Source: Ming Pao
The leader of the Wagner Group Poligon came to an end of Lightning, and its exact calculation and the end of the future have attracted much attention.Military analysts and Western intelligence officials believe that there are three main reasons for Porigen's arbitrary mutiny: with the military's high -level internal and financial pressure, and personal political ambitions.
The Syrian Civil War Complaint from the Emoos of the Black War was shot and shot by the Russian army
Pricig has been the key tool for Russian President Putin to apply influence around the world since its establishment of Wagner in 2014, including supporting Putin allies and Syrian President Bashar regime.The grievances between Porigen and the Russian military leadership can also trace back from the Syrian civil war.When Wagner hired mercenaries to advance to a U.S. military position near Delzer, Syria, the U.S. commander asked the Russian Ministry of Defense to confirm the identity of these soldiers, but the latter responded that he did not know. As a result, the U.S. military killed more than 100 Wagner mercenaries.Porigan will be blamed for the defense of Shi Yigu, litting the conflict between the two.
The Russian Ministry of Defense tighten the control of difficult resources
Wagner has grown rapidly for many years, and even dug a corner in the military special forces, and play a key role in the Russian invading Ukraine War.arms.The government's support to Wagner has also been transferred to a private mercenary organization established by the state -owned company such as the Russian Natural Gas Industry Co., Ltd. (Gazprom).
In February this year, Porigon was publicly criticized for Herigu and Chief of Staff Geslamov ordered not to give ammunition and weapons in the Wurga troops in the Ukraine.By May, the Wagner Force captured Bach Murd, Wudongzhong Town, and was the first substantial progress in Russia in 10 months.Geslamov, "because of their sudden imagination, 5 times more than those who should die. They will be responsible for their actions, which is called a crime in Russia."
In early June, Wagner and the Russian regular army were like an enemy forces. Pricigen accused the Russian army on the route of Vagna's evacuation of Bachmomt, and was shot shot by the Russian army when the Wagner was removed.Arrested a Lieutenant Colonel of the Russian Army to revenge.
Putin for a long time, the hostile forces that have allowed the core of power to compete for influence with each other to prevent one of them from challenging him directly.However, with the continuous upgrading of Poligon's conflict with high -level military, Putin finally chose to stand on the side of Shosh.
In order to permanently weaken the influence of their opponents, Shaygou ordered that all volunteer troops in the Russian Ministry of Defense on June 10 must be signed with the government before July 1st.The key fuse of any transformation.Porigen stated that he would not sign a contract.
Requires signing in disguise to compile into a guide fire
Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Russian Military Think Tank Strategy and Technology Analysis Center, said that Pryigo launched a mutiny and "because he thought he was forced to the corner, he just didn't want to be oblivious."
BBC pointed out that the Ministry of Defense requested the signing of the contract to sound the alarm clock of Perigo. He might realize that after he criticized the military in Lianyue, Putin finally decided to support Hohgu instead of his old old man.Allies, because Shosh is approved by Putin, will not take action to control Wagner.
The Institute of War of the US Think Tank (ISW) pointed out that Pryigon's launch of a mutiny is likely to bet against the Ministry of Defense against Russia. It is the only way to retain Wagner as an independent army, but he obviously overestimated the opportunity to succeed.
European intelligence officials said that as of Sunday afternoon, Wagner was still in charge of Milerovo Airport in southern Russia. It is estimated that Perigo may use the airport to send Wagner's loyal high -level high -level to the company's business Africa.European officials also claimed that if Ruprigo went to Belarus, it is estimated that he would not stay for a long time because he was worried that he would be retaliated by Kedi.
