The United States suddenly was particularly concerned about Gaza civilians this time. The main reason is based on the US strategic judgment. China is the only and highest threat to the United States global hegemony.China and the United States are the common beneficiaries of the Russian and Ukraine War, but the Harbin War continued and upgraded, which only conforms to China's interests and does not meet the interests of the United States.
The Israeli National Defense Forces used infantry and tanks to "local raids" in the periphery of the "local raid".This is a tentative and investigating attack, marking that the revenge on Hamas is about to be fully upgraded, and the air force bombarded to the ground to attack. At the same time, the casualties will further rise.
Civilians are the biggest victims of war.According to statistics from Pakistan and the health department, from October 7th to 13th, Pakistan had 1,949 people died and more than 8,600 injuries; more than 1,300 people died and more than 3484 were injured;The number of casualties on both sides has more than 16,000 casualties, and most of them are civilians, including children, elderly people, warfare reporters, and UN humanitarian aid staff.
Hamas digs a big pit for Israel
The war is also beneficial, and there are many, the difference is active or passive, short -term or long -term, direct or indirect, indirect, profits or less.Including but not limited to:
1. Hamas.The fame of terrorist attacks and provocative disputes on the back is far greater than paying, and its strategic tactics are quite clever.Politicia is completely marginalized to become the spokesperson of the Palestinian people. Palestinian President Abbas is afraid to hold a direct selection of the whole people. Once it is held, it will become the legal status and full governance of Hamas.Israel, which will be defeated by the Middle East invincible, caught off guard, suffer heavy injuries, and the core layer has long been remotely controlled from the outside world from the outside of Qatar, Lebanon and other countries.EssenceEven if Hamas died 20,000 soldiers, it had nothing to do with the overall situation. It was not difficult to call for more holy soldiers to make cannon fodder, and even the besieged Gaza was forced to recruit.
Hamas will not have any losses on the site. Israel has no interest in long -term occupation of the Gaza Strip and will not bear the heavy burden of 2 million people. During the temporary military occupation, Hamas can still seduce the elderly and children as the "human body as the" human body as the "human body as the" human body as the "human body as the" human body.Bomb "" made the army defending.Economically, more assistance will be obtained, becoming the number one hero who destroys Saudi Arabia with Israel and consolidates Arabia's anti -Arabia, and will get huge returns.It strategically consolidated the reputation of the "anti -fighter", and the Arab people who were revenge had a bad breath, and dug a big pit for the angry Israel.About 150 hostages abducted from Israel's hostages from Israel's life and death, neither of the sides care; the more clever is that nearly 1.9 million civilians (about 2.3 million in total population, and have escaped more than 400,000 as of the 13th) as hostages and chips, seduce, seduce, seduceCruel revenge in Israel.
2. Nei Tanahu.Since last year, it has tough judicial reform, violated mainstream public opinion, subverts the western -style democratic traditions with the separation of triads, expands the rights of the Prime Minister, and compresses the checks and balances of the Supreme Court's power.After the war at Hamas, the muzzle was consistent, and all the domestic disputes were put on hold, allowing him to get the time and space of breathing, transferred the main contradictions and pressure in China, and temporarily stabilized the Prime Minister's throne.Therefore, he has enough selfishness and self -protection motivation. He has revenge against Hamas.
Three, Iran.For a long time, Hamas's largest gold master, Shiites took the lead in his elder brother. He once resented with the Sunnie's elder brother Saudi Arabia.The U.S. -led Sands will subvert the political territory and order of the Middle East. Iran will be isolated and suffering from the strategic pressure of the United States alone, and does not meet its interests.Hamas suddenly terrorist attacks, Israel had no suspense retaliation, Saudi Arabia suspended negotiation with Israeli relations normally, and formed a major blow to the United States and diplomacy. The series chain reactions were in line with the script set in advance.The more civilians in the Gaza Strip, the more Iran and Hamas have benefited, and the more Iranian military aid and the gold aid Hamas.
Four, Russia.After nearly 19 months of invasion of Ukraine, it has been in the most difficult period, and has stabilized the war, and defeated Ukraine's counterattack this summer.The outbreak of the Harbin War will inevitably disperse US political and military resources and agenda. The two aircraft carriers from Fortune and Eisenhower to the East and Mediterranean are evidenced by emergency dispatch.The United States has led the Western alliance to the United States to be close to the family. The arms reserves and production cannot catch up with the Ukraine consumption. After several hesitation or high risks of revenge on Russia, it is decided to violate the international legal aid Ukraine and bundle bombs.It's empty.
