The preliminary selection of the "Super Tuesday" President of the United States debuted this week. The current President Biden and the former President Trump were only one step away from the end of the year.Two collisions.The two countries have been rubbing nearly 10 times since the end of January this year. This is the worst situation so far.
Two Filipino ships and four crew members were The damage and injury means that China and the Philippines must be more and more difficult to control the tensions of the South China Sea through diplomatic means.The friction between the Renai Reef (the Philippines called Ayunjin Reef) with sovereignty disputes may enter a new stage of more dangerous.
Face Trump The prospect of the White House at the end of the year.Obviously, worrying about the United States' support for regional security commitments, it may be weakened after a year.
This uneasy emotion has also permeated in the South China Sea recently.Karnell, director of Asia Research, Dutch International Group, predicted in Manila on February 19 that if Trump was elected as the US president, it may not be as good as the United States under Biden to confront China in the South China Sea.The controversial sea area "becomes more provocative."
When the Philippine Foreign Minister Manaro attended the Australian Special Summit in Melbourne Monday, he also showed some doubts about whether Trump returned to the White House and the United States' military support to continue "strong rocks".He believes that it is difficult to evaluate the results of the US election at this stage, but if any change in the existing policies in the United States, it is likely to have an impact on the Philippine Union Relations.
But there is another sound inside the Philippines, thinking that no matter who enters the White House, the United States will continue to support the Philippines in the South China Sea dispute.
The Philippine Coast Guard spokesman Tarrayo publicly pointed out on February 22 that Trump does not like China and believes that the Philippine Alliance "will not be negatively affected by Trump's re -entry of the White House."
The Philippine Ambassador to the United States Randers also said on February 28 that even if Trump has re -held the president, the United States' position in the Indo -Pacific region will remain unchanged, saying that "this is of course very comfortable."
Romands also refers to the above information, from Trump as a national security consultant, and is still one of the Trump close consultants, Obrain.Oppingeing, the Huahawa, visited Vietnam and the Philippines at the end of 2020, and called on China to stop bullying in the South China Sea.
Although the above two views are re -governed by Trump, the military deterrent power that the United States may deploy in the South China Sea has completely different predictions, but it seems that maintaining toughness in China is a more correct policy choice.
In the Philippines, the pessimist believes that the window period must be grasped this year, actively actively act in the South China Sea, and obtain the maximum benefits before the US election.Opticists believe that the United States will continue to provide military support for the Philippines for a long time, and use the South China Sea issue to fight against China with a small public, so the Philippines can be more aggressive.And this also makes the Philippines friction in diplomatic control.
At the end of last year, the tensions of China and the Philippines in the South China Sea were upgraded for a while. The ships on both sides collided on December 9th and 10th. After that, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi talked to Manaro on December 20 and warned two.State relations have stood at the crossroads and urged Manila not to couple with each other's unsatisfactory external forces.
Congratulations to Lai Qingde on January 15 this year in the Philippines President President Macos, which triggered a new round of confrontation between Beijing and Manila. Foreign officials of the two countries also held a meeting in Shanghai on January 17 and agreed to continue through friendly negotiations through friendly consultations., Properly control the contradictions and differences in the sea, especially the situation of controlling the reefness of benevolence.
But after that, the intensity of the game of China and the Philippines in the South China Sea continued to intensify, and nearly 10 frictions occurred in Renai Reef and Huangyan Island.
After a new round of confrontation between ships of the two countries this week, Marco said on Wednesday that he continued to "highly vigilant" and view China's dangerous actions against the sea police officer of the Philippines.
The US State Department spokesman Miller issued a statement on Tuesday to condemn China to adopt a "provocative action" in the South China Sea, repeatedly obstructing the Philippine vessels to exercise the freedom of freedom of navigation in the sea, and urged Beijing to stop "dangerous and destructive stability."Miller said that the United States stood with the Philippines and reiterated the common defense agreement of the United States and the Philippines.
Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Mao Ning criticized the U.S. State Department to ignore the facts and reverse the black and white, and blame for unprocessed to accuse Beijing's rights protection operations. It threatened China to fulfill the United States and the Philippines's joint defense treaty, provoking the Philippine infringement "endorsement of the platform and cheering up."Mao Ning also warned any third party, including the United States, should not take the opportunity to provoke the problem of benevolence and love reefs, let alone intervene.
Manila chose to confront Beijing during the important political schedule of the Chinese Council (People's Congress and the CPPCC Annual Meeting) this week, and tried to break through the Chinese Red Line. It may be calculated.This not only attracts public opinion, effectively manufacture the impression of Chinese sea in the South China Sea, but also contributed to the joint statement of Asia's member states and Australia on Wednesday. Manila made a profit from a warning that endangers the peace of China China Sea.
The tension between the Philippines and the Philippines has not seen an opportunity to improve. It is foreseeable that in the next year, the South China Sea is destined to be very unrestrained.