Philippine No. 9701 Maritime Police Law Law Law Lawpical ship Teresa Magbanua has forcibly entered the Xianbin Reef (also known as Sabina Reef) in the Nansha Sea (also known as Sabina Reef) since April 17, trying to use the ship to abolishThe detention model has caused the favorable facts of the unmanned islands and reefs, causing the ship to confront and conflict with law enforcement ships in mainland China.Finally, on the afternoon of September 14, the Philippine Maritime Police Ship was evacuated and temporarily concluded.
During the confrontation between the Fairy Reef Lake in China, in addition to the direct confrontation at the scene, the two parties also moved through multiple different fronts such as diplomacy, jurisprudence, intelligence, and international propaganda.as follows.
First of all, as far as the diplomatic front is concerned, Manila keeps asking for help from Washington, although the U.S. Army Commander has personally expressed the media statement that the scope of the application of the United States and the Philippines is covered with the Philippine ship.Witched military ships to escort the Philippine ship, but there was no practical action.Strictly speaking, senior officials of Washington National Security and Foreign Foreign Affairs System did not clearly support what Manila did during the aforementioned confrontation; even if they temporarily stated their statements, they actually only stopped diplomatic dips and official articles.Manila's key aspects on the diplomatic front are not specifically obtained.
If compared with China -US military diplomatic talks in Beijing, coupled with the calling time node of the war zone commanders on both sides, in fact, it can be imagined why Manila will immediately receive troops, and the sea police ship who will obviously be trapped from the Xianbin Reef will evacuate., Return to Mother Port.If the political determination and will of the confrontation between Manila and Beijing in Xianbin Reef are not affected by Washington at all, I am afraid it is very difficult to believe; therefore when Washington has expressed several times, but when the short check is not available, Manila must know what to advance and retreatIt's not surprising at all.
Other powers with Ya'an AIA confrontation, basically also attitude to the outside world, and did not use the official speeches to judge the confrontation between the two sides through the official speeches and pipelines;EssenceAt this time, Beijing was padded with ducks. It expressed its position to relevant countries through the station in the field, and explained that the response to Manila trying to change the status quo and the bottom line of the cope of the action will be taken.Basically, as long as it can keep all parties neutral, do not publicly publish their positions and biases on the matter, and even keep silent to avoid their statements.
Secondly, on the legal front, the content of the fifth point of point in Beijing based on the behavior of the behavior of all parties in the South China Sea: "All parties promise to maintain self -restraint and do not adopt the actions that make the dispute, expand and affect peace and stability, includingDo not live in uninhabited islands, reefs, beaches, sands, or other natural structures, and handle their differences in constructive ways.Actively challenging the behavior declaration of all parties in the South China Sea is obviously not conducive to the stability and peace of the region and the South China Sea. Therefore, the Asian country does not express this, it seems to accept the legal point of view held by Beijing.
In terms of intelligence front, China has an absolute advantage. It also properly uses the intelligence collection and capacity and capabilities of various systems., Strictly grasp the dynamics of the Philippine military ships and fighters in the Fitland Island, so as to master early warning intelligence, and timely dispatch troops to try to break through the Philippine ship to block the line, and take a strong blocking operation.Although the Philippine Maritime Police has been sent by the U.S. military patrol aircraft to cooperate with the transportation and supplementary operations, the dynamic information of the sea area that can be obtained cannot support them.
In addition, as far as the task goal of monitoring Magbaka maritime police law enforcement ship, through detailed records of its water, equipment and lighting, compared to the spy reporting operationsPuerto Princessa, Lawan Island, also translated the princess port) Maritime Police Base Supply to load list to accurately grasp and judge the consumption of oil and water materials for the target ship, as well as the lasting ability to continue to stay in the waters of Xianbin Reef Lake.
Beijing has also collected the configuration of the blueprint and personnel information of the service personnel as an intelligence analysis reference basis.Even after the ship's withdrawal from Xianbin Reef returned to the home port, the personnel on the ship were injured and the dietary reserves were insufficient during confrontation. In the end, it was forced to cook porridge to the daily condition.
Finally, review the international propaganda front. Many political critics and strategic security analysts have noticed that Manila has actively invested in international propaganda in response to the development of the South China Sea, and has stabilized the wind and volume.Obviously through political actuarial.
After the incident ended, Beijing only issued a statement through a spokesperson for the China Sea Police Station. Relevant reports also highly restrained themselves. Obviously, they did not want to dance with Manila through media reports., Stable in response, attitude is quite obvious.According to the international political stock market terms, Beijing has stabilized the voucher on the basic market, and Manila uses the message to operate hard, so it will allow all parties to notice that the two parties have a serious gap on the international publicity front.
Although the ship confrontation at the sea in Xianbin Reef Lake, although the situation is lively, the two sides are really competing to the door, but it is necessary to see the mystery from the various fronts.It still depends on the process and transaction results of the bargain on the stage.
The author is a senior researcher at the Chinese Strategic Society
