If the United States is substantially involved or supports Israel's unlimited upgrade of military operations on Palestine, the results of reconciliation in the Middle East will be paid to the east.It violates the US strategic deployment of the past period of time.
In the early morning of October 7, local time, after the Hamas armed forces launched an attack on Israel, the United States gave Israel the fastest support, not only expressed support for Israel in international morals, but also provided necessary weapons to Israel to do it.Promise.Although the White House National Security Council's strategic communication coordinator Kobe said on the 9th that the United States had no intention of sending a army to Israel, but it would meet the requirements of Israel as much as possible.US President Biden said the United States will provide Israel with military assistance including ammunition and interceptors to supplement Israel's iron dome defense system.On the evening of October 10, local time, the Israeli military announced that an aircraft carrying American weapons landed Israel.
As the most core ally in the United States in the Middle East, Israel plays an important role in the implementation of the US Middle East strategy.Ensure in Israel's security, the stability of the Middle East energy, curbing other great powers such as the Soviet Union of the last century, and the current expansion of Russia in the Middle East, preventing new hegemony challengers from emerging in the Middle East and surrounding areas, such as an Iran with nuclear weapons.For a period of time, the United States' main direction in the Middle East.The implementation of the above -mentioned strategy depends not only on the support of the United States 'global hegemony, but also driven by the global ally system built by it. Israel is the key part of the United States' implementation of the Middle East strategy.The United States' attitude in this round of Harbin conflict also confirms this.
However, with the completion of the Asia -Pacific rebalancing strategy launched during the Obama period, and upgraded to the Indo -Pacific strategy during the Trump period, the US strategic focus has gradually moved to East Asia, and the strategic importance of the Middle East has declined.In terms of operation, Trump and Biden are implementing the withdrawal operations from the Middle East and Central Asia. It can be said that the current Middle East strategy of the Biden government is to not want to substantially intervene in an upgraded Middle East chaos.middle.Multi -level reasons have led to this strategic demand.
Since the outbreak of the Russia -Ukraine War in 2022, the United States has provided weapons and capital support for Ukraine and European allies. The above confrontation has lasted for more than a year.Providing assistance and gradually generating a negative attitude. Ukrainian President Zelei Sky was cold in the United States in September this year, reflecting the division of American politics and American society on Ukraine during this period.Although Israel is more important in the US strategic system compared to Ukraine, it has lasted more than a year in American society and does not know when the war that ended.A new consensus will be a problem to support the in -depth intervention of the U.S. government.In the context of the new American election, this issue has become an important variable that the Republican and Democratic parties have to face.What extent to which Israel is to launch an unlimited attack on the Gaza Strip and other Palestinian regions, it will be a very difficult question.
At the regional level, with the process of re -adjusting the United States in the region's power deployment, in the past period, the reconciliation process in the Middle East has accelerated, including Saudi Arabia and Iran's restoration of diplomatic relations, Balling and Qatar's restoration of diplomatic relations, Syrian foreign ministersIn the past 12 years, the first visit to Saudi Arabia.In the current background, if the United States substantially intervene or supports Israel to upgrade its military operations without restrictions on Palestine, the reconciliation results in the Middle East will be paid to the east.For the past period of time, the US strategic deployment, including stabilizing the relationship between the United States and Arab countries, re -incorporating Iran into the Iran nuclear agreement framework, and preventing them from obtaining key technologies of nuclear weapons.
For Israel's internal, a background of Hamas launched this attack was an intensified division of politics inside Israel. Although the internal opposition to the Israeli internal opposition and the Prime Minister Neyho reached a settlement, the later actionThe direction is still unclear.An Israeli, an uncertainty, will make the United States consider controlling the aid related options it provided.From the current point of view, what the Biden government emphasizes that it provides defensive weapons for Israel, the ammunition supplement of the iron dome system, so whether to provide offensive weapons to Israel in the future, especially the weapons needed to carry out large -scale ground combat.It will be an important issue.
International public opinion has made some new changes in the Harbin conflict in this round.After Hamas launched an attack on Israel, the world's public opinion condemned the attacks launched by Hamas and the Israeli caused a large number of civilian casualties during the counterattack.Mas calls "terrorists".A large number of people separated Hamas's attack with Palestinians to fight for national freedom issues, and the latter of the latter received widespread attention from international attention. Many countries supported Israeli and confrontation with the Palestinian parade.Therefore, once Israel will expand the scope of strike, or cause a large number of civilian casualties in the process of cracking down on Hamas, it will be condemned by a large number of international public opinion. At the same time, the Palestinian issue will heat againThe Palestinian people have attracted worldwide attention.
Therefore, for the United States, it is a test to how much it is to support Israel, and what way the United States will interact with regional countries and other countries in the region and avoid falling into the Middle East chaos again.The problem that does not face, especially in the context of the increasingly polarized political division of the new election, republic and democracy.
The author is an assistant researcher at Chengdu Sendong Research Institute
