Hou Ke's own conditions are actually half a catty. This is why these two people have been unclear in the trend of polls for a long time, and they have a leading reasons for each other.To talk about who the president's position is under such entangled polls, instead of talking about cooperation with the big goal of political parties, it is difficult to succeed. Even if one of them is difficult to choose to concessions, cooperation is destined to be unable to last long.Essence
On the day of Thanksgiving on November 23, there was news of the concept of the blue and white combination of the blue and white combination of the blue -and -white combination of the blue and white combination, but does this mean that the DPP who ruling the Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin combined.Will there be no doubt to defend the regime on January 13 next year?
This is not necessarily.Throughout the long -term polls of Lai Qingde, except for visiting the United States, he briefly exceeded 40%of the levels. Most of the time, his support rate was in the range of 30%to 39%.This means that in the case of triangle war, although Lai Qingde's support rate is higher than Hou Youyi or Ke Wenzhe, none of them have not led a decisive point, which will make the other two groups of candidates combined.The demands for abandoning the insurance are called on the voters to concentrate on the imposing on the wild candidate to achieve the purpose of the party's rotation.
But the blue and white breakthrough is not completely meaningless, because for the most popular "DPP" in Taiwan, this shareholder means that in such a situation, it can only be rely on.Watching.
In the final analysis, the cooperation of blue and white was originally being driven by such a shareholder. The problem is that the blue -and -white candidate combination is not strong enough. No one can propose for persuasive reasons to persuade each other.
In terms of Hou Youyi, although the Kuomintang's strength is strong enough, most of the Kuomintang's regional legislators election campaigns are also okay because of the people ’s civil society’ s citizenship, but Hou Youyi itself does not seem to be the charm of the leaders, and it also does not have the charm of the leader.There is an impressive policy proposition in the field of diplomacy and national defense that cannot be affiliated to president.Instead, the political opinions that he can exert the influence are mostly internal affairs. For example, if you propose families that parents who need to take care of their families, the conditions for loosening the migrant (foreign helpers) are loose.Policies.
However, the problem is that in the internal affairs of the internal affairs. Under the design of the constitutional system in Taiwan, he will take a step by step. Just as the executive dean appointed by the president, you don't need to choose the president!In fact, this is why many people who want to see the party rotation cannot be determined to vote to Hou Youyi.
On the contrary, as far as Ke Wenzhe is concerned, his personal charm is very strong, and the issues of foreign defense are also talked about. For example, his five claims: mutual understanding, understanding, respect, cooperation, understanding, etc.Wait, it is simple and clear and easy to understand. With "Taiwan's Autonomy and Cross -Strait Peace" as the main axis, this can be used to talk about peace with the words of autonomous words.It is not easy to be distinguished, and it is not easy to fall into the entanglement of the concept of one middle school like the "1992 Consensus" claimed by the Kuomintang.
However, Ke Wenzhe's question is, whether his party's talent pool is sufficient and doubtful.Regardless of his past when he was the mayor of Taipei in the past, he rarely developed.The one that allows everyone to be most promoted is probably at his first term that was removed near Taipei Station. Taipei connected to the Zhongxiao Bridge to attract the road, so that the "North Gate" of Taipei Gate will see the day!
Among the counties and cities in which the people of Taiwan are only in the governance of the Taiwan people, Hsinchu Mayor Gao Hong'an is a group of backward polls among the new county mayors, and Gao Hong'an is the governance of the government officials.Personnel appointment changes, reflecting the serious insufficiency of talent pools with administrative capabilities in addition to political stars.The high support of Chen Fuhai, the head of Kinmen County, did not use it to prove that the people's party has talents, because Chen Fuhai was originally a local politician who has been operating in Kinmen for a long time. He has a set of himself in the local area to help him in power.
Therefore, it can be said that Hou Ke's own conditions are actually half a catty. This is why, in terms of the trend of polls, the two are unclear for a long time and have a leading reasons for each other.To talk about who the president's position is under such entangled polls, instead of talking about party cooperation with the major goal of political party rotation, it is difficult to succeed.Cooperation is destined to be unable to last.
Not to mention under the presidential system, which is unable to effectively supervise such as Congress in Taiwan, the tendency to win all the winners. No matter who Hou Ke wants to concession, you need to look back to face the huge political pressure of the people in the party.EssenceTherefore, the situation of Lan and Bai's unblocking is just right!
Pre -election polls are not easy to operate abandoning insurance
However, then, when I have turned it back, although at the beginning of this article, Lai Xiaohe could not be able to deal with the election campaign lightly, because he was afraid that the opponent's operation was abandoned.The problem is that if the current election trend of Hou Ke, even though one of them can be better in the polls, I am afraid that in the end, because Taiwan has the regulations that cannot be announced 10 days before the election, soIt is not easy to achieve complete success in abandoning insurance operations.If the abandonment is not clean, regardless of Hou or Ke, even if he hopes that the party's rotation of the people, you should not be able to guarantee that you can win the final victory.
In order to promote blue and white, some blue camp people must say that Lai Qingde is the president of Lai Qingde. Although Lai Xiaohe may not be so stable, as far as the probability of the current polls, Lai Xiao is indeed ahead.In the situation, the combination is most likely to win.
In short, if Lan Baihe really becomes at this time, perhaps in the election campaign, it will be a fast ship with a full horsepower, driving to victory.However, in this kind of non -political party cooperation, the rotation of political parties under the crowd of Wuhe will bring how much changes will make people doubtful. Instead, if you do not maintain the status quo, it is more certain.
The point is that in the triangle war, in terms of the existing support of the three people, the election has come here, but it has become a slow boat that drives to an unknown. I am afraid that it will not be in January next year.The situation of the presidential election will still be fog and difficult to conclude!
However, in terms of the history of Taiwan's elections, the more such a polls are close to the election campaign, and in the final stage, the more likely it will occur to provoke the emotions of voters in order to reverse the election situation.Therefore, the officials, for now, can only "see the decomposition".
The author is a columnist in Malaysia and Taiwan
