With the time of entering the "two sessions" (the National People's Congress and the CPPCC conference), some trillion -dollar GDP cities in 2022 and the economic and social development goals in 2023 have also been released.Among them, six trillion -dollar cities set a target of more than 5.5%of the GDP growth rate in 2023.
According to surging news reports, as of Wednesday (January 4), among 24 trillion GDP cities, Jinan, Qingdao, Changsha, Hefei, Zhengzhou, and Fuzhou have announced the GDP growth rate of 2023They are between 5.5%and 7%.Among them, Zhengzhou and Changsha are about 7%and 7%, Hefei and Fuzhou are more than 6.5%and about 6.5%, respectively, and Jinan and Qingdao are more than 5.5%and about 5.5%, respectively.In addition to the Jinan GDP growth target, the target of the other five cities has been reduced compared with the previous year.
However, it is reported that recovery is still the main theme of the economy in 2023. Compared with the actual performance of GDP in 2022, the goal of 2023 is still optimistic.
From the perspective of the total regional GDP in 2022, Jinan is expected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan (RMB, the same below, about S $ 234 billion), Qingdao is expected to exceed 1.5 trillion yuan. Hefei is expected to break through1.2 trillion, Dongguan is expected to exceed 1.1 trillion yuan; from the growth rate of GDP in 2022, Changsha is expected to increase by 4.8%, Hefei is expected to increase by about 3.6%. Fuzhou is expected to increase by more than 5.2%, whichTarget.
A senior researcher at the Star Map Financial Research Institute paid a husband's analysis, considering the low base effect in 2022, and the optimization and adjustment of the prevention and control measures of the epidemicTo eliminate, work hard to restore the economy is definitely the primary task in 2023, and more policy support may be issued in the future. Therefore, the economic recovery is a high probability event. The goal in 2023 is a little higher than the actual growth rate in 2022.
But on the other hand, the growth rate set by some cities has lowered the goal of the previous year. Fu Yilu believes that "this is the consideration of the local real situation based on its own actual situation.The influence is easy to produce the so -called 'scar effect', and it is difficult to eliminate the negative effects caused by the urban economy. It also needs a adaptation period. "
some cities have lowered the growth goals of industrial added value.For example, Zhengzhou set the target of 2023 to more than 8%, below the 10%growth target of 2022; Changsha set it above 8%, and it is also lower than the growth target of about 8.5%in the previous year;More than 9%of the last year.In addition, Jinan has changed slightly. In 2023 and 2022, the expected growth of the indicator is about 6%and 6%or more, respectively.
The report also stated that expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption has become the primary task of 2023 in many places.Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, wrote an article analyzing that looking forward to 2023, consumption will rebound significantly with the revenue of consumer scenarios, revenue growth, and promotion of consumer policy, and the low base effect. It is expected to increase by 9.0%year -on -year.
