Indonesia's largest party Gorca Party and the National Mission Party have recently joined the Greater Indonesian Sports Party Alliance and jointly nominated Plabovo as a 2024 presidential candidate.In this way, Plabowa was nominated for a total of four political parties, and was the most supporting candidate support for political parties.These four political parties account for 46%of parliamentary seats.Plaboor took a big step forward in the presidential election.
In contrast, another candidate Anis was jointly nominated for three political parties, accounting for only 28.35%of the parliamentary seats.Gandchar was recommended by the Indonesian Democratic Party fighting and unified construction of the party, accounting for only 25.5%of the parliamentary seats.
Although the support of most political parties does not mean that it will win, it makes Plabowo more confident in winning the election.
The former son -in -law from Suhado, known for his preferences and favors, conservatives and radicals.When he was running for the president twice with the current president, he appeared in this attitude.But twice became a defeat of Zako.Later, Zoko invited him to enter the cabinet. He was full of sake, completely changing the style of the past, letting go of extreme conversations and styles, and became "gentle and elegant". It seemed that he had already cleaned his mind and showed a mild image of the elder.
and Zuoko's enemy as a friend
He became very duties in Zoko's cabinet, obeyed the leadership, praised Zoko strongly, and threatened to inherit "Zoko Economics" if he was elected president.He was also very close to Zoko's son, and he was sentenced to two people before the 2019 presidential election.
As a presidential candidate next year, Prabowava completely changed its strategy, actively visited the previous political opponents and social people who were competing with him, and extended olive branches to them.He said cautiously and attract mild factions.Recently, the active member of the Democratic Party Budi Sudhamig also supported him instead of Gandhar.Some supporters and volunteers of Zokko are also willing to associate with Plabovo.
The Lienko Indonesian Unity Party (PSI), which is composed of young people, has also recently accepted the goodwill interview with Plabowo, causing split within the party, and even the elite party in the party.Some people say that there are pro -Plabo Vaer in the party and Gandhar.Later, the chairman of the Unity Party came forward to denied that he no longer supported Gandhar as the president.
In fact, the Indonesian Unity Party is the first party nominated Gandhar as a candidate.The Democratic Party did not appreciate it at the time, and even despised the existence of this small party.However, the Indonesian Unity Party was loyal to Zoko, and Zoko often spoke at this party rally. He also invited several party leaders to join the cabinet.When Plabovo, who "pro -Siko", sent them an olive branch, some leaders in the party began to shake.
In recent years, Plabowo has been very close to Gibran and younger son Kaesang.Gyblan is the mayor of Solo, and Plabovo intends to recommend him as the deputy of the campaign, but the campaign regulations must be 40 years old and Giblan are only 35 years old.Let him run.The amendments to the regulations are still no results.
Giblan did not refuse to be Plaboor's deputy, but just said that he must first complete the mayor of the mayor.In addition, Cassan has announced the campaign of Mayor of Debok in Western Java, and the Plaboor's Great Indonesian Sports Party has also publicly supported it.He seemed to be a supporter of the Zoko family.
Zoko and Michardi are different on Gandhar's nomination.Some analysts pointed out that Gander has been controlled by the United States and Garvadi, so while supporting Gandhar, Zoko also gave him the impression of Plaboor.The Plabovo team took the opportunity to preach his support from Zako.
The change of Plabowo is really dazzling.He started the ranking of Gandchar and Anis on the ranking of Indonesian polls at the end of April, ranking first.The results of the polls in July showed that Plaboava received 38.2%, Gandhar 35.2%, and Annis 18.4%.If this tendency continues, Plabovo will be elected as the President of Indonesia.
Some observers analyze that if the constitutional court amended the age of the vice presidential and vice president to the election period within the presidential maturity period, Plabowo successfully matched with Giblan, which would be a good story of Indonesia.It was a hostile family and eventually became a partner.In this case, Zoko will abandon Gandhar and instead supports Plaboor.
However, some analysts have pointed out that Plabovo may only use Zoko instead of really wanting alliances.He just scattered a gentle votes that support Zoko and Gambel.The gentle faction is incompatible with the Muslim's radicals and conservatives.At the last moment, the two sides will definitely fight.In this case, Zako will support the Democratic candidate for the Democratic Party.
In the confrontation, if Plabowo can split the forces of Zoko and the mild faction, the old forces, the conservatives and the radical camp of the old forces, the Muslim Conservatives, and the radical camp can be defeated in the presidential election and realized the president's dream.Essence
Analysts supporting this point believe that Plabowava joined Zoko's cabinet, betrayed the Muslim conservatives and radical forces, and turned this forces to support Anis.However, Anis's support in polls does not increase against the decline.
When the support rate of Anis's polls decreased, these radicals did not increase his support rate with action.Group organizations such as Yihe, the Muslim Independence Party, and the 212 "Alumni Association" have no movement at all.They did not criticize Plabovo, and seemed to be waiting for the opportunity.In fact, they turned back to support Plabovo.
In fact, in the previous two presidential elections, they supported Plaboor's old forces, Muslim Conservatives, and voters of radical groups. Now they are his supporters, and they cannot support Zoko and Gandhar.
Fadli Zon, the power of Plaboor, is the main bridge of him and the Muslim forces.When he cooperated with Zoko, Fedley also did his own way, not only attacking Zoko, but also defending the Muslim conservatives and radicals, claiming that Indonesia had no terrorist organizations, and there was no need to have anti -terrorist police special forces.Plabovo did not stop Fedley.Obviously, he is playing with both sides in order to save strength.
According to the analysis of the anti -Plaboor person, carefully observed his remarks, he did not reflect or regret for the previous actions and support for Muslim Audit, and did not want to cut off relationships with them.In fact, Plabowo is just changing tactics so that he can ascend the president's throne in the final sprint.
If he gets the president's throne, he must share results with these radicals and conservatives, and will give them at least some benefits.Indonesian Muslim Conservatives and Excisitement will also take advantage of the opportunity to strengthen their forces.
Some analysts believe that although Plabovo is temporarily leading, whoever is elected is too early.Because all candidates have not yet nominated vice presidential candidates.This may have to wait until October 19th, and Vice President's official nomination was officially announced.Vice President's candidates are extremely important. If the wrong person is selected, it is likely to affect the votes.
It is reported that the daughter of the United States and Canadi's daughter Pu'an recently said that if the age of the President of the President and Vice President is passed before the formal nomination, the Indonesian Democratic Party may nominate the matching of Gibland and Gandhar.Plabovo's "cooperation" no longer exists, and Zoko would bow for the Democratic Party's struggle.However, if Giblan did not run, Zoko would show the actual maintenance Ban Zhara (editor: the five principles of the Five Principles of the Eshearton of Indonesia) and the anti -Muslim radical position to fully support Gandhar.The matching of Indonesian and vice presidential candidates is very important. It may have to wait until the official nomination date to make more specific analysis.
