In the past 30 years, two major changes have taken place in the world, one is globalization and the other is nuclear martialization.The process of existence at the same time as globalization and nuclearization is to go globalization and non -nuclearization.

In other words, de -globalization and non -denuclearization are not available today. They are the other side of the world's fundamental changes, which are often ignored by people.

In terms of globalization, since the 1970s, China has become more and more eye -catching, and Sino -US relations have constituted a major aspect of globalization.The Trump administration took the lead in de -globalization, and Sino -US relations have become the main object of globalization.

In terms of nuclearization, in the late 1990s, India and Pakistan became a nuclear country at the same time, and Israel had nuclear weapons earlier.There is also a series of regional countries with nuclear weapons development plans, such as Libya, Iran and North Korea.In terms of denuclearization, Libya and others have abandoned the nuclear weapon development plan (Bolton, a national security adviser of the US Trump administration, attempts to sell the nuclearization Libyan model to North Korea).Gradually, the global nuclearization is mainly based on Iran and North Korea's nuclearization.

In order to achieve Iran's denuclearization, Iran's nuclear agreement was reached on July 14, 2015.This agreement is a milestone for multilateral cooperation between great powers.However, the Trump administration announced on May 8 this year that the United States withdrew from the Iranian nuclear agreement, which suffered a huge impact on the agreement.In order to save this agreement, the relevant parties were thinking about it and proposed some alternatives.On July 6, China, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Iranian Foreign Minister "joint statement" decided to continue to maintain and execute the Iranian nuclear agreement.

While Trump announced that the United States had withdrawn from the Iranian nuclear agreement, it began a two -sided nuclearization process with North Korea.On June 12, after the first Special Championship of Singapore, the Trump administration was anxious to implement the non -nuclear intention reached by the summit and North Korea.However, it is difficult for the US -DPRK to achieve an agreement in a nuclear way.

Desting globalization is the same as non -denomination, and globalization and de -globalization constitute two sides of a coin.

The Brexit and the United States launched a global trade war as a sign to go globalization.When the author provides this comment, there are no other authors such a trade war that the world is currently undergoing.Not only did I have the first such analogy, but I also shouted loudly to look at the global trade war from the perspective of globalization, that is, the global trade war is going global.

From the perspective of de -globalization, the global trade war, especially the trade war between the United States and China, is inevitable, because it is "Go to Andrdquo; no Andrdquo; globalization andrdquo;It is currently the first round of the trade war, and maybe there is still the second and third rounds, until the "economic nationalism Andrdquo; the government believes that it has achieved the goal of globalization.

Many British people say that this is the best example of going global.British President Kani has always thought so.However, some people say that Brexit cannot be called globalization, because "The intention of Brexit is not to turn inwardly Andrdquo; and even the British opening level will be greater, that is, the Britain, which is not in the European Union, will be with the world in the world.Trade partners have reached more new trade agreements. However, Cani defense said that Brexit means a reduction in the degree of openness between Britain and the European Union, and this reduces AND.ANDRDQUO;.

Obviously, no nuclearization is not easy, and globalization is more difficult than no nuclearization.Great difficulty means that no nuclearization and de -globalization will be invalid, and even failure is ugly.

Brexit faces great difficulties.British Prime Minister Theresa Andmiddot; Mei led the Brexit process, which has now fallen into a deadlock.If this deadlock continues, it will lead to the failure of Brexit.It is not ruled out that the British government will hold a second referendum to find reasons for non -Brexit.

The Trump administration's de -globalization is also difficult, and the possibility of failure cannot be ruled out.

Rome is not built in one day, and has been formed for a long time with nuclearization and globalization. How can no nuclearization and de -globalization be so easy?

The Trump administration demands that North Korea has no denuclearization.Due to the huge difficulty in actual difficulties, this goal may eventually be invalid.The aggressive global trade war cheered for many US economic patriots, but was unanimously resisted by the largest trading partner in the United States.In the end, the United States cannot truly and "remove Andrdquo; the United States, Europe, or the United States and China for a long time.

The summary of this article is that no nuclearization is relatively well understood, but our understanding of globalization is not in place.The trade war is essentially the US economic nationalist forces represented by the Trump administration, opposing the war of globalist forces.Globalism breaks national borders, and economic nationalism resets barriers.

For nuclearization, of course, we hope and pray for its success. The world of non -nuclearization, no matter how definition and understanding, are always safer.However, we must prepare for bilateralization and consequences of bilateral non -denominations between the United States and North Korea.

This is called "The largest trade war in the history of the world economy Andrdquo; if the United States win, the world will lose, if the United States loses, the world will lose.Trade with the United States will decrease, and the reversal acceleration of globalization. Tit for tat (TIT for TAT), reporting from injustice, a vicious circle, and the prospects of global economy are not optimistic.

(The author is a special professor of international relations in Ocean University of China)