super Tuesday" to further consolidate the advantages of the Republican and Democratic presidential candidates. This round of election on March 5th, Will be an important vane of the formal duel at the end of the year.
The Democratic and Republican Party arrived on Tuesday (March 5) in the preliminary voting results announced by the 15 states and the US Samoa, which will determine the flow of 36%of the party votes of the two parties.This is undoubtedly a decisive role in the final nominated presidential candidate.
However, in a report, the New York Times directly pointed out that this year's super Tuesday was "unimportant and unimportant."The reason is that the presidential candidate of the two parties has called out.
Since the beginning of the year, Trump (77 years old) has swept six Republican primaries, and each game has won with a double -digit ratio.He has now won 244 votes of party representatives. On the other hand, the only challenger and former governor of South Carolina, Heili, won only 24.From the perspective of Trump's overwhelming advantages in various polls, the gap between him and Heili will only accelerate on Tuesday.
Generally, Heili will become a dream of the Republican presidential candidate, which will be completely crushed on Tuesday.If she really announced her withdrawal, Trump's candidate status will be confirmed in advance.This is one of the matters concerned by all walks of life.
As for the Democratic Party's Biden (81 years old), although the support rate of public opinion is not as good as Trump, it is also easy to win in the Democratic primary election.The only challenge he encountered so far is in Michigan, and up to 100,000 local people chose "no expression" in the Democratic primaries to protest the Biden government support Israel.However, even if there are other states in the same day, other states are imitated, and I believe that it will not be able to reverse the trend of Biden to become a candidate.Bayon's two opponents in the party could not have a climate. When the party representative of the "not expressing" reaches the National Congress of the Democratic Party, I am afraid that there are no other choices. They can only be selected as the Democratic candidate.
Verify whether Trump has been supported by key groups
Bynden and Trump's duel in the November presidential election have been close.But Super Tuesday, it is not just a candidate for the final nomination of the two parties.
Heili is still unwilling to withdraw, because she hopes that the super on Tuesday's votes can expose Trump's fatal weakness and persuade her supporters to sponsor her stay in the election campaign.These weaknesses will also disclose how many victories have Biden's national universal election at the end of the year.
Unlike the primaries held one by one in the past two months, Super Tuesday is the year of this election. For the first time, there are so many states to vote together to cover urban and rural areas, suburbs, different ethnic groups, and voters of different education levels.Multiple states also use open preliminary choices, so they can vote for party members.This allows all circles to spy on the views of different groups on individual candidates outside of the polls for the first time, thereby extending the prediction of the national election.
For example, among New Hampshire and South Carolina's primary voters who have received higher education, up to two -thirds of the primary voters voted at the Republican preliminary selection.California, which is dominated by this group, will further verify this advantage of Heili on March 5?Trump's last presidential election defeated Biden, which to a large extent because he could not win the hearts of higher educators and Suburban voters.
Can you overtake your opponent super on Tuesday?
Eight years ago, Trump won seven states in the preliminary election of the party on March 1, 2016, as much as Democratic opponents and former Secretary of State Hillary.After that, Trump continued to expand his gap with his opponent. In the same year, he officially represented the Republican party for president, and finally defeated Hillary into the White House when he was generally unsightly in the outside world.
By March 3, 2020, Bayon, who faced the Permon Senator Sanders, won 10 states on the preliminary selection on Tuesday, reversing the slump in the preliminary election.At that time, the US media also described the fastest and most dramatic political figures in the history of modern politics in modern American modern politics.He broke out later, representing the Democratic Party and blocking Trump's re -election.This shows that super Tuesday is an important node to indicate political future and fate.
Political confrontation in the next eight months is more intense
After super Tuesday, it was only eight months before the presidential election. The competition between Trump and Biden's two camps will only be more intense.Michael Kazin, a professor of history at Georgeton University, accepted an interview with Lianhe Morning Post, saying that most Americans are now a firm supporter of a major political party, while "swing" voters only account for the total number of voters.To ten percent.
Kazaku said: "Whether Biden or Trump wins in November, more than 40 % of voters will be very dissatisfied. Unless the winner can overcome this emotion in some way, US politics will continue to be severely divided."
"Of course, a severe economic depression or catastrophic war may change this situation, so that the opposition party will gain a huge advantage in the next presidential election in 2028.Trump can not run "
Bynden has been in power for more than three years, and has not shown obvious advantages in the governance of the people.Although the US inflation rate and employment figures are better than expected, when the Fed cuts interest rates at it is still unknown.Foreign outside, the Bayeng government faced the Republican obstruction and could not assist Ukraine to reverse the war; in the Harbin conflict, he was accused of favorably Israel and angered domestic Arab voters.
Since August 2021, Biden's support rate has been less than 50 %, and the national polls at the end of January this year by Reuters / Iposo showed that his support rate has fallen to 38 %.He also supports Trump behind Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
From multiple levels, Trump's current victory is high in the situation of Bayeng and Trump's duel.Trump's lawsuit was entangled, but he used this to advocate conspiracy theory and shape himself as a political "victim".ticket.
If Trump ’s criminal allegations are established, the loss of candidate qualifications, whether it will repeat the 2021 Congress Mountain riots, is also a problem worthwhile.Trump, who is good at manipulating economic and immigration issues, definitely has a battle and even shakes Biden's ability.
However, the election situation is often changing.Kazaku said, "If inflation and cooling and the end of the Harbin War, the election may change in November."
