The Meihelevitzki Palace, located in Warsawawanji Park, has witnessed a special history in China.This is a place where the two countries have talked many times in the 1950s and 1960s before the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States.
Officials at or above the provincial and ministerial levels visit Warsaw, and it is said that they must go to Meihlevitzki Palace because it is a symbol of Zhongbo's friendly and mutual trust.
In February in winter, there are very few tourists in the Vanjin Park after night, and it feels a bit deserted.It is reminiscent of the relationship between China, Poland and other Central and Eastern European countries, and alienated due to the differences in the Ukrainian war.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine made the nearby Central and Eastern European countries miserable to Ukraine's war, and they felt cold and cold, and worried that it would eventually face the same encounter.
Although China has tried to show neutrality in the Ukrainian war, for some Central and Eastern European countries, China has not explicitly condemned Russia and the relationship with Russia's "upper top" still disappointed them.
Justyna Szczudlik, an expert in the Poland Institute of International Affairs (PISM), believes that Beijing underestimated its impact on the Russian and Ukraine's position on the Central and Eastern European countries.
"Some Chinese experts said on the online forum that we are too emotional. Please, the war occurs on the side of our border. We are not emotional, we see Russia killing."
Shilina said that China's propaganda machine followed Russia's tone, which also deepened the anxiety of Central and Eastern European countries.She said that China repeatedly disseminated with Russia's fake information and war narrative angles, including blame the Russian and Ukraine War on the eastward expansion of NATO, and that Ukraine refers to Ukraine to join the Western camp under the United States.
Another incident that caused a rebound in Central and Eastern European countries was that after the Baltic National Lithuania let Taipei set up an office in the name of "Taiwan" in 2021, Beijing imposed a severe economic punishment against Lithuania.Slina said that the Central and Eastern European countries realized that even if they only maintain a thin economic connection with China, they may lead to economic coercion.
However, the entire Central and Eastern Europe is not a piece of iron.
Shili pointed out that in the "16+1" cooperation mechanism in China and Central and Eastern European countries, Hungary and Serbia still stand in their own interests based on their respective interests.
The so -called "16+1" China -Central and Eastern European European Cooperation (CECC) refers to the economic and trade cooperation mechanism launched by 16 countries such as Central and Eastern Europe in China and Poland in 2012.
After joining Greece in 2019, it was upgraded to 17+1.Lithuania announced his withdrawal in 2021. Latvia and Estonia also withdrew in August the following year, with 14+1.
Shilina judges that the "14+1" cooperation mechanism will be in a state of hibernation, or more countries will withdraw. Except for Hungary and Serbia, other member states will lie flat because the "16+1" cooperation mechanism will beIn fact, there are not many substantial results.
She further analyzed that one of the root causes is that China still regards Central and Eastern Europe as "developing countries around the United States and poor western Europe"., But these measures are not attractive to Central and Eastern Europe.
Shilina said that when the "16+1" cooperation mechanism was first established, Central and Eastern Europe was accused of destroying the "Trojan Trojan" that destroyed the European Union on the Chinese issue, but after the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine War, ChinaInstead, Eastern Europe has a stronger questioning attitude towards China than Germany and other Western European countries.
Poland and Ukraine are connected to the soil. Because of fear of Russia to expand the territory west to the house, Poland strongly supports Ukraine to resist Russia and becomes a bridgehead for NATO to support Ukraine.
Poland is not only a European country that receives the most Ukrainian refugees, but also becomes a transfer center to provide military equipment and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine.
Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Poland: Let Russia succeed international law into emptiness
Wojciech Gerwel, deputy minister of Polish Foreign Minister, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that Poland has experienced more war than many countries, so he can do his best to maintain international law.situation.
Poland was divided by Germany and the Soviet Union on both sides of the east and west sides during World War II.
Gewell said that the Russian and Ukraine War was a critical moment for shaping international relations."The problem of being betted now is that our world is calculated by international law? Or are we going back to the world when the world is divided into various forces sites.
He said: "Never make Russia succeed, otherwise international law will be reduced to empty talk."
Poland is the most active country for Germany to provide German Leopard -style main battle tanks to Ukraine.Poland itself also provides more than 300 armored vehicles to Ukraine, including more than 200 Soviet ownership tanks.
The reporter asked if Poland would send troops into Ukraine to participate in the war. Gewell replied: "No one is talking about sending soldiers."
Wojciech Lorenz, head of the International Security Plan of the Polish International Institute of International Affairs, also said categorically that Poland will not be involved in a positive conflict with Russia.
He said that the attitude of the United States and all NATO members, including Poland, is very clear. "NATO does not play any role in conflict" to avoid Russia's excuses to provoke greater incidents.
The Russian and Ukraine War broke out on February 24, 2022 to this day. According to the latest estimates from Norway, the conflict has caused 180,000 Russian and 100,000 Ukraine casualties.
The war has fallen into a long -term war, and the dawn of peace has not appeared.Lorez believes that a possible way to stop war is to provide Ukraine with a range of 300 kilometers tactical missiles, allowing it to have the ability to recapture Crimea and destroy the Black Sea warships of Russia, so as to force Putin to get on the negotiating table becauseOnce Crimea is lost, the legitimacy of Putin regime will be threatened.
Lorentz said: "This is a big goal, but it is not invisible."
Crimea has been a must -fight for soldiers since ancient times. Its strategic importance to Russia includes geopolitics, history, military, security and economic and energy security.In the Russian and Ukraine War, the Russian invaded Ukraine played an important role in the southern attack.The Crimea Bridge, which occurred in October last year, is a large traffic artery of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, which is located, and a key supply route for Russia to invade Ukraine in this war.
Crimea was annexed by the Russian Empire at the end of the 18th century and returned to the Soviet Union under its jurisdiction.In 1954, the then Soviet leader Khrushchev made Crimea to Ukraine.In 2014, the Putin government had an power vacuum to merge Crimea in the Ukrainian government.