Chen Guanan: In the second half of the Taiwan election, integration in the wild is the

Source: Taiwan Zhongshi News Network

Author: Chen Guanan

With only half a year left for the election, the blue -green presidential candidates have been released, and the 2024 Taiwan election is about to enter the second half.

In the first half, because it was set up early in the first half, although it was countered by the British system in Taipei and sporadic regions, the DPP Lai Qingde still maintained a leading position in most polls.However, the continuous downturn's volume, and even if a number of strategies are sacrificed, trying to fight for the young generation through new media operations and subsidy policies, it has always been unable to obtain the support of young people.

As for the Kuomintang's Hou Youyi, although the initial polls of the nine -in -one election remain leading, after the integration of the green camp, attenuation trends, especially in the formation of team formation, a storm in the party in May, and June New Taipei in JuneAfter feeding the medicine and the political of the political affairs, many polls have recently pointed out that it has settled in the third place.However, for the time being, the team has gradually integrated, and the negative sound volume storm has faded. Therefore, the obvious problems are left in the party's integration part, including changing Hou Hou, interaction with the internal factions and the enthusiasm of the party.It is expected that it will come to an end after the end of the generation and the start of the polls.

Ke Wenzhe of the People's Party benefited from the Blue and Green Party's respective crisis and highly recognition of the young generation. Therefore, the support rate in June suddenly emerged, and even appeared more than Lai and Hou.However, after the support rate rose, it was quite obvious. The offensive of blue and green against Ke began to heat. In the early July, Ko was caught in many misunderstandings, including service trade, North Stream, and CPTPP.Like the mansion, the double -sided blade characteristics of fast -moving words.

On the whole, in the first half of the performance, from the perspective of the support rate of polls, Ke Wenzhe took advantage, Lai Qingde, and Hou Youyi needed to catch up.However, in the second half, for now, it is expected that governance and wild camps will face their own challenges.

As far as the ruling party is concerned, the issues left by Cai Yingwen's governance and party and government have indeed had a certain impact on Lai Qingde, including the people's livelihood issues such as sexual shows, energy, public security, etc.The rhythm of the bright rhythm, pre -dismantling the bomb without a long -lasting war, avoiding the situation of the 2022 Lin Zhijian's paper, one person destroyed the whole party.For example, the cancellation of many legislators nominated, forcing the Executive Yuan or the Legislative Yuan party to quickly propose the case, such as the three laws of sex, education and declining childization, residential justice, and external supervisors.However, from the results, although Lai was successfully demolished and the issue was not allowed to burn, but because of the factors of the coins and the Tsai government for 7 years, it was almost impossible to score on various issues.In the future, if you encounter Tsai Ing -wen's rejection of concessions or unable to dismantle bombing, it will inevitably become the greatest concern of Lai Qingde.

In the field of wild camps, Hou Youyi does have a problem in the party's integration, but once the integration is successful, the offensive and defensive energy of 15 counties and cities in Taiwan and hundreds of party officials and candidates will definitely have huge potential.In contrast, Ke Wenzhe has higher personal energy, but the number of people's officials with a few party members and weak structures that are vulnerable to attack on both sides are also their hidden concerns.

Overall, the first half of the blue -green and white is over, and the main theme of the second half will be between the wild camp and the ruling camp.Lai Qingde is obviously defended, and Hou and Ke are more strategic and flexible attackers, including whether they can integrate, be in a fight, or have obvious strengths. In fact, they are the key to determining the success or failure of the DPP.In the wild integration, the natural winning rate is the largest and obviously strong, and the fight will be defeated.