Li Jinliang: There are two issues that are worthy of attention to the public opinion o

Source: Hong Kong Zhongtong News Agency

Author: Li Jinliang

Recently, the Liberal Democratic Party of the Japanese ruling party has ushered in a major turbulence due to the "black gold politics" scandal.The Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Hyoshi has announced the dissolution of his "Kishida School" within the Liberal Democratic Party, which has been the president, and then the "Abe" and "second -order faction" within the party have also decided to dissolve, causing great attention from all walks of life.

"Paid Valve" is a very characteristic phenomenon in Japanese politics. It is actually the product of "family politics" and "traditional political ecology" in Japan, which combines the product after the so -called "democratic party" system.The oldest part of the Liberal Democratic Party "Kishida Pai" (Hongchi Society), which was officially drawn on Tuesday (January 23), which was officially 67 years.

Analysis believes that although this is designed to eliminate the serious distrust of the people, the latest polls show that the support rate of Kishida cabinet is still sluggish, and the operation of the dissolution of the valve and the operation of broken arm survival will not be able to restore people's support.EssenceMost poll respondents believe that even if the Liberal Democratic Party dissolves factional valves, the political reputation cannot be restored.

In addition to public affairs, there are actually two issues that are more worthy of attention.

One of them, does this mean that there is a huge change in political atmosphere in Japan?Does the left -wing parties return to the center of Japanese politics and dominate Sino -Japanese relations?

Chen Yang, an expert in Japan, Chen Yang, a special researcher at the Oriental Research Institute of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies and Foreign Trade University, pointed out in an interview with the Hong Kong News Agency on the 23rd that this can indeed indicate the changeAfter the pressure of public opinion, especially after the "Black Gold Politics" scandal of the Liberal Democratic Party, the Japanese people have continued to rise about the sound of demanding the dissolution of the valve.Failure in the election.

Chen Yang believes that the left -wing party is unlikely to return to the central government of Japan, because the Japanese people have previously experienced a painful lesson governed by the non -Liberal Democratic Party. The three years in the Democratic Party's ruling has a lot of impact on the Japanese economy until Abe, until AbeAfter Jin San became the Prime Minister for the second time, it changed to Japan.

Therefore, in Chen Yang's view, although there are many problems with the Liberal Democratic Party, it does not mean that the Japanese people will choose to support other opposition parties including the left party, and the opposition party is still not enough to enhance the expectations of the Japanese people to them.Therefore, it is difficult for the left -wing party to return to the central government of Japan, and it is difficult to dominate Sino -Japanese relations.

Another concern is that the dissolution of these "factional valves" will affect the current Japanese parliament controlled by the Liberal Democratic Party and the Kishida government's ruling?

Chen Yang believes that this time the disbanding of the faction will not have a direct impact on Congress controlled by the Liberal Democratic Party, because parliamentarians need to be elected, but this year Japan does not have the elections of the two houses of the public.EssenceBut from the current situation, Kishida will not do so.

In addition, although the Liberal Democratic Party's valve is dissolved, these people are still the Liberal Democratic Party members, so they will not have any impact on the Liberal Democratic Party's operating Congress.

But Chen Yang believes that there will be an impact on Kishida's future governance, because Kishida's governing foundation is supported by several major factions in the party.It is worth noting that these dissolved valves may form new forces in the future, such as anti -shore field forces or supporting Kishida forces, which need to be further observed.