Source: United News Network
Author: Yang Taishun
According to the Call of Presidential candidates announced by the Kuomintang, the summoners must lead in polls, obtain the recognition of cadres in the party, and "fight" in subsequent elections.Among the three, resistance is obviously the most important, because the support of polls and party work only reflects the present, but "fighting" is an important factor in supporting follow -up campaign.
In mid -May, the Kuomintang announced the call for Hou Youyi, and the Party Central Committee stated that because Hou was ahead of Guo Taiming in polls with cadres.At that time, the author questioned the article, why did the three most critical "resistance" not see the evaluation?
It is unknown why the evaluation of the evaluation alone is unknown, but Hou is "impatient", but he was certified immediately after nomination.At the time of nomination, Hou Zeng led the remaining two candidates with 30 % of the support; but in less than a month, he plummeted seven percentage points, and his support fell into the third child, and he even lost to Ke Wenzhe, the emerging little party.The pro -blue name tries to slow the cheeks as Hou, thinking that the doubt in Xinbei Kindergarten is an occasional factor that leads to the decline in Hou's support.However, the unproven regional incident can make the presidential candidate's support fell tragicly, and is it highlighting Hou's impatience?
Earlier representatives of the Blue Camps stated that Hou Knight won Guo, because "Hou passed the two mayor elections, Guo Zhewu, Hou faced the outside world, like cotton, and he was soft.The attack will be angry, the response will be over, so Hou is more resistant. "
This observation is fundamentally misleading.When it comes to fighting, US presidential candidate Trump is undoubtedly the best model.He is well -known in his temper. He has replaced the chief of the cabinet more than one -third of the president in the first year of the president. At present, he has more than thirty lawsuits. He is almost all -included in greed, color, power, and cheating.Although criticisms from all walks of life have continued, it seems that he cannot shake the status of his brother's brother.The media even began to speculate that Trump may be elected as the US president in prison.
Hou, who used to be five -star mayor, made those mistakes, causing him to be so indifferent today?
First of all, the basic disk is alienated.Hou may think that the proportion of voters in the middle is the highest.But do you do not consolidate the basic disk and encounter the enemy camp attack, where can the loyal loyal people stand up to block the bullet?Scholars studying political conflicts know that sidelines are usually the key to victory.When Guo Taiming wore a national flag hat around the camera, Hou or still thought that as long as the Kuomintang nominated the blue camp, he would automatically return to the team.
Traditionally, the Kuomintang has organized the war. Once nominated, even if the watermelon is mobilized, it will become the savior.But the public secret is that the success of organizational warfare depends on the distribution of money.After the party's property was frozen, the Kuomintang organization mobilized was not the same as before.Hou has not held a large -scale activity to date, maybe it is related to funding.Without shaking people's momentum and mobilization, you can only watch the polls decline.
The essence of the two candidates in the wild camp is not much different from the obstacle of Hou Qiang. Hou Ke is a professional who has a doctorate degree.Between "Middle Green" and "Light Green".Highly homogeneity made voters walk around between the two. Today, Ke's popularity has risen. It is not his politics, but because of local blue turns.In other words, if you want to fight, you should first separate from Ke. The "family on both sides of the strait" and "a family on both sides of the strait" obviously make people not see the differences.
The big position requires the guidance of the general position. The raging epidemic in these years has made the people look forward to the two doctors candidates; and the poor economic situation also inspires Guo Chu to go.Hou's background is in the police, and Wen Xuan is often depicted with underworld nemesis.However, public security is not the current primary topic, and Hou is impatient.
Professor of the Institute of Political Research of Culture University
