Source: China News Weekly

Author: Cao Ran

Former US President Trump was "arrested" again.On the afternoon of June 13, 2023 local time, the day before his 77th birthday, Trump and his team of lawyers came to the Federal Court of Federal Federal District in the South District of Florida in Miami to the case of suspected illegal retaining confidential documents and false statements.Accept prosecution.Hundreds of supporters rushed outside the court and shouted for Trump.

After 48 minutes of court messages, Trump ended his second criminal trip this year.He made his own bail and did not be restricted by any travel, and the court did not decide the time for the next trial.Compared with the first prosecution of Trump's "sealing fee case" in March this year, the "confidential document case" pointed to a more serious political topic.Starting from the search of Trump's Haihu Manor in August last August, the US Federal Investigation Agency (FBI) searched for Trump's Haihu Manor, and the controversy of Trump's private documents after Trump was left after the president is the popularity of the "preheating" stage of the US election in 2024topic.During this period, the agent "raid", the male servant involved in the case, the lawyer "betrayed", the judge "rewarded", a series of "famous scenes" stringed a strange law drama.

But for Trump, the more complicated "episodes" are still behind.Throughout the four criminal investigations he currently faced, the "Georgia Election Intervention Case" announced in this summer and the "Congress Riot Case" where the Washington Grand Jury is hearing, all pointing to him after the 2020 election.Controversial behavior.How Democrats will use these prosecutors to make potential for the 2024 election, and how the Republican candidates will respond to the question of "amnesty" Trump's question is not yet known.

Of course, from the perspective of the popularity of Trump, all allegations are "political persecution."After leaving the court on the afternoon of the 13th, Trump immediately reiterated to the supporters that if he was elected president in 2024, he would definitely investigate the current president Biden.He said Biden was "the most corrupt American president."

When powerful evidence meets "Trump"

On June 13th, Trump was wearing a blue suit and a iconic red tie, appearing at the message scene of the Miami Federal District Court.The American media reported on the spot that Trump was quiet throughout the journey, most of the time, his arms crossed, his eyes looked straight ahead, and he did not speak to the judge Gu Dimman who presided over the news.His lawyer explicitly stated to the judge: "We will definitely do nothing to defend."

David Habach, who graduated from the Harvard Academy, made a statement.He has rich experience in prosecution of political figures, but the "win rate" is not high.Nine years ago, he almost sent the former governor of Virginia McDonald in prison, but the relevant verdict was eventually overturned by the Supreme Court.

It is always difficult for politicians to be guilty.As far as the prosecution of Trump is concerned, in the over 234 years of history in the United States, there is no precedent for the former presidential prosecution.The "assault" incident that triggered the "confidential document case" was full of controversy.

At 6:30 am on August 8 last year, a large number of FBI agents broke into the Haihu Manor.Lawyer Trump said they did not get any warnings in advance.The FBI and the Ministry of Justice explained that the investigation of confidential documents after Trump's retaining confidential documents after leaving the president has begun in early 2022.

Initially, the National Archives found that some documents could not be found, including the communication between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong -un.Subsequently, Trump submitted some confidential documents that he was taken away from the White House.In June last year, Trump's lawyer claimed that all confidential documents had been handed in, but in the search in August, the agents turned out at least 102 confidential documents, involving the United States' nuclear plan, national defense force, and national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense,, national defense forces, and national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense, and national defense forces, national defense,, national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces, national defense forces, and national defense forces.Military potential weaknesses, revenge plans to deal with foreign attacks, etc.

Prosecutors submitted an indictment in June this year, based on 31 confidential documents, accusing Trump allegedly suspected of hiding and stealing official documents, collecting and transmitting national defense secrets, etc.And six other charges such as obstruction and false statements during the judicial investigation.Trump's close -fitting male servant Walter Norta was also considered a prosecution.

If the crime of the Anti -Spy Law is established, Trump's maximum sentence can reach 10 years, and the maximum sentence of the investigation related crimes will reach 20 years, and the maximum sentence of false statement is five years.

Compared to David Habach's previous failure case, the evidence of prosecutors seems more solid.They accused Trump show confidential documents to those unauthorized twice.In one of the recording, Trump claimed that "I can decrypt it as the president," and added that these documents are "still secret".In addition, he also instructed the private male servant to hide the documents and induce lawyers to seek a method of concealing documents, saying, "If we tell them (FBI), there is nothing here, isn't it better?"

Legal experts pointed out that one of Trump's best defense in this case is that he has decrypted these documents at the president, but the recording obviously denies this possibility.In addition, the Haihu Manor of these documents is a large member club. Tens of thousands of guests have been active in the banquet hall of the documents in FBI agents.The latter "daily entertainment".

