Disassembling the relationship between ally, one is to rely on lure, and the other is to rely on force. Russia is an enemy that the United States wants to eliminate, and there is no room for ease.Therefore, these two means can only be applied to China.
The United States should dismantle the Sino -Russian alliance with pressure, which is the recent idea of former US Secretary of State Pompeo.If you want to know if you can dismantle it, you must first know what the China -Russia Strategic Alliance is formed. Nowadays why you need to promote it as a "strategic production partnership."
On May 16, Xi Jinping, Chinese President of the Chinese President who returned to Europe, met with Russian President Putin, who visited China, and signed a joint statement for the comprehensive strategic collaboration partnership between China and Russia and a group of government agreements.By the time of the two countries, coordination and cooperation will be strengthened to respond to the "double curb" policy of the United States.Russia also expressed its welcome to play a constructive role in solving the Ukraine crisis through political diplomacy.
The United States responded strongly.US State Department spokesman Patt issued a warning to Beijing on the 16th that China was not both in both West and Russia.American Intelligence Director Hayins warned that China and Russia are strengthening cooperation on Taiwan's issue and forcing the United States to fall into double -line operations.Pompeo said in an exclusive interview with VOA that the United States must do everything to separate China and Russia.
Worries the United States for concern for the Sino -Russian Alliance
Patt specifically pointed out in a warning that China ’s support for the Russian defense industry“ threatens Ukraine ’s security, but also threatens European security” -out the U.S. government has finally broke a layer of window paper on the highest level.Since the Russian and Ukraine War, the West has the most worried and trying to stop the various disguised military aids in Russia; China's way is to bypass directly to provide weapons, but provide "civil drones" for both parties and to Russia to Russia.Exporting a large number of machine tools supports Russia's defense industry.In the "computer CNC" equipment trade, which is crucial to the Moscow's military industry, Chinese suppliers currently dominate.
The so -called "computer CNC" equipment is an index control machine tool. This industry is an important symbol to measure the level of national manufacturing level and industrial modernization. It is an important basic industry with strategic significance in national defense construction.The British Financial Times increased in an article on the export of advanced machine tools against Russia after the Russian and Ukraine War, quoting the latest data of the Russian customs declaration form. In July 2023, Chinese manufacturers transported 68 million yuan (USD, the same below, about 91.5 million, about 91.5 million, about 91.5 millionThe Numerous control tool, and before the outbreak of the Russia and Ukraine War in February 2022, this data was only 6.5 million yuan.
What are the promoters when China and Russia become allies?
If Pompeo's speech is compared with his strategies for dealing with Sino -Russian relations when he is in the office of the Secretary of State, it is a bit ironic.This curved is a bit big.Pompeo said in an exclusive interview with VOA a few days ago that China and Russia's coordination on the Indo -Pacific region and Taiwan issues are the same as their coordination method on the Ukrainian war. The United States must do everything that can collude with each otherChina and Russia separate.He obviously didn't remember that when he handled Sino -Russian relations, he completely forgot the warning of the two famous international strategic masters.
From the 1970s to 2000, there were three very outstanding international strategic masters.If Huntington is a framework of the framework, Kissinger's credit is to propose the United States soldiers to win the Cold War without blood.Geopolitics seeks leadership in Eurasia and then controls the world's ideas.His big chess game: The primary position of the United States and its geographical strategy are one of the most important literatures after the end of the Cold War.
Kissinger and Bujetzinsky, who have served as Secretary of State, have clearly suggested that the United States must try to avoid the formation of alliances in China, Russia, and Iran. Once this situation is formed, the United States will be very difficult.Bujetzinsky also specifically pointed out that the goal of China (referring to the mid -1990s to 2015) is to see that the United States needs to use China as a partner and allies due to the weakening of the Asia -Pacific power.It is bound to rise this prospect, and we should see that the two countries have common geographical interests in Northeast Asia and Central Asia.He believes that the deterioration of relations between the United States and China will have serious consequences of the entire Asia -Pacific region and the European Asian strategy of the entire Asia -Pacific region and the United States, so we should try their best to avoid this prospect.
