Source: United Daily

Author: Gao Yongguang

The largest Khahofka dam on the Ukraine River was suddenly destroyed and collapsed on June 6, resulting in a area of about 230 square miles downstream of the flood flooding the reservoir. It is estimated that about 25,000 people were affected.

Russia controls the left side of the Carkkka dam, and Ukraine is controlled to the right. The two sides accused each other from being destroyed by each other.

The collapse of the dam is different from the Beixi natural gas tube. At that time, there were many signs that showed that the power of the United States, the United Kingdom and Norway was involved.The dam was destroyed this time, and there are currently no comments or reports, mentioning the involvement of overseas forces of non -Russian and U -wontons.Moreover, I did not try to find out whether there are blasting technologies or explosives, and to determine whether it is Russia, Black or which country may do this.

In fact, from a tactical point of view, the collapse of the reservoir is more beneficial to Russia and Ukraine?You can probably determine who did it.

From the perspective of Ukraine, because the Ukraine has prepared a big counterattack in the early summer, the reservoir collapses, and most of the Dnie River below the reservoir under the flood of the reservoir has caused troops to move, especially for armed vehicles crossing the river counterattack.Destruction, big counterattacks are blocked, of course, Russia's tactical use.

From the perspective of Russia, Russia has occupied the area from Donnezk, extended all the way to the southwest via Zauper (including nuclear power plants), and then passed through Khahofka, extended down to Holson.The line of defense for 1,000 kilometers is arranged to deal with Ukraine's counterattack.After most of the defense lines, there are three defensive lines, as well as trenches, known as "Dragon Teeth". When the Ukraine counterattacks, they will be counterattacked by the Russian army from all directions.

Therefore, the dams of the dam have caused the flood of floods and may also destroy the Russian defense line. According to this, Ukraine may also destroy the reservoir.

Of course, if you look at the great counterattack of the Ukraine, it does achieve the effect.From June 6 to the present, Ukraine, in addition to being busy with disaster relief, is very limited.In particular, the "Shaped Operation", which was originally declared that the big counterattack was to be adopted, and attacked the long -distance artillery of the long -distance artillery for the military base and important facilities of the Russian Wudong occupation zone. It has been claimed that the operation is now "silent".(Operation Silence).From this perspective, Russia's destruction of reservoir seems to have its tactical interests.

Of course, if it is Russia's destruction of the reservoir, it must also deal with and pay the destruction of the reservoir.That is, the reservoir originally provided cooling water at the Zapolo Nuclear Power Plant, which may be insufficient, causing disasters in nuclear power plants; and the decrease in the reservoir's water supply to the Hermuson area and the Crimean Peninsula.

In the beginning of the Russian and Ukraine War, Russia adopted the "Big Army Big Big" strategy, neglecting Ukraine's resistance and military assistance in the Western country, which led to great losses.Frequency is still to correct your strategy and tactics.At the same time, the losses in the arms forced Russia must send the weapons in the weapon library in the 1950s to the battlefield after renovation.Striving for time, it is necessary for Russia to deal with Ukraine's big counterattack.

Similarly, after Russia attacked Bachmart, because the city was a plain westward, it was conducive to attacking the Donetzk capital, and then swallowed the entire Donnezk state, and Ukraine was also anxious.After the reservoir collapsed, Ukraine launched several counterattacks against Bacht, and also reflected Ukraine's anxiety.

In addition to Russia, it takes time to strengthen its empty countermeasures against Ukraine drone attacks, and prepare more accurate and powerful gliding missiles.After the loss of Ukraine in the city of Bacht, the rapid reinforcement of long -range artillery and advanced tanks in the West also needed a little more time to launch a big counterattack.

From the perspective of the tactical tactics of time, maybe Russia and Ukraine have the motivation to cause the reservoir to collapse and flood the flood.

There are many contradictory theories in studying war in international relations. One said that war is the result of rational calculation. Because the party that launch the war is to win the opponent after rational calculation, and then the war is launched.But there is another saying that the war happened for interests, and irrational misuses.

The

The Russian and Ukraine War has been hit to the present, the destruction of the Carhofka dam seems to be the acceptable rational choice for both sides on the game theory.

But if the Ukrainian army counterattacks, if the Emperor Putin was defeated by the line of defense, he believed that the bombing of the Zapori nuclear power plant would also be a rational game choice, which caused a human catastrophe that leaked nuclear radiation, and it would make the human catastrophe.People are worried!