Lin Yuan: Does Putin fall into the ＂two -sided＂ strange circle?

Mr. Weida's article Putin is caught in a "two-sided person" strange circle ), Proposed that Wagner's mutiny is a serious betrayal of "two -sided human style", and there are many two sides within the Russian military.He also said: "The seemingly iron plate, the Putin Rule Group and the army, suddenly appeared so many" two -sided people '"overnight."

The transformed betrayal of Wagner's soldiers is a serious betrayal of the "two -sided human style", that is, the couple commander Puligo is regarded as two sides.This view is biased.Pricigen has been in the Russian President Putin for many years and has been trusted by the latter. If the couple spears point to Putin, the intention of overthrowing the rule can be called two sides.However, Pryigo lacked political ambitions, and the goal of soldiers did not include overthrowing Putin regime -in fact, Weida also believed that "Pryigo may really not be prepared to condemn power."For Putin, Pricigo is not a two -sided person, so that he can understand why five days after the Wagner's mutiny was over, he met Pleigon and others at the Kremlin.It is attached to Putin for a long time working in CGG, and it is also very rich from political experience. It should be accurate to see people -including Paligen.

In addition, if Pryo is pretending to respect and obey the Russian Minister of Defense, Shi Yigu, but then suddenly launching a soldier to try to force him to step down, it can also be said that he is a two -sided person.However, the reality is that Pryo publicly criticized (or confrontation) before the mutiny.For example, in early May, he blatantly accused Herigu and chief of staff chief of staff Grassimov that he was responsible for the lack of ammunition for Wagner's mercenaries.On June 11, he also claimed that the Wagner Group would not sign any contract with Shosh -this was actually preparing to resist.A few days ago, he also publicly criticized the Russian Ministry of Defense.Poligon's doctrine is very different from the typical two -sided person.

President White Ross Lukashenko's evaluation of Porigon after the mutiny is that he is actually similar to Hagodo and is an impulsive person.

The conflict between the two is also unreasonable.It should also be pointed out that the Wagner mercenaries have greater casualties on the front line of the Russia and Ukraine War, which also makes Perigo more difficult to control emotions, especially if he believes that if the Ministry of National Defense can effectively cooperate with military operations, casualties can have been reduced.Purig's ease of impulsive personality does not belong to the typical characteristics of both sides.

Weida also criticized many two sides within the Russian military, which lacks full accusations.An important issue here: After the soldiers occur, why did the Russian regular army take action on Wagner as soon as possible?In fact, because the coup is directly pointing to Hagodo, he should want to stop Porigen from entering Moscow as soon as possible (even trying to calm down the mutiny).The reason why the Russian regular army did not quickly take action is not what Weida said, "No one is a man" and "No one dares to come forward", but it should be because of Putin's order.

Putin delivered a speech on the morning of June 24, saying that he became a "betrayal" and said that the "betrayer" would pay the price, so that Prigo was appointed and his subordinates knew his position to resolutely oppose the mutiny.After he delivered a speech, he immediately called Lukashenko. Except for the relevant situation, he did not rule out that he was actually willing to see the latter play a specific role -he knew that Lukashenko and Perigo had about 20 years of friendship.And this President White Ross would not stand by.

Putin, who has suffered huge pressure in the Russian and Ukraine War, must have wanted to see the end of peace as soon as possible. Out of his understanding of Lukashenko and Porigo, he also had certain confidence in this.If there is a fierce civil war, there will be a large number of soldiers who can be used for the Russia and Ukraine front lines in the rear, and even civilian casualties will be unwilling to see Putin.He even sent the Air Force to "bombard" the Wagner's mutiny troops.In addition, if some soldiers are adjusted from the front line, although it can accelerate the "rebellion" process, it will have a negative impact on the army's heart and military deployment; the Ukrainian army may also take advantage of the opportunity to attack and get major progress -The risk is tried to avoid.

It can be considered that the Russian regular army should not have the case of resisting or negatively executed Putin's surrounding or attack Wagner -because Putin should not issue such orders.The so -called Russian military's "silence and negative inaction is equivalent to turning on the green light for the Wagner rebellion" is biased and cannot stand the scrutiny.