Goldman Sachs Economist O'Neal created the abbreviation of the "BRIC" (BRIC) about 20 years ago. It is his cognition.EssenceThe genes of the BRICS countries are very different from their ideology and political system. The term Bric did not contain "gold", but it was just a "brick", but the Chinese translation made the brick with gold.This is also in line with O'Neal's original intention.
The world today is full of "Summit" and "International Forum" without substantive significance, such as the 20th Golk Group, the Davos Economic Forum, the Asia -Pacific Economic and Cooperative Summit, etc.forum.The so -called "no substantial significance" refers to the effective results of the forum's economic and politics of the members.However, the BRICS Five Council Summit held in Johannesburg recently has attracted global attention.
First, O'Neal, the father of "BRICS", has a low evaluation of the BRICS countries as a whole.On June 1 this year, the African Business website published an article interviewed by O'Neal.He believes that the economic performance of the BRICS countries is not what he expects.After the first 10 years of glorious, Brazil and Russia experienced the second 10 years of catastrophic.The names of the names of Brazil and Russia accounted for the GDP's GDP (GDP) share, which was not larger than in 2001.China and India do better than he imagined.Russia's performance is very disappointing.South Africa became very terrible.
Economically, the overall size of the Vancouver GDP in 2022 has exceeded the Seven Kingdoms Group (G7).The strength of China and India is to increase color for the BRICS countries.From a political point of view, because the results of the G7 rule the world are embarrassing, the share of G7 in the world GDP has declined.The most important thing is that G7 cannot solve global problems. The reason why the word BRICS is created is to show that the world needs a better global governance model than G7.
Many cases indicate that the BRICS countries are symbolic.China and India have never reached an agreement on anything.The reason why the BRICS countries tried to fight for influence in Africa, and China invited South Africa to join in order to develop relations with the entire Sahara Africa.The idea of trying to launch a single currency is very ridiculous, which is just their symbolic nonsense.It is not feasible to create a common currency for the five economies with large differences.
The description of the above O'Neal is consistent with the overall or individual situation of the BRICS countries, which reflects O'Neal's preference for the BRICS countries. It is based on facts based on facts.The BRICS country is a collection noun based on future economic prospects, not an ideological political group.
Second, the focus of the global media is not economical, but politics.On August 18th, the Chinese Ambassador to South Africa Chen Xiaodong said that "the traditional global governance system shows disorders, disability, and absence, and the international community is urgent to look forward to the combination of BRICS.""" ".The French World News published a long article, the title was "China wants to make the BRICS countries a competitor of G7."The British Financial Times pointed out that China will promote the BRICS Group of Emerging Markets to become a comprehensive competitor of the G7.The article pointed out that a Chinese official who is unwilling to be named said: "If we expand the economic scale of the BRICS countries to the proportion of G7 in the world GDP, our collective voice in the world will become moreStrong. "
This statement is very in line with Chinese logic. As long as the strength is enhanced, China can look at Western countries and can be called Ban America.Chinese Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao replaced Xi Jinping's speech showing:
First of all, China reiterates the desire to change international order and "promote international order in a more fair and reasonable direction." This means that the existing international order is unfair.In September 2021, the global development initiative proposed by Xi Jinping was that Chinese leaders pointed out the direction of the whole mankind during the unreasonable change in the century.
Secondly, anti -American and anti -West has become China's firm political direction.In his speech, "some countries are unwilling to lose their hegemony status" and "domineering bullying" are obviously secretly criticizing the United States.The speech said: "Chinese -style modernization has created a new form of human civilization and shows a new picture of generations." The spirit of this expression is the same as that Xi Jinping is asking Xi Jinping to be a magazine and publish articles that criticize western countries."The biggest disadvantage of Western modernization is capital -centered" "early Western modernization. On the one hand, it is the accumulation of wealth, and on the other hand, the lack of faith, the modernization of material desire"sin".Therefore, the new form of human civilization created by China provides another solution for the world.
Finally, China pursues the "Avenue's trip, the world is the public".The speech said: "China does not have the genes that kings and the hegemony, and there is no impulse to play a big country. Standing on the right side of history." The specific action that reflects China's "world is the public" is that China will launch a special fund for US $ 10 billion for the implementation of it.China's global development initiative proposed.Such a generous internationalist obligation reminds many Chinese people in the three -year famine in China, a ship full of grain headed into Eastern European countries.
At the China -Africa Beijing Summit on August 24, 2022, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi announced the exemption from 23 interest -free loan debts of 17 countries in Africa.Transfer to African countries.Researchers at the University of Boston found that China exempts the total interest -free loan in Africa, accounting for only 1%or lower the total amount of non -loan.It is definitely not once or twice in China to avoid debt to Africa.
Third, the BRICS expansion but does not have genes that compete with G7 or anti -American.Prior to the Johannesburg Summit, the media had been discussing the expansion of the gold brick countries in China and Russia, and creating a power to compete with G7.The difference between the expansion of the BRICS countries is even more different. In the future, it is more difficult to consolidate consensus, and the goals that compete with the G7 or anti -American goals cannot be achieved.
Although China and Russia and Iran are the world's most firm anti -US countries, the overall power of the BRICS as an anti -American overall force does not exist.India is always the main force of balancing China in the BRICS countries.There are two reasons. One is that India has always been worried about the issue of the border between China and India. In 2020, the bleeding conflict of the border between China and India has added new hatred to India's old hatred of China.India's goal of developing military modernization has always been carried out around China.The second is that the US -Indian relations have been heating up sharply in recent years. The Russian and Ukraine War made India open away from Russia. India cannot call G7 or the United States. On the contrary, India hopes to join the club in Western countries.
Brazil has contradictions with the United States, but Brazilian President Lula said to South Africa media: "We don't want to be the opposite of G7, G20 or the United States" "We just want to organize it."It is impossible for the Saudi government to oppose G7 or the United States. Saudi Arabia is more like a country that is spoiled by the US dual standards and is confusing against the United States.EssenceSouth African Foreign Minister Pan Duo also said that the extension of potential BRICS Group as an anti -Western move is "extremely wrong."
It can be seen that the US expansion of the BRICS countries is calm, and the US National Security Consultant Sarawon recently said that he does not think that the BRICS countries will become a geopolitical competitors in the United States.China has always criticized the United States for gangs and engaged in small circles, but Western countries also believe that China uses BRICS countries to engage in small circles.It is impossible for Sino -US strategic competition to avoid pulling a small circle.In fact, there are more and more countries with the US standing team, such as South Korea, Japan, Australia, the Philippines, and so on; the countries with Chinese stations have not increased.
The author is a commentator in Shanghai, China