Unfortunately, the US strategic diplomatic community seems to have forgotten the warning of the two masters.
2014: Turn point of Sino -Russian relations from cold to hot
China -Russia relations have reached today. The Crimean crisis in 2014 was a turning point in the rise of relations between the two countries. Among them, the US factor cannot be ignored.
The century -old grievances of China -Russia relations have undergone the three stages of "Russia as a division, Russia as the enemy, and Russia as a friend".After the 20th National Congress of the Soviet Union in 1956, the mainland government gradually changed its attitude from "with Russia as a division" to "Russia";It can be regarded as restoration of normalization.At that time, not only Russia's "double -headed eagle" facing the head towards the West, China and the United States were also "strategic partnerships", and a high -level strategic dialogue was held every year.Since both sides want to be good with the United States, they naturally do not value each other, especially Russia did not take China at that time.
This situation did not occur after the Crimean crisis in February 2014, Russia was severely sanctioned by the West, and it had to lower its body to Beijing. Sino -Russian energy cooperation ended the state of bumps and progress smoothly.Since then, China and Russia have begun various cooperation. After about 10 years, it has finally formed the current multi -level interest cooperation -geopolitics, China and Russia are partners against the United States; in terms of economic relations, Russia is a great energy power.China is a large country of energy demand, and both parties need each other.
Pompeo now believes that the United States must do everything possible to open the Sino -Russian alliance that might collude with each other.Obviously he was not very happy to recall the experience of Russia and China at the same time during his period of time as the Secretary of State.As you know the relationship with China, Pompeo once said that Xi Jinping is more dangerous than the Nazis. "Xi Jinping is not only the biggest threat to survival in the world, but also threatened the way of our descendants in the United States."Among the Secretary of State, he was the only one who had publicly humiliated the Chinese government with words; his diplomacy against Russia, because the media concentrated on Trump's "Tong Russia", rarely reported on the State Council's diplomacy against Russia. Until February this yearOn the 25th, the New York Times issued a spy war: How the Central Love Bureau secretly helps Ukraine to fight Putin, and his actual role is known to the outside world.
The article specifically mentioned that Pompeo, who served as Secretary of State in Trump and Bolton, who was a strong anti -Russian Bolton, who "touched Trump in a stomach" and established a CIA.For Russian departments.The head of the department has organized a secret meeting in Hague. Participants include the Central Love Bureau, the British Military Intelligence Office, the Ukrainian Defense Intelligence Agency, the Dutch intelligence department, and other institutions. As a result, a secret alliance for Russia, and UkrainePeople are important members of them.The New York Times article did not say a specific period, but Bolton was only one and a half years as a national security affairs assistant. The time was from March 2018 to September 2019.
Disassembling the relationship between the allies is to rely on the temptation, and the other is to rely on force. Russia is the enemy that the United States wants to remove.Therefore, these two means can only be applied to China.In addition to the current economic and trade exchanges between the two sides, the United States can give China mainly to respond to "partners" in climate change, epidemic, and nuclear diffusion.However, China has now identified the concept of geopolitical and strategic in the United States, China and RussiaIt is the relationship between lips and teeth.Biden has repeatedly called "the Russian and Ukraine War is the war of authoritarianism and democracy." China must be vigilant: Since this is the rush to eliminate the autocratic country, it will be China.China has been publicly criticized by the United States and Europe as "standing on the wrong side" because of its position in the Russia and Ukraine War.Therefore, the temptation may not be able to be applied for the time being, leaving only one force.
The "strategic production partnership" proposed by Putin actually refers to the national defense production cooperation that the United States is worried about.Therefore, Pompeo's suggestion sounds reasonable, but there is no possibility of implementation for the time being.
The author is a Chinese economist in the United States
