(Washington Composite Electric) The global supply chain is expected to gradually return to normal in the next year after two years of chaos; half of the issues of cargo ships have been resolved, and it is estimated that it can return to normal in March next year.
The latest September Logistics Manager Index shows that the global supply chain is improving, and it is expected that the situation will return to normal next year.The New York Federal Reserve Bank's global supply chain pressure index continued to decline in September. The decline in the pressure index has continued for five months.
Sea-Intelligence, a marine intelligence analysis company headquartered in Copenhagen, issued a report last week that about half of shipping congestion has been resolved, and it is estimated that it can be fully resumed in March 2023.
Another marine intelligence model compared with Dasai Port in 2015, unless there is more unexpected interference, or run smoothly as the crown disease epidemic in early 2023.
Ludtitt, Executive Director of the Southern California Exchange and Los Angeles and Longtan Ship Terry Transport Service Center, said: "The current port of ports is at a reasonable level, the pressure of our employees is reduced, and we have returned to the original to the original.Some are in a good state. "
Facing a series of impact supply chains is still fragile
Although the supply chain problem has improved, this does not mean that everything will go smoothly in the near future.Many industrial and commercial enterprises are still troubled by components and labor shortages. The still fragile supply chain is about to usher in the peak of demand during the end of the year. At the same time, there are also factors such as weather changes, dock workers strike, Chinese epidemic prevention sealing, and the Russian and Ukraine War.
Miller, an associate professor of supply chain management of Michigan State University, said that although international transportation capabilities have improved significantly, people should not be too optimistic about recovery.He pointed out that "the situation is still bad and has not substantial improvement for those American companies that are still distressed by the supply of raw materials and components.
According to the latest reading of Kir's trade indicators, Germany's port congestion is improving.The demand for goods has been weak. "
Weak demand relieves the supply chain pressure
The US supply and eating indicators at the Oxford Economic Research Institute reached its peak in February, and it improved slowly and steadily in September.Craphin, chief American economist at Oxford University, said: "By the end of 2022 and 2023, the supply chain situation should be at a more assured level. One of the benefits of weak demand is that it will relieve the pressure of the supply chain."
Now, the number of shipping in the United States has decreased.The busy port of the busiest port in Los Angeles showed that 17 container ships were parked last Thursday and about 30 in early 2022.
The import volume in the last week is less than the same period last year. Part of the reason is that this summer's inventory reserves are earlier than expected, and the shipping re -arrange the route in order to avoid the pier workers' strike, and turn the goods to the east coast port.
