Ford: Why is it difficult to get off the Democratic Party of the Democratic Progressiv

Source: Wind Media

Author: Gu Erd

The Kuomintang's All -generation meeting is over, and there is no "change" or "pouring Zhu".Hou Youyi officially represented the Kuomintang for the President of 2024 under all standing and applauding.However, Hou Youyi is still not the a little deserted Blue Camp.The focus of everyone's concern is the future of South Korea's Yu and Guo Taiming, who has not been present, in the future.

The Kuomintang Conference held on the morning of July 23, the agenda was only half a day.Although the weather is hot, the scene is deserted and like Hou Youyi's election.Hou Youyi was present at the scene outside the venue with the big sun. Hou was present with Han's shoulders and apologized for "doing not enough" when he was president in South Korea ’s election four years ago.At that time, Hou Youyi refused to be the chairman of the campaign headquarters of the Korean Yu New Taipei on the grounds of municipalities, and also repeatedly rejected the same stage with Han.Hou Youyi kept a distance from South Korean Yu to make Han Fan dissatisfied. He threatened that the presidential election would vote for Ke Wenzhe instead of choosing Hou Youyi.

Now Hou Youyi put down his body and whispered to South Korea ’s Yu Yu. Of course, he wanted to stabilize the basic disk of the deep blue.In the past, whether it was the Kuomintang or the DPP candidate, they would "rely on momentum" that the basic disk of dark blue and dark green will eventually "vote with tears" to the candidate launched by the party and never run.Most of them are striving for voters in the middle, digging the corners of the opponent, and ignoring the basic disk.

Guo Taiming's statement continues to run

Although there are also three or more candidates in the past, there are more than three groups of candidates in the past, but Ke Wenzhe in the 2024 presidential election has a powerful third forces like Song Chuyu in the 2000 Presidential Election. It has both the hope of election and the cost of breaking the situation.And Ke Wenzhe cut away a large number of middle voters, and the blue and green parties have to take care of the basic disk. Once the basic disk is loosened, it is equivalent to the collapse of the election campaign.

In terms of the current election, the "Taiwan independence Jin Sun" Lai Qingde's deep green basic disk will not collapse, but Hou Youyi has offended Han Fan, and the basics of deep blue may not support him.Even if Hou Youyi showed goodness to South Korea at the whole generation, Han Fan still shouted "President Han" at the scene.Although South Korea said in a public speech, "Be sure to let the Kuomintang presidential candidate Hou Youyi lead the Democratic Progressive Party." In fact, it will be difficult to say how much it will take.

However, in the last election, Guo Taiming had a serious conflict with South Korea ’s Yu, and Ke Wenzhe also showed a disdainful attitude towards South Korean Yu and Han Fan. The two of them had to spend some effort to grab Hanfan.

In addition to Korean Yu, Guo Taiming's movement may also affect Hou Youyi's election.Guo Taiming originally had to do a lot of people in Pingtung on July 26 as the starting style of expressing the determination of the election after the Kuomintang ’s National Conference, but it was announced by the typhoon.However, on the day of the whole generation, Guo Taiming wrote on Facebook:

Mencius said: "Although the millions of people go!" Because the beliefs and principles are correct, let alone the tens of millions of people now want to change. I will not let everyone down.The election and politics bring a new style, and the specific changes make everyone re -ignite the fire of hope!

This paragraph clearly expresses that Guo Taiming will continue to run -although this does not mean that he will not be refunded like four years ago, he will create opportunities and decide the next step.From 2020 to 2024, Guo Taiming has repeatedly repeatedly accused the election, which reduces the voters' trust in him.When he was fighting for the BNT vaccine, he expressed to the Green Camp that he would not run for 2024 President. The DPP Legislative Yuan called Ke Jianming and said that he was "the least political attempt."He once said to him, "No choice."

Hou Youyi has the opportunity to change from the third child to the second child

Beginning with the recruitment of the Kuomintang, Guo Taiming has always forced the party's chairman Zhu Lilun to call him, and also released many criticism of Zhu Lilun to the outside world's unfair practices and self -confidence.However, Guo Taiming's strong style did not make Zhu Lilun change his attitude. It is impossible for the party to change after the party's plenary meeting.Now Guo Taiming's biggest chance of winning is to cooperate with Ke Wenzhe.

Guo Taiming is still too strong for Guo Kehe.First, Kinmen forced Ke Wenzhe in front of the media to "complain about the heart of the shore", and the next day he denied what "Peak Mountain Alliance" had had, and even the two talked about "forget to go back to sleep." And Guo Taiming said that he wanted to acquire the people's party.Please Ko P's "let the elder brother do four years first", and made Ke Wenzhe "afraid of not daring to answer the phone."

If Guo and Ke really can coincide, the probability of winning the election will be greatly increased, but both Guo and Ke are full of political calculations. It is difficult for them to cooperate. It is easy to talk about it.Once Guo Ke couldn't get it, Guo Taiming insisted on running to the end. Due to the high overlap of Guo Ke's supporters, he would cause severe harm to Ke Wenzhe, so that Hou Youyi had the opportunity to change from the "third child" to the "second child" and save Hou Youyi's election.

However, such a "non -green camp fighting" results will make Lai Qingde's profit, and Guo Taiming will become the sinner of the blue camp -of course, with his consistent self -centered style, he will not care about the blame of the sinners of the blue camp.However, the savvy Guo Taiming may also be as good as the 2020 election. In the end, the chance of winning the election is not large and the game will be exited at the last moment.It was only at that time, the blue and white armed forces were probably miserable by President Guo.

Ke Hou, Hou Kejun is difficult to match

Ke Guo is difficult to achieve, Hou Ke or Ke Hou has the only possibility that he wants to remove the DPP.However, Hou Youyi's election team Jin Jicong has said, "Ke Hou is 100 % impossible!" And Ke Wenzhe, who grows on top of his head, is even more impossible for himself to wrong himself and go to the polls far lower than Hou Youyi.

It seems that it is difficult for the dreams of Lan and Bai to want to remove the DPP.