A rebellion organized by Russian mercenaries Wagner, completely exposed the contradictions within Russia and the weakness of the country to the world.The crisis comes from the bureaucracy led by President Putin's bureaucratic system led by the establishment of the Elite Elite, and he lacks sufficient control and binding power for the non -building elite group.
In the early days of "special military operations" of Ukraine in Russia, Putin and Defense Minister Shogu and Chief of Staff Glasimov always held regular talks, and the official media reported this.Under the media conservation light, the Ministry of Defense will be held regularly.Obviously, the Ministry of Defense of the Institute of State during this period was responsible for and dominated the official war narrative on the battlefield.
But as the war began to suffer frustration, the hardliners of non -construction in Russia's politics began to act. Non -establishment of non -establishment of non -establishments like businessman Perigor Ren and Chechen leader Cadrov quickly stood out.The significant characteristics of these people are: they have not held their duties in national defense or security agencies, but they play an increasingly important role in actual battlefields and shaping war narratives.
Wagner Group is a private military company that participated in the war between Syria, Libya, the Republic of China and the Central African Republic and Mali.Although the Wagner mercenaries have been active in eastern Ukraine since 2014, Porigon did not go to the stage until September last year.While he was in front of the stage, a video was leaked, telling the commercial tycoon from the former criminal, how to recruit Russian prisoners in Ukraine to fight.He then revealed that he did have the Wagner Group and set up an official headquarters in St. Petersburg in early November last year, and also publicly boasted on the election on the eve of the mid -term elections in the United States.Of course, Perigo's more volume is concentrated on the public scolding of an institutional elite group represented by Shaoyi and Gracorph.
Cadrov from Chechen, although recently publicly said that he will respond to Putin's call to target the rebellion of Wagner.But at the time, he echoed Porigen's criticism of Moscow's Elite Group.Cadrov has been the leader of the Russian Federal Federation since 2007, the leader of the Russian Federation.His soldiers participated in the conflict between Georgia and Syria and deployed in the war in Ukraine from the beginning.Cadrov claimed that in February last year, 12,000 Chechen soldiers were sent to Ukraine.Of course, Cadrov's main stage was not on the battlefield, but on social media, especially with Ukraine's successful counterattack in Wudong and Wunan last August, Cadrov became even more blunt.
The leader of this Chechen is one of the few Russia's high -profile sounds that face Russia's retreat and heavy reality.He sharply criticized the military leadership and specifically accused the commander of the Central Military Region at that time.
Non -building elites including Pricigor, Kadrov, and Du Jin, a Putin national teacher, have been attacking the Russian -made elite, accusing them of pursuing personal interests and comfort.They insisted that the war was exposed to infidelity and inner corruption.In fact, since then, Russia's power and influence have begun to transfer the official security agencies and national defense institutions led by the Elite Elite to non -national organizations led by non -construction elites, such as Wagner and Kadrov, CadrovForces, they feel that they have the right to publicly and sharply criticize national officials and army generals.
These situations reveal the increasing situation of Moscow, showing that the Russian elite internal conflict is becoming increasingly fierce, and Putin also shows that Putin lacks necessary trust in the Elite Group.Therefore, he had to cultivate a new forces represented by Perigor Ren and Kadrov as an attempt to check and balance (or replace) Elite Group.However, as the Wagner rebellion showed, Putin lacked enough control and binding power on this force outside the system.
This is easy to connect with Emperor Hanwu.At the beginning of the Western Han Dynasty, most of the various systems inherited the rules set by the Qin Dynasty.For example, the Qin Dynasty stipulated that the prime minister assisted the emperor and chief of the court.However, due to the establishment of the Western Han Dynasty, most of the prime ministers were held by the founding of the foundation. They have a prominent status. As the prime minister, not only the prime minister has chief hundred officials, participates in the court decision -making, formulates a law, as well as the power exemption of officials, evaluating officials, even killing officers, and even even the officers, and even evenSome commands of the emperor refused to execute.In this case, the contradiction between the power and the imperial power gradually revealed.In order to balance the court of representative power, Emperor Hanwu decided to set up an institution that only obeyed him.He chose talents from outstanding literati and lower -level officials who did not deal with the court officials, and named them as the order of the Chinese book, so that they could freely enter and leave the emperor to participate in political affairs.These political institutions composed of the emperor's confidant are called inner courts.
The truth ofWagner's rebellion reflects that the Elite Group and the Non -Construction Elite Group are completely out of control when they are competing for resources.The current predicament of Russia is that the country is becoming more and more weak. Putin's strong man politics is facing the collapse. He cultivates the efforts of non -construction elites, which has deepened the internal contradictions of the Russian ruling class.
The author is a Chinese economist and a financial columnist