(Washington Comprehensive News) Iran launched an air strike on Israel on Saturday night. All parties were worried that it might trigger the Middle East War. Some analysts believe that it depends on how Israel responds and whether the United States can prevent the situation from deteriorating.
RaPhael Cohen, director of the Air Force Project Strategy and Article Project of the US Think Tank, told the Strait Times that Iran claimed to attack Israel a few weeks ago so that Israel and the United States have time to respond.In addition, the attack selected at the night when most civilians were at home, and the speed of drones and missiles was relatively slow, giving Israel and allies intercepting.
Benjamin Radd, a professor of law and global research at the University of California Los Angeles Law School, also pointed out: "Iran choose to attack military targets rather than residential centers, indicating that it does not want to upgrade the situation further, but just retaliate in some wayThe Iranian Embassy in Damascus was attacked to deal with domestic pressure.
Iran said on Sunday that it was known that the United States would launch a "limited" defense attack on Israel before, and notified the Middle East neighbors 72 hours before the attack.
Nevertheless, this is still a large -scale attack on Israel.It is unclear whether Israel attacked Iranian territory as retaliation like the previous threatening, and whether it would respond to Iran before starting.
Cohen pointed out that considering Hamas, Lebanon Allah, and Yemenhota armed forces were funded by Iran, Israel had previously believed that it had been in war with Iran.As Iran launched a direct attack on Israel for the first time, Israel's concerns about the Iranian nuclear project will also deepen.
Biden opposes the tooth to return to the United States to take multiple cooling measures
Although the US President Biden promised to unswervingly support Israel's defense, it is reported that Biden has stated that it opposes Israel to return to Iran.
Latard pointed out that the United States can take multiple measures to cool down the situation, such as assisting Israel's evaluation of damage caused by the attack, cooperation with the Middle East allies to weaken Iran's attack ability.The United States can also continue to remind Iran that if any upgrade in the situation may evolve into a larger -scale conflict involving the United States and other allies.
The United States Limited TV News Network (CNN) quoted U.S. officials that the United States had hinted that the Israeli government had hinted before the attack. If Iran has limited retaliation, Israel should avoid letting the situation get out of control.The United States also warned and publicly warned Iran not to pour fuel.
However, the tension between Iran and Israel has not been eased. Due to the lack of direct communication channels between the two countries, this has increased the risk of misjudgment.If Iran and Israel broke out, Iran's agency organizations may participate in it, adding uncertain factors to the development of the situation.
Israel may not make an overdue reaction
It is reported that some senior officials of the Bayeng government are worried that Israel may quickly counterattack Iran without fully considering the consequences.However, the Guardian pointed out that some positive signs show that Israel may not have an excessive reaction.
At the request of Israel, the UN Security Council is scheduled to hold an emergency meeting on Iran's attack at 4 pm New York time (Singapore time 4 am on Monday). It is expected that Israel will not retaliate against Iran before the meeting.
When the Israeli Defense Secretary Garrant sent a call with the US Defense Minister Austin, it did not mention that Israel had to fight back, but it showed that Israel had prepared to resist further attacks.The New York Times quoted an Israeli official as saying that Israel would coordinate with the allies.
The New York Times also reported that the Cabinet of Israel originally wanted to launch a retaliation attack on Iran, but after Byndon persuaded, and the Iranian attack did not cause serious damage, Neitahu did not agree to do so.
Iranian attack and transfer of international community's criticism of Israel
Some analysts believe that the Iranian attack has shifted to the international community's criticism of the Israeli war.
Mohamad Elmasry of Dorha Graduate School told the Peninsula TV: "The past 12 hours is the victory of Neitahuho ... We did not talk about the assistance to enter Gasha.No one in Israel is talking about hostages. This is the effect that Neitanahu wants. We see the sympathy of the Western capital turned again, and they embrace Israel's narrative again. "
Israeli Foreign Ministry said that the attack proves that Iran is behind the scenes of the terrorist attack in the Middle East and the biggest threat to regional stability and world order.Titz, Minister of Cabinet in Israel, said on Sunday: "Facing the threat of Iran, we will establish a regional alliance to make Iran pay the price in the appropriate way and time."