Source: United News Network
Author: Zhang Jing
Since the upgrading of Russia and Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Russia has been invaded in Ukraine, not only the impact and influence of neighboring countries have increased significantly. Compared with the invasion of Crimea in early 2014, Taiwan society has a conflict against this conflict.The degree of attention has also been significantly improved.
Of course, this kind of social phenomenon, which responds that the United States actively advocates that countries should put pressure on Russia and provide support for Ukraine, as well as factors; but the main factor should be a number of political observers and strategic commentators in the international community.In the face of Russia and Taiwan's mutual comparison, Russia and Taiwan have triggered the emotional projection of Taiwanese folks. Therefore, Russia and Ukraine conflicts has become a media report to continue tracking and focusing on the focus.
Basically, when the international community's political point of view is incidentally conflicted with the contradiction between Russia and Ukraine, there will be two bold assumptions; first of all, it is believed that although the Russian conflict has begun to invade Crimea in early 2014, it has not allowed Moscow to Moscow.Therefore, it was scorched, but when Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, the intensity and scale of the conflict between the two parties increased significantly. Although Ukraine had a heavy loss, Russia was trapped in war mud, but it was also indisputable.Therefore, politicians generally believe that the reality of the Russian and Ukraine War is miserable, and it will have a decision to disqualify and contract in Beijing's determination to have a decision in Taiwan.
But from another perspective, many security strategic researchers have refuted this view, arguing that the development of the Russian -Ukraine conflict war revealed that many preparations and decision -making errors in Moscow, especially the international community in the United States initiative in the United StatesWith promotion, Russia's implementation of economic and trade sanctions, financial exclusion, scientific and technological blockade and activity cups, especially frozen and confiscation of Russia's various assets abroad, will actually have a vigilant effect on Beijing, and summarize experience lessons in these conditions. Adopt pre -adopt adoptionPrecautions; but it may not have any impact on the determination and political will of Taiwan's martial arts and political will, but it will make it more complete to the Taiwan Dynamic Martial Arts.
Although the two assumptions point of view of the aforementioned assumptions point to the north and north, the commonality is to determine that the Russian -Ukraine conflict and cross -strait contradictions are highly compared with each other.The possibility of being able to fully reproduce the scene in the Taiwan Strait.In particular, it is believed that many response strategies actually have the value of the study of duties, and even believe that it is possible to play and transplant in this announcement. It may also be possible to play appropriate effects.
But if it is very rational thinking and reviewing the strategic environment of Russia and Ukraine, and the actual conditions on both sides of the strait, in fact, it can find out that there are countless elements, which is enough to prove that there will be gaps between the twoWith reference, it is absolutely lacking to repeat the entire history or sufficient to assert that its inevitable development trend is sufficient.
It is undeniable that the conflict between the Russian and Ukraine will definitely allow the mainland government's central policy staff member, coupled with the military plan of the PLA as a staff member, and inspire it from it, but if it is considered to make the entire staff operation and policy planning moreComplete, the degree of military combat preparation and mobilization preparation will increase, and I am afraid it will be too arbitrary.After all, understanding some experience and lessons is one thing. It is another thing to improve and implement according to its own conditions.To learn lessons from the experience of others, although it is a wishful thinking, it is easy to talk about it if you really want to do it?
In short, in human society, different objects will always have their historical trajectory of their respective development; although they can indeed be inspired by mutual reference and verification, the use of a certain historical evidence as the basis for the development prospects of the prophecy to prophecy is based on the development prospects of the development prospects of the prophecy.The foundation is always difficult to accept.
However, the emotional projection given by Taiwanese folks for the development of the war in Ukraine is indeed achieved by carefully designing and political mobilization. As long as it is compared to the general indifference of Taiwan society in early 2014, it can be confirmed by 2022When Russia launched a comprehensive invasion of Ukraine, the Taiwanese folks generously resolved the emotional response of the donation and losses, and classified Russia and Ukraine to each other as an absolute good and evil. In fact, they could feel the analogy of the two.In terms of, how high it will be valued.
Having said that, when the Russian and Ukraine conflict gradually fell into an impasse, the Taiwanese folks gradually began to calmly think about the cause and consequences before the beginning of the emotional enthusiasm for the enthusiasm of the emotion and enthusiasm for the enthusiasm of the emotion.The space also allows Taiwan society to stop in the armed conflict that is far away, or even difficulty in affecting Taiwan's fate, and attacked themselves to each other.At this time, I can't help but ask, what lessons can I get from the premise that the conflict between the Russian conflict and the cross -strait contradictions should not be randomly analogy?
The author is a senior researcher at the Chinese Strategic Society
