The military chess deduction report of the Japanese civil tank Kawagawa Heping Consortium pointed out that if Japan and the United States intervene in the Taiwan Strait crisis, even if China can defeat, Japan and the United States will suffer a lot of losses.
From January 18th to 21st, 2023, the Heping Heping Consortium of Kawagawa invited more than 30 former Japanese officers, American and Japanese scholars and researchers to conduct a number of Japanese -American Taiwan PLAs with the title of "Taiwan Crisis".Reading of soldiers.
The scene of the prediction is that the Chinese People's Liberation Army established the "Taiwan Theater Command" to command the Air Force, submarine and surface ships to attack Taiwan; in order to defend Taiwan, the United States dispatched nuclear power carrier and the most advanced fighter to Taiwan.
The report said that once the Taiwan Strait has an emergency, even if Japan has not directly encountered force attacks, it will also be involved in military operations due to assistance to the United States.In addition to the US military base and the self -defense base in Japan, it is behind, and private airports in Okinawa Prefecture and Kyushu will also be converted into military use.
The deduction also assumes that China plans to attack the Japanese Self -Defense Force Base.The Japanese participated in the battle with the frigates of the Maritime Self-Defense Force and the F-35 fighter of the Aviation Self-Defense Force to fight back with missiles.
According to the results, China can only adhere to more than two weeks, and eventually defeats the "out ofacity".The report states that the decisive blow faced by the PLA is that Japan and the United States have won Taiwan's air control.
It is estimated that China will lose 156 warships and 168 fighters including two aircraft carriers, 48 large transport aircraft, and 40,000 deaths and injuries.
Although Japan -Meitai successfully resisted the PLA offensive, the three parties suffered a lot.It is estimated that the US deadly injured people reached 10,000 and 700, and the number of deaths and wounds in Taiwan had 13,000 prisoners of war.The 19 US warships and 400 fighters were also damaged.
Since the Japanese base is considered to be the target of China's attack, it is estimated that Japan will have 2,500 self -defense players and hundreds to thousands of civilian casualties.155 Japanese frigates and other ships and 144 F-2, F-35 and other fighters will also be reimbursed.
Japan Economic News said that the development of Japanese think tanks is similar to the desktop deduction announced by the US think tank strategy and the International Research Center (CSIS) in January this year.Will lose. "
However, the report also pointed out that the development of Japanese and American wins is based on the current military strength of various countries. If China's military power has been greatly improved, the actual results will be different.In addition, information warfare, network technology, etc. may also be controlled.
Senior Researcher of the Heping Heping Consortium, Watanabe Hyoko, concluded: "Japan must assume that it will suffer large -scale destruction and prepare for all the preservation."