Polish President Duda warned on the 7th that Moscow would benefit Moscow with the Harbin War because it would "distract the world's attention."Israel's weight in the US government, parliament and citizens far exceeds Ukraine. President Ukradiski is concerned that the conflict with Harchien may lead to the reduction of the attention of the international community to Russia and Ukraine.If Gaza's civilians have severe injuries, Russia has the motivation and excuses to consolidate the Iranian alliance and help Hamas through the Iranian military.On the 8th, the Security Council held an emergency closed -door meeting on the situation of Harbin. There was no resolution with compulsory binding force because some member states led by Russia resisted condemnation and punish Hamas.
Five, oil exporter.In the upgrading of the war, the international oil prices will inevitably rise. The longer the fight, the fiercer, the more excess profits brought by the rise in oil prices.Once the oil price tends to stabilize, the Organization of Organization (OPEC), led by Saudi Arabia, usually quickly decides to reduce production and maintain high prices and profits.This trick has been implemented in the Russia -Ukraine War last year, and even at the expense of the wishes of the Bayeng government, the desire to control oil prices, control inflation, and help reelection, it will continue to be implemented in the future.
6. China.From 1927 to 1937, the National Government had the development period of "Golden Ten Years". It was forcibly interrupted by Japan's aggression.It is marked by joining the World Trade Organization (WTO), and China has risen again this century, and the National Games are excellent.Many U.S. government attempts to stir Chinese hardships, strategic intentions have been repeatedly disturbed or transferred by sudden hotspots, and strategic pressure cannot be accepted.The North Korean Nuclear Crisis, the Russia -Ukraine War in 2022, and Harbin in 2023.
Sino -US dollar APEC meets without suspense
Harbin conflict will increase the enthusiasm of the United States to contact China. The most realistic gain is the San Francisco Asia -Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit in November.His suspense, the probability of Hong Kong Chief Executive Li Jiachao increased significantly.The U.S. meeting is more urgent and will be further softened; China will raise the chips and insist that Li Jiachao will also have to attend the summit.The United States continued to sanction in Li Jiachao, and issued an invitation letter in November, and China and the United States could decent down the steps.
From another perspective, observe the United States' response to the Harbin War, and also clearly reflects the different considerations of the interests of the United States and China.Since October 7, President Biden, Secretary of State Brosky, and National Security Consultant Sha Liwen have paid attention to Gaza's civilian crisis, and have repeatedly called on Israel to restrain revenge.The United States negotiated with Israel for the first time to leave the humanitarian corridor for Gaza civilians. After Egypt rejected on the 11th, the US media and the media said that the United States was negotiating with Israel to establish a safe area in Gaza and delay the ground offense.
Since the UN General Assembly decided on November 29, 1947, the United States has always favored Israel and ignore the right to survive the Palestinian people.The "File -Security Council's veto ticket" column of the official website of the United Nations Security Council announced that since the establishment of the United Nations in 1946, the five permanent councils were all veto records.As of October 15, 2023, the Soviet Union / Russia had 113 times,81 times in the United States, 31 times in the UK, 19 times in France, and 17 times in China.Among them, the United States has the most veto in the Security Council. It is the draft resolution of the Middle East, especially the Palestinian issue, with a total of 42 times, exceeding the total of more than half of the total rejection of the United States. Since 1990, it has been rejected 19 times, and 16 of them decide whether the Palestinian issue is decided.
The United States has not cared about the life and death of the Palestinian civilians in 76 years. If you really care about it, it will not be solved until the Palestinian issue is not delayed. It also does not care about the life and death of the local civilians during the Iraq and Afghan war.This time, suddenly the civilians of Gaza are particularly concerned. The main reason is based on the US strategic judgment. China is the only and highest threat of the United States global hegemony. Strategic resources focus on Asia -Pacific.Get out, unwilling to be pulled back to the Middle East.The world police are not easy to do. The United States is still the world's number one powerful country and the only superpower. However, the national strength and prestige have fallen from the peak.
China and the United States are the common beneficiaries of the Russian and Ukraine War. Although they talk about peace, they have been in the heart that the war continues for a long time. A weak European Europe depends more on the United States and a weakened Russia depends more on China.But the Harbin War continued and upgraded, only in line with China's interests and not in the interests of the United States.
Israel's launching ground war is inevitable. For example, the big killing ring has caused tens of thousands of civilians to die and hundreds of thousands of people injured. The essence is "national terrorism", abuse of self -defense, suspected war, anti -human crime, race, raceThe crime of extinction must cause a tsunami of public opinion in the world, especially the Arab world.The United States continues to support it, and it will inevitably deepen the contradictions and consume more strategic resources.Since the United States is eager to establish a united front and consolidate hegemony with China, of course, it is unwilling to be dragged into the pits by Hamas and Israel and be caught in it.
The author is a Chinese current affairs commentator
