"I admit it painfully that Hong Kong is now finished (Hong Kong is over."It caused a heated discussion in Hong Kong society.
79 -year -old Rich, the ancestor Ireland, is recognized as one of the most influential economists in Wall Street.He joined Morgan Stanley in 1982 and was responsible for economic research. He was promoted to the chief economist in 1991 and the chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia in 2007. He is currently a senior researcher at Yale University in the United States.
Roki is the most talked about that he is good at predicting large -scale turns; for example, in early 1997, he predicted that the financial crisis was about to outbreak in Asia.In 2007, Luoqi published a new currency doctrine that it would be difficult to maintain the price bubble manufactured by leverage in the past 20 years. It warns that investors' global stock markets and bond markets will face shocking consequences.Both of the predictions were unfortunate.
Hong Kong stocks have performed poorly in the past year, and Luoqi predicts that Hong Kong will gradually lose color and decline due to the three major factors of Hong Kong politics, Chinese economy and Sino -US friction.He criticized the SAR Government to promote the amendments to the fugitive regulations in 2019, triggering large -scale demonstrations, and the Chinese government's implementation of the Hong Kong National Security Law.Looking at these views, it is likely that Rich is a anti -Chinese, but he used to be a Chinese friend.
As early as the 1990s, Roqi was optimistic about China's economic prospects and brought the first round of China's investment heat in the world. It was one of the spokespersons of Wall Street who invested in China.He often became a guest of Chinese leaders. During the 2008 Global Financial Tsunami period, he also served as a member of the Economic Opposition Committee of the Hong Kong Government to provide opinions for Hong Kong's economic development.
As the Sino -US trade war started in 2019, Hua Chunying, a spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, once quoted the point of view of the Luoqi article, criticizing the US series of allegations on China, and urging the United States to abandon the zero -sum game's thinking, Establish a concept of mutual benefit and win -win and China.
In 2020 Luoqi accepted an exclusive interview with Xinhua News Agency, he also praised the crown disease epidemic in China in a short period of time to prove the crisis processing capacity of the Chinese government. He expects China to continue to deepen economic reform and promote high -quality development.
But since 2021, Roch's attitude towards China has changed significantly. He admits that he was originally "an optimist who was not retreated, but now he is deeply suspected."He also said the previous year that he would no longer set foot in China and Hong Kong; at that time, there was a comment to describe the reversal of the attitudes of Roki in the market, which was an important turning point for Wall Street to re -evaluate Chinese investment.
But after checking the information, when the Hong Kong Finance Magazine interspersed Luoqi in early 2009, the financial tsunami broke out in the world that year. Raki relentlessly pointed out that the prospects of Hong Kong were very dim.Economic atrophy is difficult to get sick in the financial industry, which is worse than Shas.
Luoqi's "singing and declining" Hong Kong did not attract outsiders' attention. Instead, he published "Hong Kong Playing theory" a few days ago, but caused Hong Kong society to comment.The official public newspaper with an official background has even discredited Hong Kong with an article that bombarded Luoqi. One of the articles criticized him as an economist and predicts the future of a region with the words full of subjective colors. Obviously, the scholars should haveProfessional spirit violates.
Actually, it is difficult to evaluate Luoqi's point of view, right?Theoretically, before one thing happens, there is a chance to happen in any situation. The Hong Kong economy is "finished" and a rebound.Outsiders make conclusions based on their own judgments.
Of course, from a positive perspective, as the Chinese economy improves, Economic prospects should not be as pessimistic as Roki described.In fact, Roki is not the first to watch China and Hong Kong.In 1995, the American Fortune Magazine publicly predicted that "Hong Kong was dead". Later, the facts were better than arguing and became a historical joke.
But from another perspective, if even Chinese old friends Luoqi "misunderstand" and light Hong Kong, the Hong Kong government needs to strengthen publicity and explain to the international community in the international community.The response of the hats -type hats is two different things.