The prosecution obtains key evidence and is indispensable for Trump's "people around him". One of the key figures is Trump's lawyer Evan Corks.He recorded the interaction between Trump and the lawyer team during the investigation of confidential documents.The court determined that these interactions involved Trump's "ongoing crimes", so they could not be applied to the principle of denseness for the client. They ordered Corchon to hand over the relevant records to the prosecutor.This has become an important evidence for prosecution.

So, is Trump really inevitably prison this time?At the end of the news on June 13, Judge Gudman said that his brief participation in the case was about to end, and the subsequent trial will be chaired by Judge Kannon who was assigned to the case.This made Trump supporters see hope.

Kannon graduated from the Michigan University Law School, one of the top law schools in the United States, and did not hide his conservative political tendency during his school.In 2020, Trump nominated the 39 -year -old Kannon as the Federal Federal Judge of Miami. This is the common scene of his "president who nominated the most judges in history".However, in August last year, after the FBI agent searched Haihu Manor, Kannon presided over Trump to sue the US government case.

In the case, Kannon ruled that the Ministry of Justice must stop using the search documents, and sent a "special supervisor" to review these materials at the request of Trump.Her verdict reminds the outside world that Trump's popularization of his supporters' objection to the search: Trump accused the FBI of "the material they knew should not take away", the purpose wasSearch for nothing found to prove "other possible crimes."

Kannong's lack of legal basis was quickly overthrown by a court of a conservative and Trump nominated judge by his superiors.It opens an unprecedented exception for the former president. "The legal community believes that this ruling is "almost rebuilding Kannon."However, this did not affect Kannon's lawsuit again.

Now, Democrats and Progressives of the legal community are calling on Kannon to avoid the trial of this case, but in theory, people cannot determine whether Judge Kannon will make a decision that is conducive to Trump again.Some comments are worried that she may use their powers to legally delay the proceedings of the case in the case until Trump becomes a pardon after the president again; at the same time, she can also question and exclude key evidence obtained by the prosecutor, which prompts her to choose a jury she chose chose.The delegation determined that Trump was not guilty; in the end, even if the jury found that Trump was guilty, Kannon could decide specific sentencing.

Competitors are more tense

Late June 13, Trump, who left the Miami Court, rushed back to New Jersey by private jet to give a speech to his hardcore supporters.The content of his speech, as always, accused the prosecutor of the prosecutor, the Ministry of Justice, and the Bayeng government, but more noteworthy than the speech itself was the attendees.

attendees include the current chairman of the Republican Republican Party and the son -in -law of President Nixon, Ed Coses, who are going to participate in the Ohio business tycoon Bonnie Morreno, who is preparing to participate in the 2024 Senator, and the former Walda State Councilor, the same preparation in 2024Jim Mindurt, who was running for Federal Senator in the year.The current senior Federal Senator Tu Berville also came to the scene and was absent from the parliament vote on the day.

Obviously, as the election is approaching, a group of Republican candidates have clearly stood behind Trump.The existing litigation activities have not shaken Trump's lead in public opinion surveys. His support among Republican voters is higher than that of the second -ranked Florida governor of De Santis.Therefore, every time Trump faced his prosecution, he arrived at the scene as soon as possible, and was the only way to obtain the former president's endorsement and the support of "Trump voters".

On the contrary, for the former allies and current competitors of Trump, such as De Santis, Hei Li, Pence, etc., Trump's "arrest" is a major event. How to show this will be related to themSupport rate.Burns, who has been in court in the investigation of the Capitol Riot case, has been shaped by the far -right politicians around Trump as a "betrayer".Hei Li, who was nominated by Trump as the Ambassador to the United Nations, was even more embarrassing.

In two months, Heili sometimes stated that prosecution was the political persecution of the Democratic Party, and sometimes said that Trump did "put the country in danger."On June 13, she "clarified" this. Although she did not fully recognize Trump's behavior, if she became a president, she would still choose amnesty Trump.

Analysis believes that when Trump only enters the prosecution procedure of the sealing fee case, all Republican candidates, including De Santis, describe this as political persecution.However, when the focus turns to confidential documents, the Capitol Mountain Riot case, and Georgia's intervention in the election case, the situation is different.

After all, the Republican Systems represented by the Republican leader of the Senate's Republican Party McConal firmly accused Trump with a stance on the issue of Capitol's riot case.The Governor of Georgia and the Governor of Governor and State of the State resisted Trump's intervention on the results of the state.

Therefore, Trump's competitors will inevitably choose "riding walls", on the one hand criticizing Trump, on the one hand "forgiveness" him.But whether this position can avoid irritating Trump voters is not yet known.On June 13, outside the Miami court, former members of the members of the Congress Laura Lummer declared: "We are loyal people, we are not like De Santis, we are loyal to Trump, even if he sit in the cell, heWe also have to vote for him! "

It is certain that "squat prison" does not affect Trump's election president.In the 1992 US presidential election, there was a candidate for fraud in prison, Linden Larolic, in prison.