February 1 is the third anniversary of Myanmar's military coup. Just one day before, the military government announced the fifth extension of the emergency state for six months.After the military launched a coup to overthrow the Civil League government to seize power in 2021, Myanmar has been in an emergency.The military tried to consolidate the rule this time, but the development in the past three years has shown that the domestic situation is getting worse. The armed rebellion of ethnic minorities has risen one after another, and the siege is slightly. It can be said that it has fallen into a state of civil war.Therefore, the democratic elections promised by the military have repeatedly delayed, and it is expected to be incompatible.
About two months after the military coup, leaders of the ASEAN countries had negotiated with military leader of Min Angle and reached a five -point consensus, including agreed to stop violence, constructive dialogue with relevant parties, giving humanitarianism to humanitarianism, to humanitarianismRescue provides convenience.However, the consensus of five o'clock has not been implemented. Therefore, Asia Jia'an decided to stop inviting the Burmese military government leaders to participate in the Ya'an Conference from October 2021, and only invited Myanmar non -political representatives to attend.However, Myanmar refused to do so, and accused Yajia An's request to interfere with Myanmar's internal affairs.
On Monday (January 29), Aya An held the first informal foreign minister meeting this year. The Myanmar military changed its attitude to a sudden change.It seems that the military government softened a bit in attitudes, but whether it really wants to find it to seek cooperation with Asians still needs to be observed.As Singapore Foreign Minister Vivian said, non -political representatives are only a requirement for the military government to meet the Asian safe. It is still not optimistic about whether the five -point consensus will be implemented next.
Myanmar is currently turbulent inside. Facing the violent attacks of different civil and local martial arts, the military government seems to be poor. Except for continuously extending the emergency state, there is no other scheme.Recently, under the mediation of China, the military government and the three brothers alliances in northern Myanmar have reached a ceasefire agreement. However, other civil arts have continued to conflict with government forces, and even thousands of government soldiers soldiers surrendered to local armed forces.Under such a highly turbulent situation, how can elections be held.Therefore, it is generally expected that the situation in Myanmar will not improve this year, and Asia's Da'an does not seem to help Myanmar from getting rid of the predicament.
How will the situation of Myanmar evolve or become a mystery of no solution, but if the current turbulence continues and the protracted is long -lasting, the variables will be increasing day by day.For example, if the morale of the army continues to be frustrated, the difficulty will not be shaken and the internal changes will be changed.If the momentum of civilians is more and more magnificent, the less he will have the willingness to talk to the military.Min Anglai is more doubtful how long it can be supported.As the government forces defeated in northern Myanmar, some people had made a call for him to step down.
Therefore, the military government is really necessary to recognize the situation and actively act.The current crisis is unsustainable. The more delay, the more likely it will deteriorate, and the more difficult the consequences are, it is absolutely not good for the military.The military government is urgent to restore the normal relationship with the Asian'an as soon as possible, and make good use of the collective goodwill and assistance from the member states of the Asians.A Burmese official expressed such a willingness that Myanmar hopes to be normalized with the Aiananana. It is a wise move to send more officials to attend the Asian Security Conference as much as possible.
For the detailedness of Asia, in the current situation, in terms of promoting the implementation of five points of consensus, it seems that it is more capable of providing humanitarian assistance to Myanmar, alleviating the dilemma faced by the innocent civilians affected by war and turmoil,EssenceThe United Nations also expressed high concern about this. A spokesperson for Secretary -General Gutres pointed out that about three -thirds of Myanmar population (18.6 million) urgently needed human support this year.Therefore, it is very important to ensure that the humanitarian aid channels to Myanmar are unblocked. This should be helpful by Asia in Asia.
In any case, the member states of the Asianian'an cannot interfere with Myanmar's internal affairs. In the end, Myanmar's future can only be determined by the Burmese.Therefore, the joint statement issued by the Foreign Minister after this meeting emphasized that the Asian Simpan will continue to respond to the political crisis of Myanmar based on five points of consensus. The only purpose is to assist it to restore peace and stability, but the political solution must come from Myanmar itself.Burmese self -determination.Really, this may require a long process, unless there are unexpected mutations in the process.Anyway, the Ayanian people may only hope that Myanmar can finally return to the path of reconciliation and democracy and avoid becoming a country.
